UPDATE by Lowell: Is Hillary Clinton pulling away? That's certainly what a new American Research Group poll suggests, with Clinton at 39%, Obama at 22%, and Edwards at 19%.]
Hillary is doing a great job making her own case so far....
They seem to be playing this just about right so far!
In addition to that, she is the top second choice among Democrats...which makes her even stronger in head to head match ups with Obama or Edwards..
She is in a very strong position right now...which makes me happy, but this is politics...and anything can happen (see Jim Webb!!)
P.S. I continue to wait for Al Gore's (and/or Wes Clark's) final decision in this race before deciding what to do.
Why do I dislike Hillary? I have no confidence in her ability to win a general election. And I'm terrified of letting somebody into the White House who will continue to rape our work force and destroy our military with this horrible war.
I'm convinced that Hillary's unpopularity has nothing to do with the issues. It has to do with being a strong woman. I think the country is ready for a black president but not a woman (unless she's an airhead.)
It's interesting that some Muslim countries have or had women leaders.
MJW
On your overall point about economic populism, I'd say that Edwards is closest to Jim Webb, at least rhetoricalyl. Obama and Clinton seem very similar to me in terms of their economic positions...neither particularly populist as far as I can tell. I guess what I don't understand is the INTENSITY of your opposition to Hillary Clinton. It seems way out of proportion to anything substantive as far as I can tell.
1976: Dole, VP
1980: Bush, VP
1984: Bush, VP
1988: Bush, President
1992: Bush, President
1996: Dole, President
2000: Bush, President
2004: Bush, President
Kerry was a huge drag on candidates in NC in 2004, and if Hillary wont be worse, she will at least be as bad.
I really want a candidate who talks about a 50 state race, and who could be competitive in as many states as possible. I dont want a candidate who thinks that the only thing that he or she needs to do is be meaner than Kerry and win Ohio and Florida. I want a candidate that actually wants my vote.
Ohio is clearly not in the south, and Florida's voting patterns separate it pretty clearly from the south. It is its own animal.
And yes, I would like a President who cares about me. When candidates refuse to campaign somewhere they tell everyone who lives in that place that they are not worth their time. Anyone who lives in the south can see what happens when we get ignored. We get the horrific state of rural america, a place with huge job loss, almost no available medical service, etc etc. Why should we expect Hillary (or anyone else) care about changing that when they say that our support is useless to them in their candidacy?
All of the following are from SurveyUSA by way of Pollster.com
Virginia Thompson 47 Clinton 43
Virginia Thompson 38 Edwards 48
Virginia Thompson 46 Obama 40Alabama Thompson 49 Clinton 44
Alabama Thompson 44 Edwards 42
Alabama Thompson 53 Obama 37Virginia Giuliani 49 Clinton 44
Virginia Giuliani 45 Edwards 45
Virginia Giuliani 53 Obama 38
Oh, and "up big" does not mean within the margin of error
Ohio Giuliani 45 Clinton 48
Ohio Giuliani 42 Edwards 50
Ohio Giuliani 51 Obama 40
Without Gore or Clark
1) Obama
2) Clinton
3) Richardson
4) Edwards
5) Biden
With Gore and Clark
1) Clark
2) Gore
3) Obama
4) Clinton
5) Richardson
I like the bottom group to choose from, If I had my way Gore and Clark would both be running. We deserve to choose from the best and it isn't without them.
As for Gore, he's the mystery. I suspect if he saw a good opening, he might take the bait, but he's sure waiting a long-time in these days of early campaigning.
I also like Edwards, especially his thoughts economic fairness, but it looks like he's starting to top out.
Still, it's very early and much will happen, but Hillary seems to be weathering the Obama storm and looks to have some legs.
Best of all, you gotta love Bill Clinton, and we can't underestimate his power when it comes to communicating with voters. This was a remarkable piece of video, and every time I hear him speak, I curse the amendment that limits presidents to two terms. Seems like an election would put enough limits on presidential terms and why would we want to lose someone who is doing a good job. A little too much Democracy for me.
Anyway, I think Hillary would make a fine president. For me, it's early, but she's certainly as well or better qualified than anyone I see out there, and at some point we have to look a qualifications and not just poll numbers. Sometimes I feel like we watch the polls to make sure we attach ourselves to the winner instead of looking at qualifications. I make that mistake myself sometimes.
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