The 72-hour Plan ... Do We Have One?

By: Dianne
Published On: 2/1/2007 10:28:26 AM

In the RK diary Gallup: Blue America, Blue Virginia? Shawn and others have correctly addressed what I don't see addressed enough in this and other progressive blogs  -- that we Democrats need to organize ourselves much better. The best way intelligently organize ourselves is to develop a plan (a strategic plan, a plan of action, call it what you will).  In an earlier diary, What's Our Strategy For Electing Democrats To The General Assembly This Year? I asked -- "What's your understanding of what the state party, your District committee, your county or your city committee's plan is for supporting and electing your 2007 Democratic candidate(s) whomever they might be?  Yes, plan. I think this would be a good starting point to discuss what we know, what we don't know, and how we can get to know."  Only one person responded to what we should consider the most important question...What's the Plan to win?  Without a plan, as a fellow Democrat said, it's just  "chaos".

Shawn is right.  We haven't done enough to get out the Democratic vote.  We haven't done the work.  And the facts he gives us should be a wake up call once and for all.

The Republican Party understands GOTV and what it takes to win.  The Republicans have long known the fact that they can win by organizing their efforts. They've successfully learned the value of statewide grassroots organizing: person-to-person contact, identifying their base early and following them throughout the election cycle to ensure that they get to the polls.  They've successfully identified the importance of an absentee voter program.  They've implemented plans that win for them.

After the 2000 Presidential election, Republicans saw that the Democrats actually received the majority of the vote in 2000.  So they did an extensive research project to ascertain the most effective means to win. The following discussion from the Hoover Institute's website outlines the Republican's plan for winning. 

http://www.hoover.or...


The mission statement for the 72-hour plan was to examine Republican and Democratic turnout efforts, conduct tests to determine the most effective ways of turning out voters, develop a blueprint for success, and train activists for successful implementation. The 72-hour plan focuses on seven key areas:

1. Increasing person-to-person contacts. The Republicans' grassroots development plan was detailed and aggressive in 2002. One team leader was recruited and trained for every 50 targeted voters. These team leaders were given monthly training, specific responsibilities, and a clear time line. The results were impressive: The RNC reports that 130,272 volunteers enlisted and that these volunteers made 12,604,410 phone calls and knocked on 8,405,119 doors. College campus recruiting-an area of particular concern-drew in 22,151 College Republicans.

2. Registering new voters. The registration outreach program was driven by detailed analyses of census block characteristics. Residents in neighborhoods deemed "likely Republican" were contacted using booths, door-to-door approaches, and mail. The goal was to register 10 percent of the total universe of unregistered Republicans. The preliminary data indicate that the registration efforts were successful (although the Democrats often matched or even exceeded the GOP's registration increases).

3.  Growing the party. The 72-hour plan targeted groups with which the GOP has recently underperformed: women, African Americans, Hispanics, and Asian Americans. The details are unclear, but we do know that the RNC and state parties attempted to identify team leaders in minority communities and to identify conservative members of these groups based on voter lists provided by gun, religious conservative, home school, and sportsmen's organizations. We also know that they communicated group-specific messages via direct mail and paid advertising in newsletters and on radio stations.

4. Increasing coalition activity. The coalition program looked to identify prominent individuals with credibility within a specific coalition or formal leaders of coalition groups. The coalitional groups of particular interest include the right-to-life associations, family policy councils, home school associations, sportsman alliance groups, veterans' groups, small business associations, farm bureaus, chambers of commerce, and anti-tax groups. Party personnel were charged with hosting regular conference calls with key leaders to invest them in Republican efforts and to motivate them on issues they care about. Events, in particular, were targeted-Republican representatives were present at every gun show, state fair, Veterans of Foreign Wars convention, Christian music festival, business expo, anti-tax rally, and fish fry they could find.

5.  Improving voter identification and message targeting. Ultimately, much of the coalition work was designed to obtain lists of voters associated with the above groups. These lists-essential to the RNC's voter identification and message targeting-added to the size and scope of the voter list; identified favorable, unfavorable, and undecided voters; targeted efforts; saved valuable campaign time and resources; and improved existing voter lists by adding new and valuable information.

After collecting and augmenting voter lists, the Republicans engaged in "micro-targeting"-that is, supplementing voter identification calls with polling information and then tailoring mail and phone calls to the interests and concerns of specific voters. This is not to say that each targeted voter received a personalized message. Rather, a range of messages, matched to the appropriate voters in a state or district, was devised to cover all important issues and concerns.

6.  Enhancing early and absentee voting programs. Assuming that convenience voting reduces vote loss arising out of uncontrollable election day circumstances, state parties were encouraged to gather information from state secretaries of state and to create schedules to allow for voting deadlines. Mail and phone contacts were designed to provide absentee ballot request forms and information on precinct locations and deadlines.

7. Planning for the final 72 hours of the campaign. Fittingly, the 72-hour plan demanded that state, county, and precinct representatives have detailed and aggressive plans for the last 72 hours of the campaign. The RNC asked block workers to consult with activists on collecting information and creating a calendar of events, training, scheduling, time commitments, and personnel.

...In 2000 the Democrats enjoyed a 3-point party identification advantage among voters; in 2002 the Republicans had a 4-point edge.

...Both the Republicans and the news media believe that the GOP is on the right track. Consider the assessment of the Washington Post: "Republicans have spent more than $1 million trying to correct the problem [of neglecting personal contacts]. In the process, they rediscovered an elemental truth about political organizing: Volunteers and personal contact count more than high-tech weapons and even television advertising. Republicans say they mistakenly believed that `GOTV' meant `get on television,' not `get out the vote.'

From teacherken's diary What we can do for 2007  http://raisingkaine....

The work we do in the 5 states with legislative and/or gubernatorial contests is a precondition to controlling redistricting in 2011.  It is also important for the building of the party structures to continue control of Congress and to gain control of the White House in 2008.
Are we, as a state party, doing what the Republicans devised and implemented back in 2001?  Again I'll ask, what's our strategic plan for winning here in Virginia for 2007?  Just google "strategic planning" and you'll understand what the Republicans already understand.  Without a plan, we'll stay in the red column.

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