Allen will sweat, Allen will stumble.
I hope they don't waste too much time talking about Allen's racism and the paper Webb wrote about women in the military 28 years ago.
Allen's main goal will be to keep from saying something idiotic that will be a headline the next day. He may be planning to try to throw Webb off guard with some obscure reference (like he did in the last debate about Craney Island).
Webb's goal should be to show that Allen is joined at the hip with Bush.
I hope they briefly review Webb's impressive resume.
I hope they spend a lot of time on Iraq. It needs to be pointed out that Webb opposed the invasion beforehand, that he has a plan for getting us out, and that people like John Warner and James Baker are coming around to his way of thinking.
I hope they ask questions about implementing the recommendations of the 9/11 commission, veteran's benefits, the budget deficit, the minimum wage, offshore drilling, environmental protection, global warming, health care, stem cell research, Medicare Part D, and Social Security privatization. These issues are all winners for Webb (if he is prepared for them).
So, I suggest everyone who can watch, watch.
1. Are we safer today than we were six years ago when Republicans took office?
We have not caught Osama bin Ladin, despite five years of searching. We have not presented a plan for success in the Iraq War. We have not stopped the massive growth in terrorist organizations, in part fueled by our distraction towards the Iraq War. We have not responded to emerging threats like Iran or Venezuela in a way that kept them in check. We have not stopped hostile nations from developing and testing nuclear weapons.
Republicans say they are the best party to handle national security issues. We see a string of failures, broken promises and flawed objectives. A good military strategist understands taht when you are faced with a brick wall like Iraq, rather than pounding your fists against it like the GOP is doing, you've got to find smart ways to climb it.
2. Are Virginia's citizens doing better than they were six years ago?
We have seen tremendous growth in Virginia, particularly in Northern Virginia. Wealthy businesses have made huge profits, lobbying and receiving for tax cuts and economic incentives from George Allen and George Bush. But middle- and lower-class Americans, whether in Springfield, Norfolk, Richmond or Roanoke, have struggled to make ends meet as jobs moved overseas, as college tuition became more expensive, as Republicans supported tax cuts for the richest Americans. We need to make sure every Virginian has an opportunity for success, not just those who pay to be in George Allen's hip pocket.
3. Can we really trust George Allen and his Republican friends to provide sound leadership for our country?
There are two key questions here - "values" and "competence." Republican leaders have acted only in self-preservation, not with the best interests of Americans at heart. Otherwise, why did they not appropriate respond to the repeated, consistent, serious concerns regarding Rep. Foley's behavior? Why have they pat eachother on the back (you're doing a heck of a job, Brownie) for the Katrina response when every American tuning into NBC saw Americans - people who believe in our values, who love our country, who should be part of the American dream - sobbing, starving, sick and dying in conditions as bad as we've seen in the U.S.? The Republican rhetoric of compassionate conservatism has an asterisk next to it, one whose footnote says that these values need not apply to those who fall outside the GOP power circle.
Just my two pennies...
If there's a meltdown by Allen again, that may get some extra play, but at this point I think TV ads, direct mail, and phone banking are what will move points in the final days.
I would be curious to hear a question about Allen's financial dealings while in the Senate. Will he release the "constituent" letter that he sent to the Army on behalf of Xybernaut?
My prediction: He'll say something very damaging about the stock options. He should be thoroughly prepared for this, but he also should have been much better prepared on the question of his Jewish heritage in the last debate.
So what do you think he'll mess up tonight?
(Snark: Maybe he'll bring a mounted deer head along with him, to show his support for and from the NRA? And, he'll say, "No, I didn't leave it in a mailbox. It's right here. I've had it in my house for the last 30 years.")
Allen has a short fuse and could always blow it, but expect him to be well counseled about not saying or doing anything noteworthy.
I doubt there will be any surprise questions ala Peggy Fox.
Overall boring and, as others have said, the real battle will focus on TV and advertising.
But I hope I'm wrong and we get to see some flubs Allen has become known for.
I'd bet most people don't even know it's happening and will get their info from reading tomorrow's headlines.
-eddie
I hope they talk a lot about Iraq, because Webb's knowledge and understanding come through very strong. Sen. Warner's recent comments reflected what Jim said on Meet The Press (which made me happy) and Allen's immediate response was to hold a conference call with Warner and reporters to give the impression it was their joint position. Important to note that Sen. Warner DECLINED to criticize Webb, though I'm sure he was asked by the Allen camp to do so. Allen will try to say that they are 'partners', which they are not. Compare the voting records.
Lastly, if Allen says one word about Nancy Reagan, I hope he will be asked why he thinks she hasn't endorsed him. Maybe she didn't buy the 'Buckeroo' ticket at the Hoedown.
Now here we are:
Oct 2
"Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist (R-Tenn.) said Monday that the war against Taliban guerrillas in Afghanistan could never be won militarily, and he urged support for efforts to bring "people who call themselves Taliban" into the government.
Frist said he learned from military briefings that Taliban fighters were too numerous and had too much popular support to be defeated on the battlefield."
We have reached this point by the bungling incompetence of the bush administration. Webb needs to address this as it shows the complete failure of the bush administration and its clone, allen.
I wouldn't worry too much about this thread. With a number of these questions there really isn't a good canned answer that Allen can give. In all likelihood he'll be doing a lot of stonewalling and giving non-answer answers similar to the other debates.
All in all, I think Webb has to come out swinging. George Allen is a known quantity, Webb not so much. This is Jim Webb's major introduction to voters who haven't been paying particular attention. I hope the debate focuses solely on issues instead of the personal distractions.
The immediate post debate headlines are what will move the polls.
If they have any sense they will aim for the traditional rural conservatives and evangelicals, for whom Mr. Webb's credentials may make him an attractive alternative to Allen.
Allen's strong suit with those areas is on social issues such as stem cell research, abortion, and gay rights. Mr. Webb must be prepared to answer in such a way as not to offend the evangelical base, for whom these are the definitive issues. I think he has to be prepared not only to deflect questions from Allen about these issues, but that he has to be circumspect enough in his support for stem cell research (under strict federal guidelines, no embryos to be deliberately produced for stem cells, going to alternative sources as they become available through scientific study) so as not to stampede those folks into Allen's camp. He should note the delicate weighing of the issue of combatting horrible illnesses such as Alzheimers (even Nancy Reagan supports such research) and preserving the sanctity of life.
On abortion I would certainly point out that Allen has always portrayed himself as pro-life (better than calling it "anti-abortion", which pro-lifers find offensive), but that he has never taken any steps to curb abortion and no one should expect him to start now. He has sponsored no legislation against it. Mr. Webb should make two things clear: one is that most abortion rights issues have already been addressed in our court system through a number of Supreme Court cases and are mostly being determined through the applicaton of stare decisis (prior case law) and not through any new legislation. Second, Mr. Webb may even be able to turn the argument on its ear and point out that many women feel compelled by finances to have abortions where, if there were universal health care and higher incomes brought about by increasing the minimum wage and curbing the current influx of cheap illegal immigrant labor, they would be more likely to carry their babies to term.
On gay rights, Mr. Webb should repeat that he believes in personal responsibility and that it is never a good idea to encourage government intrusion on personal relationships, any more than government should forbid people from being able to protect themselves or to educate their own children. He should also point out that the current proposed constitutional amendment seeks to curtail the rigths of ALL unmarried couples, not just gays. That you can be against same sex marriage and still be against this amendment because its effects will be so extensive and the litigation spawned by its adoption will be so expensive for Virginians, we'll all pay for the lawsuits.
That said, I can't see how we'd possibly benefit from going at Allen's right on this issue. Webb is for Roe v. Wade. Allen is not. No reason to play games with the issue.
As just one example, the national debt. President Jefferson was a strong believer in each generation paying its own way. He felt it immoral to leave debts to future generations:
"Then I say, the earth belongs to each of these generations during its course, fully and in its own right. The second generation receives it clear of the debts and incumbrances of the first, the third of the second, and so on. For if the first could charge it with a debt, then the earth would belong to the dead and not to the living generation. Then, no generation can contract debts greater than may be paid during the course of its own existence." --Thomas Jefferson to James Madison
And his solution should the need to borrow arise:
"Our government has not as yet begun to act on the rule of loans and taxation going hand in hand. Had any loan taken place in my time, I should have strongly urged a redeeming tax." --Thomas Jefferson to John Wayles
In light of your obvious admiration for President Jefferson’s philosophy, how can you reconcile your votes over the last six years?
I think his strong suit is foreign policy and the military. I'd love to hear the candidates engaged on a real discussion of these issues.
If the public doesn't perceive the intelligence difference in these two men, and want someone of intelligence to represent them, we don't have a chance. But if there's just a little light that goes off that says, "I think I won't vote for the dumb guy," we might have a chance.
Webb definetly needs to loosen up a bit.
I watched tester clean Burns' clock tonight as well. If Montanans don't vote for Tester, they are really missing the boat.
I tried to keep up and post on my blog Southern Democrats.