Why are these arguments lame? Let us count the ways:
1. As a general rule, doing something in a panic leads to bad decision making. In this case, Tucker and others are panic-stricken that we might "lose" the entire rail to Dulles project if any changes are made. Well, with all due respect, that's pitiful. Do it right, or don't do it at all, that's the way I was raised. So what if we have to wait a few years; this is a 100+-year project, and if we do it wrong, our great grandchildren will be smacking their heads saying "what the HECK were they THINKING?!?"
2. Tucker says that the price of rail to Dulles is fixed, but then writes that just "69 percent of the $1.6 billion contract is fixed." As Scott Monett, president of Tysonstunnel.org, says: "if 31 percent of it is not fixed, [the contract] is not fixed." Hmmmm.
3. One major "alternative" - the tunnel option - has been demonstrated to be better in almost everyway. It also has overwhelming public support. For more on the cost (and other) benefits of a tunnel over the "aerial option," see the Washington Post column by Roger K. Lewis, professor emeritus of architecture at the University of Maryland, "Why Going Underground Makes Sense in Tysons Corner."
4. This is a "bass-ackwards" process, which start with the premise that we can't "lose" the money so we'd better do SOMETHING, then goes backwards and says "we already decided to do the bad option, now there's nothing we can do about it if we don't want to 'lose" the money." Then it ignores studies that say the tunnel option will actually cost far less over the long haul, not even counting the benefits in terms of Tyson's "smart" development and fewer economic losses during the years of construction. This is, frankly, nuts.
Again, with all due respect, this one's a no-brainer. Build the thing right, or delay it until it CAN be built right. If not, citizens of Northern Virginia will be cursing the people who made this decision for generations to come.
By the way, there's a big meeting on June 4 about this project, and TysonsTunnel.org is urging everyone to be there "to demand Transparency and Competitive Bidding for the entire Dulles Metrorail project."
We all need to get out to the primaries next month and work our butts off for representation.
If we think more holistically, about the systems-of-systems for the area:
* How much more land will be available for use if tunnel rather than above ground? For houses, offices, parks? What is the footprint difference?
* What will be the quality-of-life difference for homeowners/others for tunnel vs above ground?
* Related to both of those, what will be the difference in terms of real-estate values and real-estate taxes in the effected area? For example, if the tunnel option enables 500 acres to be built up at $1 million/acre of land value with, let us say, $2 million / acre of building value, and there are 20,000 homes who will have a $25,000 additional value due to not having sound of above-ground tunnel, that is $2 billion of assessed value, or roughly $20 million/year in tax revenue. (Note -- the actual tax is likely to be higher than that.) Where does the impact on property taxes get applied in this scenario?
* And, related, there is the economic activity. The homes would buy/sell for higher value. That additional land would have workers/buildings/etc generating economic activity.
By the way, I wonder if they calculate in the tunnel option that the trains, themselves, would use less energy for heating/cooling due to the underground moderating effect?
My wife, who does transportation appropriations issues, among other things, in the House informs me (assuming my understanding is correct)that it is unusual that the authorization was ever written such that it forecloses any adjustments in approach to achieve the same project.