Let the National Journal Know Allen Has a Race on His Hands!

By: Dan
Published On: 8/7/2006 6:05:39 PM

Last month, when the National Journal did its rankings of the Senate races, Webb v. Allen stood at 13 and hasn't moved in the most recent rankings. 

Although the National Journal is one of the most respected sources on the Mid-term elections, they probably don't know just how competitive this race really is.  It is time for us to let them know.  You can view their opinions on other races as well as vote on their website (linked above).  So far, their readers agree that Virginia doesn't crack the top 10.  Maybe they should ask George "Felix" Allen what he thinks, because I think he is freaking out realizing the jeopardy his "boring" Senate career is in as Jim Webb gets more support by the day.

Here is what the National Journal has to say about the Webb-Allen race to justify keeping it at 13:

Why can't Allen break 50 percent? Why is this race teetering still? Simple: demographics. Need hard evidence that Virginia is no longer a red state? Just look at the latest Mason-Dixon poll question on a gay-marriage ban. Not surprisingly, the ban is favored. What is surprising? It's favored by just 18 points (56 percent to 38 percent). Those are Michigan numbers on gay marriage, not Georgia numbers.

This is interesting analysis.  However, does this mean they think Allen is in trouble because Virginia is turning blue?  Perhaps they forget the quality of his opposition.  Whatever the case, I encourage you to give them feedback or vote on their site to give them an incentive for more scrutiny of this race.

Comments



RE: Polls (JPTERP - 8/7/2006 9:01:48 PM)
Drawing an inference from the Mason-Dixon poll . . .  It's worth point out that the poll questioners only read the first sentence of the ammendment.  The more controversial provision in the ammendment--the second paragraph--was not included.  Polls with a complete reading of the ammendment show a dead-heat--which suggest that Virginia is even bluer than the M-D poll indicates.


The National Journal knows EVERYTHING about this race. (va.walter - 8/9/2006 9:16:01 AM)
That's what happens when Chuck Todd (contributing editor) is married to one of the candidate's spokeswoman.  The NJ's ranking of this race has nothing to do with lack of knowledge.

The most interesting current question w/r/t NJ's rankings is what do they do with CT?  Right now it's 19th.  With Lieberman and Lamont both running and probably polling in the 40s soon, it has to be a top 10 race.  I'd be shocked if it didn't at least jump VA and get into the 10-13 range.  Agree?  Disagree?



Agree (Dan - 8/9/2006 4:59:34 PM)
Connecticut will jump, but only because a Democrat has decided to make it harder on all of us just so he can fulfill his obsession to stay in Senate rather than help his party regain the Senate.