RK ARCHIVE - Analysis of remaining precincts, Part II

1. James City County Absentee (C003)
2. One of two precincts in James City County called "Roberts B (0502)"
3. Raynor in Isle of Wight County.
4. Fairfax City Central Absentee Precinct (C011)

Now, I just spoke with the James City County registrars office. I was told there are no voters left to count in their county. Long story short, all of the voters in James City County live in Virginia's first district. The uncounted "precincts" of that county that are in VA-03 are part of the James River. There are no more votes for anybody outstanding here.

The last two districts will - at best for Allen- add only a few dozen votes for him. Based on '04 turnout numbers, Raynor only had 170 total voters (+17 for the GOP) and Fairfax City absentees went heavily for the Dems. Most likely, Webb's lead will grow slightly.

Expect Sen.-Elect Webb's current lead to remain largely unchanged - he will be certified the winner of this Senate seat. After that, Allen will be able to call for a recount.

(UPDATE: Fairfax City is done counting, and Webb's lead has grown. With only a maximum of a few hundred voters from that one tiny Isle of Wight precinct outstanding, Senator-Elect Jim Webb currently leads by 7132.)

Comments

still holding my breath (chiefsjen - 11/8/2006 12:20:01 PM)

but everybody seems pretty sure it's all but a done deal.

congrats to webb -- congrats and undying thank you to Lowell! (hugs)

hugs to everyone that has posted on here and really took the fight to allen BIG TIME!!!!

it truly is a win for democracy, a win for Va and a win for america and our future!

HUGS TO ALL!

My heart is still in my throat..... (beachydem - 11/8/2006 12:34:39 PM)

Thanks for all your great analyses Rob, they've been inspiring over that worthless MSM coverage :D

MSM love the drama. (loboforestal - 11/8/2006 12:39:29 PM)

... Stay tuned !!!!

(It pays the bills over at CNN and Fox)

Webb's won it though he may have to go through a recount. Some reporters and lawyers will get assignments and Webb will have to cough up some $$$ to pay people some overtime, but it's over.

Thanks Rob (PM - 11/8/2006 12:42:32 PM)

Anyone else fell, you know, kind of bloggy this morning? That's a new word combining blogging, groggy and slightly hungover.

And if anyone is up for a RK blog get together/party, I'm in. I'll even host it (Fairfax Cty) is people are interested.

Thanks, Rob, for Keeping Us Informed (and Optimistic) (KathyinBlacksburg - 11/8/2006 12:52:27 PM)

I can't thank you enough for your work on the data analysis and live blogging.

Please Explain Discrepancy (Timothy - 11/8/2006 1:01:09 PM)

Hello! My first post here. This has been really confusing me since last night. If you look at vote totals at cnn.com which supposedly come from the AP, they are different than what is posted on the Virginia SBE website. In summary, the CNN vote totals are much lower. Can anyone explain why they are different????

My work white board . . (JohnM - 11/8/2006 1:12:19 PM)

Since coming in ive been updating the vote total from the SBE as it updates on a big board in my cube.

I love how it looks
Webb 1,172,152
Allen 1,165,019

Thank you Va!! Thanks to all of you Webbites out there that made this possible!!!

Montana Gone for Tester (norman swingvoter - 11/8/2006 1:41:04 PM)

Fox News just announced that Montana has gone for the Democrat. Get ready for Virginia to get nastier. As Virginia goes, so goes the Senate. It's great Webb is ahead.

3rd Congressional District (Elise - 11/11/2006 5:11:13 PM)

Could you post a map of CD3? It would be a lovely illustration of the way our wonderful General Assembly satisfied our constitutional requirement that districts be "compact and contiguous" when they squeezed all possible black (and native American) Virginians into Bobby Scott's district. James City County's precinct Roberts B was created to link Charles City County to Newport News without affecting any James City County voters.