Virginia results thread
By: Rob
Published On: 11/7/2006 7:28:49 PM
Polls close in 45 minutes ... and then Virginia results will be posted here all night. In the meantime, give us your predictions, keep the voting stories coming, and finish GOTV!
(Final national results posted here)
25th update: More tightening! Down to a .14% spread with 97.67% reporting. With mostly Webb-friendly absentees left, NLS calls it for Webb. We'll see...
24th update: Same spread with 97.5% reporting. Still waiting on a lot of absentees. Will they be counted tonight? How many of these votes are out there? Most of them are in Webb friendly counties.
23rd update: .21% spread (about 4700 votes) with 97.42% reporting.
22nd update: .34% spread (about 7000 votes) with 97.22% reporting. Despite losses throughout Virginia, Dems will win the House.
21st update: Similar spread (down to .57% spread). Am I reading this right? Absentees in Arlington and Fairfax haven't been counted?
20th update: 13,000 (.6%) with 95.6% reporting. Right now, it looks like its up to Richmond City and Loudoun County.
19th update: Down to 11,900 with 94.3% reporting.
18th update: Back up to 19,300 with 92% reporting. The 10th and 11th still under 80% reporting. Also, the 3rd (heavily for Webb) is also lagging at 85% reporting.
17th update: Moving the early updates to extended entry. Webb just shaved the lead to 17,000 or 1%, with 91.5% reporting. NOVA's 10th and 11th districts are still the under-reporting districts.
16th update: Yikes. Allen's numbers just spiked. He's up over 26,500. (90% reporting).... A lot of NOVA still hasn't reported , especially Fairfax, Prince William, Loudon Counties.
Archives:
First update at 7:15: Polls are closed, no numbers yet.
Second update at 7:20: Allen has a meaningless 60-38% lead.
Third update at 7:20: Allen's lead down to 57-42%. 7820 of the 13,000 votes are in VA-05 and VA-06.
Fourth update: Poof! Just like that, Allen's lead is gone. 49-49%.
Fifth update: Webb has his first lead! 52-47% Also, looks like exit polls have Webb winning the women vote by 12 points despite Allen's attacks.
Sixth update: Webb's lead narrows to 50-48% with 17% reporting. Anti-equality amendment at 55-45%. Kellam and Drake tied at 50% with 4% reporting. Wolf up on Feder 51.5-47% with 9% reporting.
Seventh update: Allen back up 50-48% with 49% reporting.
Eigth update: Allen lead holds with 61% reporting, anti-equality amendment up big, Drake up 51-48% with 50% reporting, Wolf up 55-43% with 47% reporting
Ninth update: Allen's lead shrinks slightly but basically holds at 50-48% with 68% reporting.
Tenth update: Same old, same old with 73% reporting.
11th update: Woah! Some numbers pour in for Webb - 49-49% Allen is up 9600 votes.
12th update: Allen up less that .5%, 8240 votes.
13th update: Tightening! 7655 votes!
14th update: MSNBC reports both camps are saying the range is in recount range.
15th update: Still tightening. 5200 votes with 85% reporting.
Comments
I (phriendlyjaime - 11/7/2006 7:33:22 PM)
am going to THROW UP.
From the plank and political wire (Doug Garnett-Deakin - 11/7/2006 7:36:22 PM)
Close your eyes if you don't trust the new exit polling!
These numbers have now come in to me from two different sources though like the others they seem too pro-Dem to be true:
Dems up:
VA 52-47
RI 53-46
PA 57-42
OH 57-43
NJ 52-45
MT 53-46
MO 50-48
MD 53-46
GOP up:
TN 51-48
AZ 50-46
--Ryan Lizza
hate amendment (TurnVirginiaBlue - 11/7/2006 8:12:22 PM)
30% for hate voted for Webb.
Black vote? (loboforestal - 11/7/2006 8:14:12 PM)
got a link for that?
Dunno who it was... (ericy - 11/7/2006 8:18:08 PM)
but they just quoted that number on CNN...
no (TurnVirginiaBlue - 11/7/2006 8:19:04 PM)
they did exit polls Webb got women,
Allen got military vote. no breakdown by ethnicity...
and I'm very sorry I don't remember the exact percentages
both with mid 50% to mid 40% in split
Can *anyone* explain (libra - 11/7/2006 11:42:44 PM)
why *Allen* would get the military vote??? Though, at 22:33, it seems that both Newport News and Norfolk have gone for Webb (thanks for the vainteractive link, whoever it was. It's been my lifeline for the past hour
).
The VFW seems to be suffering from CRAS (Cranial-Rectal Adhesion Syndrome); I'm soooo ticked off with them that today, for the first time *in years*, I did not chip in when they were collecting at Krogers (where I went to "defrost" after my 3hr stint in front of the polls -- 40 deg and pissin'down rain.)
At least Lexington went for Webb and I think I swung two of those votes
Whew (madgranny - 11/7/2006 9:28:06 PM)
I saw that hate amendment moving forward and was afraid it was a bad sign. OK I feel better now....but Lord I hate for that amendment to pass in my state!
cnn (PM - 11/7/2006 8:18:30 PM)
exit poll -- female result, +13 for Webb
County Site Links? (loboforestal - 11/7/2006 8:20:31 PM)
Anybody checking the county election sites? They run ahead of state site. Paste your URL to the county results in a response to this thread so we can check 'em.
MSNBC reported that a woman in VA (lwumom - 11/7/2006 8:33:15 PM)
got a call at her home in Newport News telling her that she had to drive to VA Beach to vote, so she did....found out it was a hoax and drove back to Newport News and voted! Now that's a dedicated voter!
anybody? (loboforestal - 11/7/2006 8:43:09 PM)
Things are looking okay. Allen's doens't seem to be getting the landslide he needs out in the rural counties. Can anybody do the algebra and figure out what the results is going to be?
Wait until the 8th and 11th start coming in... (Lowell - 11/7/2006 8:44:35 PM)
Same thing I said in the primary (Greg - 11/7/2006 8:46:22 PM)
"Wait for the 8th."
Wolf Feder close (PM - 11/7/2006 8:44:15 PM)
Wolf 50 Feder 49 with 4%
Results ahead of MSNBC (Tink - 11/7/2006 8:47:07 PM)
Where are you guys getting these numbers from?
State Board of Elections (Lowell - 11/7/2006 8:49:33 PM)
Unfortunately, their site is having major problems. Uh, guys? Ever hear of getting more server capacity?
don't refresh (PM - 11/7/2006 8:51:29 PM)
it is refreshing automatically
now 50-49 with 12% reporting
CNN seems to be ahead (loboforestal - 11/7/2006 8:52:29 PM)
http://www.cnn.com/E...
But their sources must be different.
What is (generally) the order of reporting? (relawson - 11/7/2006 8:48:08 PM)
Is it completely random - meaning each pricinct reports when they finish counting?
As I recall during the primary, Miller was leading early on but Webb still came on strong once NOVA pricincts started reporting.
Does NOVA tend to report later or is it a crap-shoot?
The larger precincts tend to come in last... (ericy - 11/7/2006 8:52:32 PM)
They have the largest number of voters, and all that. These days with electronic machines, it is much easier and quicker to tabulate, of course (if you believe the numbers),
Come to think of it, some of the precincts may still have people voting if there were long lines, and my guess is that this is more likely to be happening in urban areas.
Multiple reports of long lines in NOVA (relawson - 11/7/2006 8:53:59 PM)
That has got to be good news.
What percent (Tink - 11/7/2006 8:54:42 PM)
Oh these reports - is there anyway to say what percentage is reporting. The 50 - 48 is what percent reporting?
at 7:53 PM (Hugo Estrada - 11/7/2006 8:59:31 PM)
Allen 50.53%
Webb 48.32%
at 18.58% of the vote
And now Webb in the lead again. (ericy - 11/7/2006 9:02:24 PM)
By a razor thin margin.
49.49% to 49.43%, with 19.69% reporting...
Webb edges ahead by a sliver (relawson - 11/7/2006 9:02:43 PM)
J H Webb Jr Democratic 193,123 49.49%
G F Allen Republican 192,485 49.33%
19.69% reporting
CNN exit poll for Va, (PM - 11/7/2006 9:02:54 PM)
http://www.cnn.com/E...
But I don't see a "final" number, just all the partials
Vote by party affiliation (relawson - 11/7/2006 9:15:25 PM)
.....................Allen........Webb
Democrat (37%).....6%..........94%
Republican (38%).....92%.........7%
Independent (25%).....42%.........55%
The independents are going strong for Webb. More Republicans seem to be voting Democratic than vice versa.
I'm going to make an early prediction with just 30% reporting based upon all the numbers I am seeing. 51% to 49% for Jim Webb. Greater than a 1% spread, probably less than 2%.
Any way you look at it, this is going to be close.
0% of Arlington in (scottyd911 - 11/7/2006 9:09:16 PM)
But Webb is only up 400 votes with 25% in and it's making me so nervous.
This is the most anxious I have been about anything in a long time.
Anxiety!! (jackiehva - 11/7/2006 9:15:29 PM)
Like scottyd, I haven't been this nervous as far back as I can remember. If only I had some Vallium. I heard somewhere that the numbers thus far are from the "rural" regions. Maybe NOVA will take Jim way over the top. The thought of more years of Allen doesn't bear thinking about. Go Jim!!!
webb up by less than 100 votes with 35 % in (tuscumbia - 11/7/2006 9:17:32 PM)
I hope the urban vote comes in last!
I was hoping Lowell would have some inside dope (lauralib - 11/7/2006 9:18:33 PM)
from the campaign
RE: Down to the wire (JPTERP - 11/7/2006 9:21:12 PM)
I show Webb up by 38 votes out of almost 800,000 cast. Precincts have been reporting at roughly 30% across the state, so it's hard to see a strong bias towards any GOP or Dem stronghold. I hope that some Dem strongholds are still on the way, but I can see the absentee ballots coming in to play.
agree (Arlington Tom - 11/7/2006 9:24:17 PM)
Looks like congressional districts are reporting at about the same rate- so looks like early voting and absentee votes come into play? Do we expect the traditional republican bias on these?
40% (spatne - 11/7/2006 9:25:19 PM)
CNN has Webb just erasing a 9K Allen lead. Webb is now ahead by ~1100 with 40% in. Any idea why CNN numbers have been different all night?
CNN does have different numbers (PM - 11/7/2006 9:31:43 PM)
don't know
Well, at least Santorum is gone, according to MSNBC
50% (CNN) (spatne - 11/7/2006 9:39:21 PM)
Allen up by almost 14K. CNN has a county by county map that they shade red or blue. I'm not from VA, and don't know the geography well, but NoVA looks like it still has a lot of white left.
Thanks... (spatne - 11/7/2006 10:07:04 PM)
...from a helpless bystander in PA.
getting local results (PM - 11/7/2006 9:43:03 PM)
http://sbe.virginiai...
you can get the county results by "Select for locality" at the top right
RE: Potential Good News (JPTERP - 11/7/2006 9:53:55 PM)
This CNN map is very good--it has a county by county breakdown.
Alexandria and Arlington still have only 50% reporting. If the numbers for the other 50% precincts are consistent with the first reporting precincts, Webb could be looking at an additional 20,000 to 25,000 votes.
http://www.cnn.com/E...
More NoVa Coming In (Oakton Dem - 11/7/2006 10:29:02 PM)
Loudon and Prince William seem to be breaking for Webb, and the bulk of their precints have yet to report in. As of 9:22 pm:
Loudon: Allen 47.73%, Webb 50.92% with 26/58 precints in
Prince William: Allen 43.36%, Webb 55.14%, 10/68 precints
KEEP YOUR FINGERS CROSSED. This is definitely a nail-biter.
Prince William could be the decider, went for Bush in '04, but... (Greg - 11/7/2006 10:32:59 PM)
... if it trends with the rest of NoVA, it could tip it for Webb.
More Localities to Watch (Oakton Dem - 11/7/2006 10:35:22 PM)
Good news: Richmond City is still coming in and Allen is getting clobbered there (27%). Newport News is also still coming in and is breaking for Webb.
BAD news: Most of the vote is still coming in for Roanoke and Virginia Beach, where Allen is leading.
Webb NoVa numbers (D. - 11/7/2006 10:06:23 PM)
I just came from the sbe.virginia site.
It does not show any precints from Fairfax City reporting yet. But the local public access Fairfax City channel shows unofficial numbers. Webb by 1,200 votes (about 3k to 4.3k for Webb).
Fairfax County public access also has unofficial numbers. Webb about 2 to 1 over Allen. 165k to 112k according to the cable station. SBE shows 85% reporting with Webb having 72k to 55k.
9:08 (beachydem - 11/7/2006 10:12:06 PM)
Precincts Reporting: 1771 of 2443 (72.49%)
Registered Voters: 4,555,778 Total Voting: 1,598,051 Voter Turnout: 35.08 %
Candidates Party Vote Totals Percentage
G F Allen Republican 805,944 50.43%
J H Webb Jr Democratic 772,957 48.37%
G G Parker Independent Green 17,635 1.10%
Write Ins 1,515 0.09%
View Results by District Locality Total: 1,598,051
CNN has more NoVa num bners (PM - 11/7/2006 10:17:04 PM)
http://www.cnn.com/E...
and its closer Allen
(Incumbent)
779,648 50%
Webb
772,649 49%
Parker
17,300 1%
at 70%
Big leap for Webb!!! (relawson - 11/7/2006 10:20:06 PM)
Now within 0.5% according to the official numbers. 49-49.
Getting Nervous (Matusleo - 11/7/2006 10:26:27 PM)
It looks like 88% in votes are in Arlington. Webb is winning big there, but if those votes are already counted... *shudder* Gah!! Come on Webb!!
they're in the CNN numbers (PM - 11/7/2006 10:33:11 PM)
but not the VA SBE numbers;
Slow SBE for Fairfax (D. - 11/7/2006 10:35:51 PM)
SBE still has only counted 145k of the 300k votes in Fairfax.
Right now they have Webb up 20k votes in Fairfax.
The unofficial cable number (Channel 16 on Cox) is Webb up 60k. 40k more pickup to go.
Ignore what I said (D. - 11/7/2006 10:49:00 PM)
.. I was looking at the wrong thing. Oops.
This thing is tight - c'mon Webb!
need to update your browser (justicat - 11/7/2006 10:49:19 PM)
most of fairfax is in--richmond and virginia beach and some outlying countys mostly...
-archie
Chesapeake shifiting (Greg - 11/7/2006 10:38:33 PM)
still breaking slightly for Allen, but not the 58-40 that it was earlier, it's now 90% in.
Still waiting for most of Virginia Beach.
Virginia Beach (Oakton Dem - 11/7/2006 10:51:19 PM)
Agree that Virginia Beach is critical. I'm guessing that it'll have slightly less votes than Loudon and Prince William combined, but I'm concerned that Allen will have a bigger margin of victory in VB than Webb will in L & PW.
As of 9:41 PM:
Virginia Beach: 53.43% for Allen, 45.37% for Webb, 29/87 precints reporting
looks at best (TurnVirginiaBlue - 11/7/2006 10:50:20 PM)
like a recount to me. Does anyone know if the absentee/military ballots have been counted?
Recount Rules? (Oakton Dem - 11/7/2006 10:54:06 PM)
What are the rules for a recount?
Recount rules . . . (JPTERP - 11/8/2006 12:26:25 AM)
"In Virginia, there are no automatic recounts. Only the apparent losing candidate can ask for a recount, and only if the difference between the apparent winning and losing candidate is 1% or less of the total votes cast for the two candidates. The apparent loser cannot request a recount until after the election is certified."
http://www.sbe.virgi...
dont be discouraged --60 good precincts still out there (justicat - 11/7/2006 11:05:48 PM)
arl-6 alex 1 nn-9 norf 12 peters-5 richmond 22
and still hope for loudoun's 32?
-archie
Prince William? (Oakton Dem - 11/7/2006 11:09:41 PM)
As of 10:01 PM, there are still 51 precints that have yet to come in for Prince William. Could the county go to Webb? Webb is leading 51-47% in PW with 16/67 precints.
realist (TurnVirginiaBlue - 11/7/2006 11:09:43 PM)
have the absentee/military been counted?
Moving back for Webb (relawson - 11/7/2006 11:07:08 PM)
It's less than 1% right now with 91% in. I just hope there is a Democratic stronghold not yet counted.
33% of Richmond, plus 17% of Norfolk City (Greg - 11/7/2006 11:25:36 PM)
plus Petersburg
Close but no cigar (demo925 - 11/7/2006 11:08:34 PM)
I think it will get close but from my observation Allen will have the votes to win this thing.
Green candidate may do it again (relawson - 11/7/2006 11:10:30 PM)
That 1% could come in handy.
IG Vote (Oakton Dem - 11/7/2006 11:16:14 PM)
Dunno, if you know the Senate race was going to be this close, and you still vote for the Independent Green candidate, maybe the choice for those voters was IG or not to show up.
COMMENT HIDDEN (Ian g - 11/7/2006 11:16:59 PM)
A virulent racist (PM - 11/7/2006 11:24:58 PM)
And you likely are too
A virulent racist (PM - 11/7/2006 11:25:06 PM)
And you likely are too
You seem happy (relawson - 11/7/2006 11:26:37 PM)
At the possibility a person more loyal to corporations and their campaign $$$ may win. Allen is another Republican disaster.
Only a racist would think he is not (Oakton Dem - 11/7/2006 11:41:29 PM)
Only someone who thinks that pointing out the only foreign-looking person in a crowd to get a laugh is not a big deal (i.e. a fellow racist) sincerely believes Allen is not a racist pig. The man does look like he is going to win reelection, but what he really deserves is to be squealing like a stuck pig. Why not just whip out the KKK mask and stop pretending?
Richmond City Still Highly Unreported (NukeTeacher - 11/7/2006 11:28:35 PM)
Richmond City still only repoting 46 of 68 precincts reporting.
COMMENT HIDDEN (Ian g - 11/7/2006 11:32:45 PM)
Can we keep the neo-fascists off the site? (PM - 11/7/2006 11:53:04 PM)
Ian G -- do you know what Kristallnacht was? And who perpetrated it?
That's the type of person you are, and so is the person you support
I feel so strongly that Allen is an evil person (PM - 11/7/2006 11:35:47 PM)
That I have been thinking for some time that there should be a movement to shun his major supporters, including his bloggers
There is, as I recall, something like that done in some schools and academies
If there's a blogger conference, exclude them, or refuse to deal with them at all
And we need to think about a movement to create a separate state for northern Virginia
Well, I'll hug my kids more tightly tonight, and try to be happy that at least one house of Congress will be taken from the crooks
Spoiler of Sacred Spaces (seveneasypeaces - 11/7/2006 11:53:36 PM)
Agree agree. Amazing that he compares a crappy product like slim fast to the giant corporations supporting their back scratchers. A problem with the right wing corporate money is that it is quid pro quo. Look at the people going to jail now. Then you have a democrat congressman who was obviously set up and apparently vulnerable to chump change. The corruption in the present administration and expressed in unbridled power is nothing like we've ever seen. But let's talk about mustard and apparel merchants.
Webb still in it - race isn't over until the last vote is counted (relawson - 11/7/2006 11:42:46 PM)
I'm looking at the pricincts reporting. There are still some Webb strongholds out there yet to be tallied. It is about a 0.75% spread.
In short, I don't think this race will be called tonight. It is way too close.
getting tighterer (justicat - 11/7/2006 11:45:39 PM)
ffx - 3
arl - 6
newport news - 5
norf - 5
petersburg - 4
rich- 18
dare we hope loudoun - 32
...the tightening was from norfolk...
-archie
Loudoun! (Tink - 11/7/2006 11:49:27 PM)
Where the heck is Loudoun? I'm sure it will go Webb.
Loudon Mostly In (Oakton Dem - 11/7/2006 11:57:35 PM)
Most of Loudon is in (46/58 precincts) as of 10:51. Webb is leading in Loudon, but so far only a net gain of about a thousand votes. It's not enough to overcome Allen's overall lead.
12 precincts left in Loudon (PM - 11/7/2006 11:59:28 PM)
Webb only has +1000 so far there; thought he'd do better
come on ya all (TurnVirginiaBlue - 11/7/2006 11:53:44 PM)
Someone has to know if the absentee's have been counted and if so are they reported with the counties AND the military vote,
where is that counted and reported?
I'm looking at this and it's so tight this matters.
I'm looking at the Fairfax County subpage.... (SterlingNorth - 11/8/2006 12:00:30 AM)
and for them, they haven't counted the absentees yet. They're listed under the psudoprecinct "Central Absentee Precinct (C#)" where # stands for the Congressional District the ballot applies to.
...of course... (SterlingNorth - 11/8/2006 12:02:30 AM)
the delay in counting may not apply to other counties...
What the hell is going on in Richmond? (John McCreery - 11/7/2006 11:55:20 PM)
Official site shows 18 precincts in Richmond and 20 in Loudon County still not reporting. Are there problems with machines?
At 22:48 (10.48 PM) (libra - 11/7/2006 11:55:45 PM)
with 95.3 reports in, it's Allen 49.67, Webb 49.13.
And Ms spoilsport Parker at 1.1%. If Webb loses by a part of a percentage (or even a whole percent) can someone give me the address of Ms Parker so I can personally wring her neck?
City of Richmond (norman swingvoter - 11/7/2006 11:56:17 PM)
I am new to this so I may be wrong. However, as of 10:30 25% of polls in City of Richmond have NOT reported. Webb is currently leading 3 to 1. If I am reading this correctly, Webb should be able to pick up some if this continues.
http://sbe.virginiai...
augh (GAida - 11/7/2006 11:57:20 PM)
time to get the fresh pots of coffee brewing
I can't believe it is this close
beverage of choice tonite is not coffee (nm) (justicat - 11/8/2006 12:01:23 AM)
red wine (PM - 11/8/2006 12:07:42 AM)
in copious amounts
If Richmond City trends the way it's been going (PM - 11/8/2006 12:04:45 AM)
Webb should pick up an additional 5,000 votes there over what's his name
Still Short (Oakton Dem - 11/8/2006 12:09:39 AM)
Even if Webb picks up 5K in Richmond and manages to squeeze a couple of thousand out of remaining NoVa precints, it's still not going to be enough.... SO CLOSE AND YET SO FAR!
NBC is projecting Dem gain of 29 seats (PM - 11/8/2006 12:06:49 AM)
Start the impeachment investigation!
Not enough time. (loboforestal - 11/8/2006 12:10:21 AM)
2008 campaigns start tomorrow and we don't have the votes in the Senate.
But think of the entertainment value (PM - 11/8/2006 12:23:48 AM)
Seriously, though, there have to be some investigations on the handling of the run up to the war, etc.
He should get about 500-600 vote gains in Newport News City (PM - 11/8/2006 12:09:48 AM)
if trends stay the way they are with outstanding precincts
5 precincts left in Norfolk City (PM - 11/8/2006 12:12:15 AM)
He should net another 1,000 there
Adding it up (Oakton Dem - 11/8/2006 12:25:24 AM)
Okay, let's do the math. You're saying:
Richmond: +5,000
Newport News: +500-600
Norfolk: +1,000
I am also estimating:
Fairfax: +500
Prince William: +1,500
That's a possible get gain of about 8,500, but Allen still has about a 13,000 vote lead. AUGH...6 more years of Allen!!
Here's what's left according to an NLS commenter (PM - 11/8/2006 12:18:42 AM)
Loudon 12 pcts
Pr Wm 39 pcts
Newport News 5 pcts
Norfolk 5 pcts
Petersburg 4 pcts
Richmond 18 pcts
9000 votes (relawson - 11/8/2006 12:28:03 AM)
They need to pick up 9000 more votes. Not sure that many are in play...but right now the margin is 0.35%. I think this may be closer than Bush v. Gore.
The real question is how fair was this election? Keep you eyes wide open to dirty tricks.
Down to 6,700 with 2.8% left (PM - 11/8/2006 12:25:34 AM)
Is anybody else (madgranny - 11/8/2006 12:26:06 AM)
suffering real stomach distress and high blood pressure?
... (Oakton Dem - 11/8/2006 12:30:01 AM)
I'm thinking of calling in sick tomorrow. My team leader is a Republican who is elected to the school board, and he took time off last week to help get out the vote. I don't think I want to go in tomorrow morning...
Oh I'm going to face my rethug co-workers (madgranny - 11/8/2006 1:28:16 AM)
with my head up high. Jim Webb didn't stand a chance. George Allen was going to throw his hat in the presidential ring. Webb has been a candidate of the greatest character and integrity. I am honored (to use Webb's polical ad word, which almost brought tears to my eyes when I heard it) to stand tall with Jim Webb. And to those awful co-workers - eat me!
Webb just spoke (Bobbi - 11/8/2006 12:30:39 AM)
He was with Kaine and Warner. Said he put in 3 yrs of work in the last 9 months. He was definitely not conceding, not with all the outstanding votes.
Local news in Roanoke just reported that quite a few Webb precincts still out:
26/67 Prince William
50/68 Richmond
53/? Norfolk
Also more reports of voter intimidation in Covington. Is there nothing Repugs won't do to win??? How can we make up for the people who decided to stay home rather than drive 40 miles and/or face intimidation in order to vote? Not many people have the time, energy, or gas to drive from Newport News/Hampton to Viginia Beach and back because they received a call telling them they have to vote in another city.
I have a bad feeling that--once again--Repug dirty tricks will be ignored as just part of politics.
I've been feeling so positive all day. Now I feel sick.
Bobbi in Roanoke
Less than 5,000 now with 2.5% left (PM - 11/8/2006 12:33:20 AM)
NBC projection of new House:
234-201 Dems .....
and more tighterer... (justicat - 11/8/2006 12:33:48 AM)
richmond - 8 precincts/norfolk 4/fairfax cty 3/fairfax city 1/arlington 1/newport news(?) 2
and for especially good news--john hall is winning in NY 19 (ex-Orleans)
-archie
Didn't exit polls show a 5% margin for Webb???? (relawson - 11/8/2006 12:34:39 AM)
I don't think you can accept these results at face value unless they can be substantiated with independent polling. Most of the exit polls are accurate - why are only swing states not?
Shananigans.
NBC says Fairfax County ballots have not been counted or reported yet (PM - 11/8/2006 12:36:23 AM)
So this is going to get closer
Assuming 31,237 absentee votes cast in Fairfax County (Lowell - 11/8/2006 12:50:15 AM)
And assuming the same ratio (58.76% to 40.17%) going to Webb and Allen as the rest of the county's votes, that gives Webb an additional 5,807 votes by my calculations. That puts Webb in the lead by 1,085 votes. Plus, there are Arlington's apparently uncounted absentee ballots, plus 8 more precincts in Richmond City. Seems to me that Webb could very easily pull ahead of Allen, and that's not even counting all the Republican voter suppression shenanigans that are being reported to the authorities. Something tells me we're not going to know the result of this race for a while...
The absentee votes haven't been counted yet (thebes - 11/8/2006 12:42:16 AM)
Positive - Arlington/Fairfax/Richmond
Negative - VA Beach
I don't know - it's going to be very close
My vow to God (relawson - 11/8/2006 12:42:38 AM)
Dear God - if Jim Webb can pick up the ~5000 or so votes needed to win this election, I will sell my house in Florida (R) and move to Virginia. I'll even register as a Democrat instead of an independent.
This is no joke....
I'll start packing tomorrow...
Come join us - either way (madgranny - 11/8/2006 1:21:55 AM)
We have a big tent!
To people feeling lousy (PM - 11/8/2006 12:45:41 AM)
Drink red wine
But not too much--my wife just knocked over her glass so we just spent five minutes getting up the shards
RE: Outstanding Vote (JPTERP - 11/8/2006 12:53:07 AM)
Bad news Webb is still down by 5,000+. The good news, 60,000 votes still out there most of the remaining precincts lean strongly towards Webb.
Here's the percentages via CNN. I'll see if I can make a rough guesstimate on the number of outstanding votes per precinct.
Pro-Webb
11% Charlottesville
2% Arlington
14% Fairfax City
1% Fairfax
8% Isle of White
33% City of Richmond
1% VA Beach
14% Martinsville
Toss-up
7% Loudon
9% Prince Edward
Pro-Allen
8% Gloucester
17% Harrisonburg
HOLY SHIT!!! (relawson - 11/8/2006 12:58:32 AM)
I don't know if I can use the word "shit" on this site (oops just did) but Webb is ahead according to CNN by 3000 votes!!!
Whoah. I may have to pack up and move to Virginia. Holy Shit!!!
Thank you Newport News! and Richomd! (justicat - 11/8/2006 1:02:37 AM)
Still a dozen good precincts out there. Go to war Miss Agnes!
-Archie
military ballots counted? n/t (TurnVirginiaBlue - 11/8/2006 1:04:05 AM)
Just Saw That Also (norman swingvoter - 11/8/2006 1:04:47 AM)
Just saw that also. What are they getting their numbers?
I don't know (relawson - 11/8/2006 1:10:07 AM)
But the pundits seem confident in it - and saying that they don't think "3000 votes could be overcome in a recount". They seem to think Webb has this election!!!
I hope they are right.
Just Saw That Also (norman swingvoter - 11/8/2006 1:05:16 AM)
Just saw that also. Where are they getting their numbers?
Less than 2,000 (Oakton Dem - 11/8/2006 1:06:40 AM)
Allen is now leading by less than 2,000 votes. Fairfax County absentee ballots have not yet been counted. There are still some precints outstanding in Prince William and Richmond.
SBE down, CNN up (Bobbi - 11/8/2006 1:06:53 AM)
Huh? SBE has Allen up almost 2000; CNN has Webb up 3000. What up?
Either way, get ready for a recount.
Bobbi in Va.
webb leads 50-49% according to CNN and MSNBC (Tomanus - 11/8/2006 1:07:51 AM)
the Commonwealth of VA website is not quite up to date. With ballots from Richmond, Arlington Loundon, Webb leads about 141,000 to 138,600
INCREDIBLE!! (Oakton Dem - 11/8/2006 1:21:40 AM)
This was posted on the Drudge Report:
VA SEN [100% IN]
R- ALLEN 1,140,879 49.42%
D- WEBB 1,143,144 49.44%
WaPo website showing the same thing (based on AP) (tuscumbia - 11/8/2006 1:28:09 AM)
The State site still showing Allen ahead. Hope the AP is right!
Double Check (norman swingvoter - 11/8/2006 1:24:34 AM)
I've just had major rum so forgive me. However, the
results posted are
G F Allen Republican 1,141,753
J H Webb Jr Democratic 1,139,885
What you're saying seems to be the reverse of what's posted. Isn't it?
Updating Numbers (Oakton Dem - 11/8/2006 1:29:19 AM)
Don't know where Matt Drudge is getting his numbers, but others on the thread have been saying that the Virginia state website is not the most current. Even on the Washington Post live chats, the person running the chat made the comment that Prince William's full numbers were out but that the state's website had not yet been update.
Which begs the question: where is everyone getting these supposedly more current numbers???
Too excited to sleep now.
State site now has Webb up! (tuscumbia - 11/8/2006 1:30:26 AM)
Loudoun County (Tink - 11/8/2006 1:21:06 AM)
Loudoun County absentee's not counted and a couple precints still not showing they have been counted! Webb overall winning by about 3 points in Loudoun.
George Allen: Concede!!! (relawson - 11/8/2006 1:27:41 AM)
It it time for new leadership in the US Senate!!! Congratulations Jim Webb!!!
The best information I have suggests that you, Jim Webb, are the winner of this election - I hope that I will be able to meet you one day in Washington DC and shake your hand in person.
And kudos to Lowell and the RK bloggers!!! You guys and gals ROCK!!! I hope I can catch up with the RK crowd as well. You should be proud of your work!
And finally, don't allow the Republicans to steal this election. The world is watching - we won't sit quietly and allow any shananigans in Virginia voting.
AP and Drudge Webb Wins (Arlington Tom - 11/8/2006 1:28:52 AM)
Report with 100% reporting, Webb wins by 2,000 votes
Drudge Updates (Oakton Dem - 11/8/2006 1:31:35 AM)
Now he is showing the following on his website:
VA SEN [99.26% IN]
R- ALLEN 1,141,753 49.36%
D- WEBB 1,148,750 49.44%
Latest state & Drudge numbers (Oakton Dem - 11/8/2006 1:44:42 AM)
VA SEN [99.26% IN]
R- ALLEN 1,146,952 49.36%
D- WEBB 1,148,750 49.44%
Outstanding Precints (Oakton Dem - 11/8/2006 1:50:25 AM)
Has everyone gone to sleep?
Here are the precints that still outstanding:
Arlington County - 1 precint
Fairfax County - 1
Halifax County* - 1
Isle of Wight County* - 1
James City County* - 2
Loudon County - 3
Prince William County - 3
Richmond City - 4
Virginia Beach City* - 1
*Denotes localities where Allen is leading.
Of course, not all precints are the same size, but overall I think this looks quite promising!!
Republicans don't want a recount (relawson - 11/8/2006 2:07:35 AM)
Normally, those pesky recounts only expose how corrupt a key group of Republicans are.
If we have a recount, Webb's margin of victory will INCREASE.
Good night everyone. I will sleep well - I believe that ultimately Jim Webb has won this election and that we will finally have someone fighting for the people.
George Allen: You're Fired.