says this diarist at KOS:http://www.dailykos....

by mhinds01 [Subscribe]
Wed Oct 25, 2006 at 05:28:54 PM PDT
Allen 49%
Webb 48%

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I know that there needs to be a big statewide effort, but I hope that particular attention is paid to Northern Virginia.  The voter break will be heavily Dem, so hopefully there will be a real push in Arlington and Fairfax Counties to turn out every single voter, to try to build a big margin there.

First, we have in place very good organizations that showed their mettle on behalf of Tim Kaine last year.

Second, that has been expanded with effort by specific groups, including veterans.

Third, there are phone calls being made all over the state, and not just from the main hdqtrs - there are additional phone banks in NoVa and elsewhere around the state.  There will be hundreds of thousands of phone calls made.

The Wilder endorsement will put into play a major effort in the black community in Richmond, which is also important.

Michael J. Fox coming to Arlington in one week to appear with Jim will also help, and should get lots of free publicity in NoVa on the DC stations.

I am feeling increasingly confident of our chances.

Though, in a way... Perhaps it's better to be behind a little bit, as long as it's within the MOE. It's less likely to make us feel we can rest on our laurels; it's more likely to keep us on our toes, pushing... pushing... :)

Though I must say that, after the next 12 days spent in the "cat on a hot tin roof condition", I'm likely to start looking for a good, reliable psychiatrist and another doctor to take care of my ulcers. Wonder if my health insurance covers either (or both)...

On the "marriage protection" amendment (say what you will of the Republigoons, but they're *superb* at the "misdirection by misnaming" game), I was both surprised and cheered by a bumper sticker spotted in the parking lot of Kroger's yesterday. It said:
"My faith tells me to vote NO on question #1"

Remember, this is a *small* town, in SW VA...

Don't want to list names, but I know three or four professors at Lynchburg who are certainly against the amendment - I'd say they are all quite liberal and very effective.  It wouldn't surprise me at all if one of them had the sticker.

And even if she went back west ::sob:: Emily Warn kicks ass.

And then there's Senator Elliot Schewel and Rosel Schewel for the years of good work they have done - and continue to do - in Central Virginia!  They are very involved with the college.

From Tuesday's Countdown with Keith Olberman:

OLBERMANN:  Speaking of bringing in firefighters, Virginia, the Republican senator George Allen who started this race certainly as a possible presidential nominee is only up four points, it‘s 47-43 against Jim Webb, the former Republican.  Is Virginia actually the key in the race in the Senate picture?  If the Democrats win that seat which was once thought to be a sure thing for the Republicans, does that become some sort of a pivotal moment or is that just sort of wishful thinking on the Democrat‘s part?

SHUSTER:  No, I think you‘re right in the sense that when Democrats, earlier this summer were doing the math about how they could possibly take control of the Senate, Virginia was not part of their equation.

The fact that now Virginia‘s close and they can sense that they are close that would be a huge victory for the Democrats and possibly put them on track towards taking control of the Senate.

The one thing to watch with Virginia is there‘s still a number of news organizations, including ours, who is following up a variety of stories about both George Allen and Jim Webb.

George Allen, of course, has had the problem with allegations about the use of the “n” word, the macaca comment.  If more of that stuff were to come out in the next couple of weeks, that‘s where you might see the race start to split again.  And again, George Allen‘s character has been under the microscope.  It‘s one of the reasons why his own campaign advisors have essentially stopped him from doing a lot interviews, a lot of press appearances where he has to speak off the cuff, instead, Allen is at very scripted events trying to make sure he stays on message.  And his message is largely being dictated by his television ads. [Emphasis Added]

http://www.msnbc.msn...

While Shuster says they are working on stories about both, Allen and Webb, he only discusses Allen after that point.

Maybe they found out whose mailbox Allen stuffed the deer head into?  If so, people who previously gave Allen the benefit of the doubt, may stay home on November 7th.

It seems that these yet-to-be-released stories could affect poll numbers, helping Webb.

This comes from my hometown paper- the same one that endorsed Bush in 2004 and Kaine in 2005.

I am pleased.

BTW --  Faquiuer is increasingly becoming part of Washington metro area.  Moree and more people who move in nevertheless commute to the DC area, to jobs near Dulles or in Fairfax and Arlington.  That orients their mentality somewhat differently. 

I moved to Arloington in 1982, giving me almost a quarter cnetury in the Old Dominion.  I have had occasion to go down to Charlottesville or out to Rappahannock County regularly since 1983.  I have watched as some of the outer suburbs have significantly changed.  Clearly that is visible in Loudoun, and we cdan all note that as the population increases the voting patterns have turned increasingly bluer.  Similarly in Prince William.  But it is really astounding to see how the countryside has changed on the DC side of Fauquier.

Keeping fingers crossed (and a lot of work ), we can pull through just on Webb's positives, without Allen's negatives aiding us...

It will be interesting to see what the Post story today and the Wilder endorsement do.