Edwards, Obama Running Away with Daily Kos Straw Poll
By: Lowell
Published On: 3/15/2007 2:18:40 PM
With nearly 11,000 votes so far, the Daily Kos straw poll for March 2007 sees John Edwards leading with 40% of the vote, Barack Obama in second with 26%, and everyone else far behind (9% say "no freaking clue" or "other," followed by Bill Richardson at 8% and Hillary Clinton at 3%).
There are significant changes from the February results: Edwards up 14 points, Obama up 1 point, and Clark removed from the poll (he was at 14 points in February). What appears to have happened is that the support for Clark, who most people are now assuming isn't running, went almost 100% to John Edwards. Verrrry interesting, but as usual, do these blogosphere polls have any relationship to the American public as a whole, let alone in Iowa and New Hamsphire? I am highly skeptical.
Comments
Edwards is the new Dean (drmontoya - 3/15/2007 2:30:30 PM)
He netroots support is very very impressive. Now, let's see if his campaign camp translate that to national polls and perhaps votes in the primaries.
Agreed (DanG - 3/15/2007 3:45:59 PM)
I'm leaning towards Richardson myself, but have to admit that I wouldn't be that upset with an Edwards candidacy.
Courting the blogs is no accident (Jambon - 3/15/2007 3:57:13 PM)
Netroots support is probably Edwards only shot at raising enough money to compete with Obama and Hillary. I'm sure that is part of the reason he's reaching out aggressively to the blogs (and to labor for that matter). So I don't think this is about turning Kos straw polls into votes so much as it is turning it into cash :)
How do you all think California moving up their primary will affect everything? From the little I've read, it seems this will favor the front runners even more. I find that rather unfortunate.
California helps Obama (drmontoya - 3/15/2007 5:37:00 PM)
I think. My native California is a weird state, but they will likely go for the person in February who is leading or surging in the polls.
Dean had a monopoly on the netroots in '04 (Chris Guy - 3/15/2007 4:25:37 PM)
It was something like Dean 80%, Clark 15%, Kucinich 4%, other 1%.
Excellent point (Jambon - 3/15/2007 4:48:08 PM)
Edwards doesn't have a Deanlike monopoly among the netroots support and potential donors. It would probably take some sort of endorsement by Markos, DFA, or MoveOn for him to truly begin raking in the dollars online.
This has got me all nostalgic now! Ahh the memories...
One more "Dean Bat" (Jambon - 3/15/2007 4:54:34 PM)
YOU GOTTA BELIEVE!
"then we're gonna take back the WHITEHOUSE........
YAAAAAAAAAAAAARRRRRRRRRHHHHHHHHGGGGGHHHHHH!"
I'd actually say that Clark was much closer to Dean (Lowell - 3/15/2007 5:09:48 PM)
than that. Clark raised as much (or more) money than Dean in the 4th quarter of 2003, and we were nipping at Dean's heels in terms of MeetUps and websites supporting our candidate. Also, the "Draft Clark" movement was a powerful force. Sure, on Daily Kos, it was probably 80% pro-Dean, but more broadly I'd say that Clark and Dean were the two netroots phenoms of 2003/2004.
Agreed, DailyKos may prefer Edwards this year (Chris Guy - 3/15/2007 5:38:39 PM)
But Obama, I would argue, has more support online overall.
