Clinton 45% McCain 45%
Giuliani 47% Clinton 43%
Clinton 50% Romney 35%
Obama 48% McCain 37%
Obama 48% Giuliani 39%
Obama 54% Romney 25%
Edwards 48% McCain 37%
Edwards 47% Giuliani 41%
Edwards 52% Romney 26%
On the favorable/unfavorable scale, Obama is +35, Giuliani is +22, McCain is +21, Edwards is +20, Fred Thompson is +15, Clinton is +11, Romney is even (22/22), and Gingrich is -20. Wow, those Obama numbers are impressive. And wow, those Romney numbers are unimpressive, despite all his money!
Finally, a USA Today/Gallup Poll shows the Democrats with a generic 13-point margin (51/38) over the Republicans for the White House in 2008.
All in all, I'd say it's looking pretty good if you're on the blue team right about now. But who knows what things will look like in 2008.
Hillary is the best campaigner and is more savvy politically...particularly in dealing with the right wing sleaze machine. My money is on her being the strongest candidate in the general...
Edwards is a sufficient campaigner. After all, he did win an election in a Red State. And Obama won one of the largest victories in political history in Illinois. Hillary won by a lot smaller margin against Lazio, who was a horrible candidate picked as a last minute replacement as Giuliani decided not to run. Hillary had to carpet-bag to New York to win, and I HATE carpet-baggers.
You say Hillary is the best campaigner? She's won two elections in Democrat-friendly New York in years that were generally good for Senate Democrats. Obama's massive victory in 2004, or Edwards striking victory four years after '94 in a Red State, are far more impressive.
The fact is that polls show Hillary is a less sure bet than Edwards or Obama. I will continue to think that by nominating Hillary, Democrats would prove they really have no interest in winning anything.
Republicans need a Christmas miracle, but I am afraid all they are getting this year and next are lumps of coal, which incidentally should give us something to do with that 500 year supply we have.
If you average the three matchups, here is what you arrive at:
AVG Clinton vs AVG Republican: 46/42; +4
AVG Edwards vs AVG Republican: 49/35; +14
AVG Obama vs AVG Republican: 50/34; +16
I once thought that Clinton may be gunning for VP. I personally think she would hurt the ticket given her unfavorables - I wouldn't want her as a running mate. The only way Clinton stands a chance is if she improves her unfavorables.