Allegany County: 64%-34% (+30 points)
Cattaraugus County: 59%-39% (+20)
Chemung County: 55%-43% (+12)
Monroe County: 48%-50% (-2)
Ontario County: 56%-42% (+14)
Schuyler County: 58%-40% (+18)
Steuben County: 64%-34% (+30)
Yates County: 59%-39% (+20)
In other words, Bush absolutely crushed John Kerry in New York's 29th District.
And now? Well, there's a House race going on there between an incumbent Republican, Randy Kuhl, who won by 10 points (51%-41%) in 2004. This year, Kuhl is up against a "fighting Dem" (24-year veteran of the Navy) named Eric Massa. Like Jim Webb, Massa is a first-time political candidate, a Republican-turned -Democrat who has been endorsed by Wes Clark. It would seem that Massa has his work cut out for him, and that if Republcians can't win here, they can't win anywhere.
Well, don't look now Karl Rove and Ken Mehlman, but a new poll is out showing Massa in a statistical tie (40%-43%) with Congressman Kuhl. According to Roll Call (subscription service), the results are even more impressive because they come "despite the fact that Massa was not well known to most voters."
Obviously, this is highly impressive, and could be the early signs of huge Democratic gains across the country this November. As pollster Alan Seacrest writes, "Add yet another incumbent to the growing list that national GOP groups will be asked to bail out." I wonder, how many Republicans will need to be "bailed out" in Virginia? George Allen? Thelma Drake? Jo Ann Davis? Tom Davis? Frank Wolf? Maybe even Virgil Goode? You know, this could really get interesting before it's all over.
I pointed out that the official DNC "Fighting Dems" program seemed to exclude Jim Webb.
I pointed out that Gen. Claudia Kennedy who is involved with the "Fighting Dems" program has attacked Jim Webb as a Miller proxy and lost the position of neutrality one should expect for her to effectively and honestly act within the "Fighting Dems" program. (Kennedy should resign or be asked to resign by the DNC.)
Like Paul Hackett, who was pressured to withdraw from the Democratic senatorial primary in Ohio, Eric Massa is the real stuff of patriotism and integrity -- like Jim Webb.
Neither Mass nor Webb are part of the culture of corruption.
I would like to see both candidate side-by-side discussing the real issues which confront our county. This would be mutually advantageous.
The fact that some national Democrats fail to accord Jim Webb the respect he deserves is both foolish and shameful.
But in New York, even this strongly GOP district is at least 40% Democrat. This is definitely winnable, especially with the New York GOP basically desintegrating.
Google Randy Kuhl, his opponent. You'll probably find something about him pulling a shotgun on his wife at a party. A man who reeks of George Bush's policies, and who has watched as jobs have disintegrated from his district.
For a long time, Eric was ignored by Rahm Emanuel of the DCCC. He hung in there and has slowly begun to win over voters in the district. With the constant support of Wes Clark and his supporters, Eric put together a great campaign than is now making it obvious he's a winner. Now the DCCC backs him--finally.
If you can help Eric Massa at all, even if its $5, please donate through http://securingamerica.com/taxonomy/term/45. This is one House seat he can help us take away from the Republicans.
Candidates like Eric Massa and Jim Webb should be openly welcomed and heartily embraced by Democrats. Literally and symbolically, they are the vanguard of the disenchanted moderate Republican voters we need to return the Democratic Party to prominence.
We say we are an “inclusive†party. If so, we must willingly accept among us those Republicans who now believe the Democratic Party offers a viable vision and alternative to the status quo.
Instead of labeling them as "quasi-Republicans," let's welcome them as moderate Democrats.
Yes, he worked for John Paul Hammerschmidt (to whom Bill Clinton once lost a Congressional race), and for Ronald Reagan. But a lot of Dems voted for Reagan, and if we wrote them all off no Dem would win nationally.
I will say what I have said in recent postings -- Jim's integrity is not for sale. He will say what he believes. He is committed to this country, and is willing to challenge the shibboleths of politics. He wants to see positive change, and knows you will not get that by demonizing others. He will criticize policies, and tell you why.
Let me offer one quote that might give a sense of how deep his understanding is:
No mater that the country club whites had always held the key to the Big House, or that many of them had done well at the expense of disadvantaged whites and blacks alike. No matter that the biggest race riots tooks place outside the South, in the Promised Land where balcks were stillb eing held down by policies, many of them unwritten, which precluded them from assimilating into the American mainstream."I can remember being told by an African American coworker in New York who had grown up in Alabama that he could never fully trust me because I was Northern white who had no idea, and that he could only fully trust a Southern poor white who had outgrown the prejudice that had been used by the rich whites to divide and conquer, and that those rich whites had included the absentee Northern owners of much of the wealth of the South. reading Jim's book I have been reminded of that.
Hasn't Miller's work at the ITAA made him work for Republican policies? Unless people consider offshoring American jobs a "Democratic Party" position?
Actually, if there is a closet Republican in this race it is labor-hating, outsourcing magician Harris Miller.
You make a good point. In my view choosing to be a Democrat just makes Webb, Massa, and their ilk all the more important to the Party. Supporting Harris Miller because he isn't Jim Webb is a herd mentality more at home in the Repbulican Party.
The Democratic Party is the party of choice in more ways than one. Those who choose to join us should be welcomed.
For now I'll just echo the positive comments of ya'll. I'm sure you have heard about the recent poll that puts Eric Massa in a statistical dead heat againsy Kuhl, who has massive negatives (50 -- negative, only 39% positive). The netroots were what sustained the Massa campaign through some pretty lean times. To find out more about Eric go to www.massaforcongress.com
Jim Webb has come under fire (not the first time!) from some Democratic perfectionists. I can't spend as much time as I'd like responding to some of them. The bottom line is that George Allen is running against John McCain, Jim Webb is running against George Allen and the NOVA Tech Lobbyist is running against Jim Webb.
Debby
It's an extremely conservative district... but people are getting pissed, and they want a change.
I think Eric Massa has a real solid chance out there. My stepdad, a staunch conservative, plans to vote for him.