Do you have a link to verify this?  It's hard for me to believe that your assertion is correct.  Thanks.

Brian has a 30%- which is near the top for Democrats in the House. Brian is in a district that went 70% NO... So it takes a concerted effort to get a score that high.

Creigh on the other hand got an 8% which is even lower than Janet Howell and Patsy Ticer.

...But his vote in favor of repealing the so-called "death tax" is a good indication that he plans to cash in his public office for a boat-load of money - or that he has too many extremely rich friends.  What happened to the average Joe?

I wasn't a Deed's supporter until your post, and now I'm on board.  Thanks.

Leslie was moving around the state in '06.  Now widely believed running for Congress.  But, she belongs on the list.

With about the same odds as Gerry, considering neither is raising money, neither is financially independent enough to self finance and so it's highly unlikely that either would have any chance at surviving the nomination process against Warner, Deeds or Moran.

By the way, your odds on Gerry are a little off.  I'm about as likely to win a primary nomination against the triumvirate as he is.

I agree that Leslie should be on the list, but my dream ticket is Warner for Governor, Moran for Lt. Governor and Deed reprising his run for Attorney General. Maybe this ticket is a little on the predictable side, but they should come off the starting line hard since there would not be a problem with name recognition or fundraising ability.  If Warner wants to run for Governor and Deeds for AG, I wouldn't think that anyone in the party would challenge them. 

Moran might get a challenge for Lt. Governor, but I don't know of anyone who might be planning on a run.  Possibilities, Byrne and Puckett again? Does anyone think Chap Peterson will try again depending on the outcome of his state Senate race?  I would think if he wins, which looks likely, he wouldn't consider another statewide race.

On the dark side, I'm hearing that Jerry Kilgore may be considering another run for either Governor or Attorney General, if he doesn't throw his hat into the Senate race in 2008.  Of course, this may just be wishful Scott County Repug gossip. Does anyone else have any thoughts?  All I can say is 'Make my day'.  I guess one beating wasn't enough for Kilgore.

There is little chance that Creigh can beat Brian in a primary. Creigh's a good guy, but come on. You have to realize that between Brian's NoVA base and his stronger beach ties your ratings need some serious adjustment.

And I don't think you really want to start an intra-party fight by misleading people about Democrats records at this early point. You know as well as I do that only one of these guys voted for the so-called Marriage Amendment- and it wasn't Brian.

Furthermore, Brian was ONE OF ONLY 3 that spoke on the floor against the amendment.

There is a big difference between an intra-party fight and a differing of ideas.  The latter is healthy and productive.  If we don't discuss each candidates' differences now, when do you think would be a better time?  Knowing what people stand for and letting others debate the issues is a good thing for an informed electorate.

Indeed, without such discussions, Harris Miller would be in the Senate and not a true person of the people, Jim Webb.

This is simple misrepresentation by someone who is being PAID by one candidate on an issue, this is a far cry from the Roman Senate.

Harris Miller would not have beaten George Allen.

Nixon ran for Governor of CA in 1962 and lost. All the more reason his comeback in 1968 was so unlikely.

Also, I'd put Gilmore at 100-1.

While I think Creigh Deeds is great, I think you are underestimating Brian Moran.  I think you should have switched the two - Deeds (10-1), Moran (6-1).  Traveling around the state this summer I've heard a lot about a Moran vs. McDonnell race and very little about Deeds. 

Two great guys but Moran will walk away with the primary if Warner doesn't run.

Say What?  30 out of 100 is a "high score" from The Family Foundation???  I don't know what your agenda is, but trying to paint Brian Moran as a right winger just isn't going to fly.

is high. I am a staunch supporter of Sen. Deeds for Governor, but I do think that Brian poses a great challenge than you describe James. I hope Creigh can pull it out, and I'll certainly be knocking for him, he'll be better for Virginia IMHO.

C'mon, James. We all understand that you're a Creigh supporter but it is a stretch to say that Brian is "running to Creigh's right."

So I guess you're twice as conservative as Creigh is. ;)

I think you've got me mixed up with someone else. I'm not a member of the GA.

I look more at who did or didn't vote for the Marriage Amendment as an indication of someone's conservative leanings on social issues, not a statistical analysis of vote counts.  Anyone who's talked to Brian Moran knows that it's ridiculous to label him as right leaning.  But I agree with the person who posted above that such comparisons are not the least bit helpful to the party at this juncture and I don't know why that had to be in the diary.

Really.  I suspect that in RoVa, Gerry Connolly's (D-Developers) odds are more likely in the 5,000-1 range.  South of the Rappahanock he will likely be viewed as a Socialist version of Colonel Sanders, but without the tasty chicken recipes.  However, in NoVa his odds are better than 2-1.  That's because both his supporters and detractors will vote for him.  The former to see him elected to higher office and the latter to see him get the Hell out of Fairfax County!

We Need Mark back in 2010. So many of his programs that he inplemented before he left office have gone by the wayside or have been revamped. Before he left office, he had many things in order now, years later they are still not done and they say the $$ is not there, that is bull? Someone is dragging their feet. WE NEED MARK BACK....