First, the key questions and results:
Do you think the incident will help? Or hurt Senator Allen's chances for reelection? Or will it have no effect?
7% Help
46% Hurt
46% No Effect
1% Not Sure
Another key question:
Do you think the incident will help? Or hurt Senator Allen's chances of running for President of the United States?
8% Help
61% Hurt
30% No Effect
1% Not Sure
Ouch. That's "hurt" by a huge margin over "help." (btw, who the heck are the people who actually believe this incident will HELP George Allen - huh?)
Now, on to the detailed crosstabs. There are some very interesting results here. George Allen's approval rating is only 31% on NOVA, compared to 57% in Shenandoah, 52% in Southeast, and 49% in Central Virginia.
People are most familiar with the "macaca" story in Southeast Virginia (62% familiar) and least familiar in Shenandoah (46%).
Basically, no region thinks that Allen's remarks were "appropriate," although the percentages are disturbingly high (ranging from 23% in NOVA up to 32% in Shenandoah and Southeast). How can anyone say that Allen's remarks were "appropriate?"
Were Allen's remarks a racial slur? A whopping 72% of liberals think so, compared to 50% of moderates and just 22% of conservatives. So, "conservative" means "minimizing racism," is that it?
Similarly, liberals and moderates overwhelmingly do NOT believe Allen's "apology" was sufficient, while conservatives overwhelmingly (77%) do.
Will this incident help or hurt Allen's chances for re-election to the US Senate? Almost nobody says "help," a sizeable chunk (46%) say "no effect," and another big chunk (46%) say it will hurt. Even among Republicans, the ratio of "hurt":"help" is 6:1. Among Democrats, it's 15:1.
All in all, things are not looking good for George Felix Allen, not good at all, as this story goes on and on and on and...
[UPDATE: Jim Webb closes in. According to Daily Kos, a new Rasmussen poll to be released tomorrow has the race at 47% Allen, 42% Webb. And that's before Webb heads down to visit his "kin," as he calls them, in SWVA for the next few days. Essentially, with 2 1/2 months to go, this race is pretty much a tossup. Amazing.]
[UPDATE #2: Here's a thought. George Allen has 97% name recognition and is at 47% in the polls. Is 47% his ceiling? Can he only go down, not up? If so, does Jim Webb win this thing 53%-47% or even better? What if Webb is outspent 2:1? Would that be enough to save Allen? Finally, how have the calculations changed at the DSCC in recent days? Hmmmm...]
At the Farmer's Market on Wednesday in Clarendon, Virginia, a elederly man asked me if we would let the "Born Fighting" slogan go. I explained to him Jim's book, much as he did on Tuesday of the same week. The man was enlightened and he may even buy the book now.
Allen has already set the tone for bumbling. He'll be on guard against making another gaffe, but it's almost inevitable that he'll do something else to reveal his mean streak and stupidity between now and November.
One can only hold one's breath for so long... and from now thorugh the election everything Felix says and does will be viewed through the prism of intolerance.
And n for Hispanics is quite small.
Hate to keep beating the same drum, but the poor news coverage in the Southwest is reflected in those numbers.
Hey, there, Georgie Boy,
There's a little racist deep inside,
Spew out all the hate you hide.
And, oh, what a change there'll be,
V-A will see
A new Senator!
With the events of the past week, that I couldn't have predicted lowell..
The only thing I am focused on now until November is electing JIM WEBB TO THE UNITED STATES SENATE!!!!!!!!
yeeehaw!
I am going to work my arse of for Jim Webb.
Hey, it looks like we are going to close onto that 1K of youth support BEFORE Labor Day.
These kids are GOING crazy over Allen's dumb arse comments.
You know a politician is having a bad week when he spends it trying to convince people he's too unsophisticated to have possibly understood the racial slur he tossed at a man who happened to be armed with a video camera.Sen. George Allen's mental journey to the imaginary land of Macaca has brought the one-term Virginia Republican -- considered a presidential hopeful for 2008 -- more national attention than ever before. But not in a good way.
A fantastic paragraph, even if it does not include how he may have learned makaka at home:
Okay, I'm willing to believe the senator is ignorant of primate taxonomy and Belgian slang -- he's all about good-ol'-boy bonhomie, not Renaissance-man erudition. I don't buy the rest of his explanation, though -- that he was trying to refer to Sidarth's haircut, which he thought was a mohawk. I also don't buy his claim that he meant no offense.
The tone and manner of the video speaks for itself. At the very least, Allen was angry and trying to be mean.
"...maybe the Macaca thing didn't grow out of ignorance at all but out of a sense that there is political advantage to be had from playing on fears and apprehensions about immigration. Maybe he was giving that audience in conservative southwestern Virginia a clear message: I'm with you, I'm one of you, and we all understand that the guy over there with the camera is not one of us, he's just a Macaca whose real name probably has a lot of awkward syllables and isn't worth learning to pronounce."
I hate to play on things like that, but there's a big and growing immigrant community in NOVA. Jim Webb's campaign needs to make a real effort to meet with them in the next few weeks, while this is still hot and on people's minds, and talk about the "real Virginia," one that is growing, thriving, and tolerant of diversity.
Macaca. Maybe it’s a monkey. Maybe it’s a racial slur.
We don’t know.
U.S. Sen. George Allen says he doesn’t know either, but he used it to describe a college student working for his opponent. Not a particularly shrewd decision for a man with presidential ambitions.
Allen, R-Virginia, applied the possibly pejorative term to 20-year-old S.R. Sidarth – a Northern Virginia native of Asian Indian ancestry – at a campaign rally in far Southwest Virginia. It’s a safe bet Sidarth was the only racial minority in the crowd at the Breaks Interstate Park. He must have felt uncomfortable. That might have been Allen’s aim.
Sidarth had shadowed Allen on the campaign trail for days and filmed his remarks. This isn’t an uncommon practice in the political arena. It doesn’t justify Allen’s behavior.
Allen twice used the word "macaca." He also welcomed Sidarth to America – pretty silly since the college senior hails from Fairfax County. This smacks of a cheap attempt to stir anti-immigrant sentiments among the party faithful.
The senator has a mixed record on racial matters – keeping a collection of Confederate flags in his cabin in 1993, wearing a Confederate flag pin in a high school photo (youthful indiscretion?) and issuing a Confederate history month proclamation without mentioning slavery while governor. He has explanations for all; just as he had an explanation for this incident.
Allen has apologized. That’s a start.
But as a senator with presidential ambitions, Allen must do better. Ridiculing an opponent’s young campaign worker is unbecoming behavior, even if the senator didn’t mean the remark as a racial slur.
I don't know how to start a thread here - sad I know - but would love to have a thread that features links to every negative editorial written about Allen. I'm just thinking editorials by newspaper ed boards, though I guess we could also include opinion columnists too. I think that'd be a great resource, and would be useful in conveying how wrong EVERYONE thinks Allen is on this.
If you want to start a new line of comments within a diary, just click on "post a comment" above.
Any questions, contact me at lowell@raisingkaine.com
Thanks.
Welcome to the real Virginia.
When I saw the video, my blood boiled and well, that told me right there something was wrong with what he was saying to this person. These video folks are everywhere, Allen has them at Webb's events, I see them all the time. Do I talk to them, nope. I know they are there for one reason only, to video a gaffe in one's campaign.
Allen knew that too but, hey he wanted to let him have it right between the eyes, but couldn't hit him, couldn't clip him, couldn't even drag him by his hair up the stairs or throw him through a sliding glass door.
So he used what he could use, the bullypulpit. The one problem, the tape kept running. Did he forget that part? Obviously he did.
Non story! No Legs! No cartoons to see here, no editorials...
oops
Those cheetos must be a bitter pill today I.ShouldbeservinginIraq.
Reading some of the LTEs particularly from Sidarth's grandparents--really got to me. Once people start seeing this event through the eyes of a grandparent, parent, or sibling the Allen slur takes on an entirely different tone. Definitely not Senatorial behavior. If people have a positive alternative they will likely take it (and fortunately they do!)