In sum: "biofuels" - especially corn-based ethnoal - will NOT solve our "energy security" issues, will NOT reduce greenhouse gas emissions much if at all, will NOT be economically competitive without heavy subsidies, and will NOT create serious environmental problems of their own.
Now, the Washington Post reports that "A surge in the demand for ethanol -- touted as a greener alternative to gasoline -- could have a serious environmental downside for the Chesapeake Bay, because more farmers growing corn could mean more pollution washing off farm fields." The reason is that "fields of corn generally produce more polluted runoff than those of other crops." What happens after that is not pretty:
...When it rains, some of this fertilizer washes downstream, and it brings such pollutants as nitrogen and phosphorus, which feed unnatural algae blooms in the bay. These algae consume the oxygen that fish, crabs and other creatures need to breathe, creating the Chesapeake's infamous dead zones.Governments around the bay have pledged to cut their output of nitrogen by 110 million pounds by 2010. But the study estimated that an ethanol-driven increase in cornfields could add 8 million to 16 million pounds of pollution.
Wonderful, huh? Grow corn to provide a tiny share of our transportation consumption needs while trashing the precious Chesapeake Bay in the process. Sadly, this problem is not isolated to the Chesapeake Bay. Pretty much any body of water can be contaminated - and trashed - in the same way as the Chesapeake Bay, by increased growing of corn to fuel our SUVs. As if that's not bad enough, the Washington Post reiterates that "[b]ecause the primary ingredient at U.S. ethanol plants is corn, the price of that grain has shot up, making everything from tortillas to beef to chocolate more expensive."
So there you have it: growing corn for ethanol pollutes the water, eats up cropland and forest, and raises the price of food for livestock and humans. For all that, corn-based ethanol doesn't even accopmlish its goal of significantly increasing U.S. "energy independence," since the volume of ethanol is miniscule compared to the 21 million barrels per day of oil we consume, not to mention the fact that growing ethanol is highly energy-, water-, and petroleum-based-fertilizer intensive.
In fact, the only major beneficiaries of corn-based ethanol are major agribusiness companies like ADM, not to mention Big Oil itself, which is more than happy to blend ethanol into the fuel it sells at the pump. Why not? After all, ethanol doesn't hurt the oil companies' bottom line, but it DOES let them "greenwash" - e.g., CLAIM they're doing something good for the environment when they're really not.
The bottom line is that the answer to our energy security and environmental problems is NOT growing food for fuel, it's cutting the amount of fuel we consume through energy efficiency, smart growth, etc. Energy experts know that saving a barrel of oil costs a lot less money than producing a corn-based substitute for that oil barrel, especially when producing the substitute destroys the Chesapeake Bay or another body of water. Thanks, but no thanks.
The Chesapeake Bay Foundation takes a different view. The problem isn't the production of food crops, farmers in the drainage have made large strides to control erosion and fertilizer through modern farming techniques. The problem is big ag. CAFOs - Concentrated Animal Feed Operations and the large amounts of manure that they end up spreading across the land.
http://www.cbf.org/s...
We could of course continue on the present course to convert the entire bay perimeter into subdivisions,golf courses, parking lots, and highways. And we could feed this boom population with food trucked in from Mexico, and China. Or we could find a way to keep farmers farming, food locally produced, and open space open.
The 2007 Farm Bill provides $150 million to help bay region farmers further control runoff. That is a good investment in the future good health of the Bay.
http://www.roanoke.c...
By the way, the flip side to "great corn prices for farmers" is "high food and feed prices for consumers, ranchers, etc.). And, I'd point out, there are a lot more of the latter than the former in this country.
Its really not that different than energy markets where commodity speculation jerks pricing every which way. Investors are speculating on corn with the knowledge that someone will buy it.
Americans have never had lower food prices. We are now spending less than 10% of income on food - nearly half outside the home. And the price of your food is mostly energy cost, fuel to grow it, fuel to process it, fuel to deliver it, fuel to keep it fresh.
Seriously, though, I agree with you that the situation from the individual perspective doesn't always take in the macro picture. Still, government policies - trade, tax, subsidy, whatever - help shape the playing field, the ground rules, and ultimately the outcomes for just about everything we do. Regarding subsidies for corn-based ethanol, I believe that they represent bad science, bad economics, and bad public policy, whether at the macro or micro level. Honestly, I'd rather just give farmers cash than subsidize corn per se.
Regarding food prices, the issue isn't so much that they represent a small share of the family budget right now, but what the trend is and what the perception is. I mean, hell, gasoline doesn't represent a high percentage of family income, but people stil follow gas prices to the penny.
Today that means growing organic fuels, including the admittedly ill-conceived corn-based ethanol fuels. Tomorrow, who knows? Using a form of organic photosynthesis to break apart water molecules, harnessing the hydrogen ions for fuel cells?
But I feel like these do illustrate my criticism of the scalability of current wind and solar technology. When energy consumption numbers outpace what the current technology is capable of producing, we decide the only solution is to build a bigger, more-complicated cell or turbine, when we might look to nature herself for a more-ellegant solution, a simpler, smaller solution. As Antoine de Saint-Exupéry said, "Perfection is achieved, not when there is nothing more to add, but when there is nothing left to take away.