WEBB: I have heard that Terry McAuliffe has said to a number of people that he's going to raise $75 million for the gubernatorial. I haven't heard any of the [House of Delegates] proposals that you're talking about. We have two really good candidates who have been around the state. Every time I go anywhere, I see one or the other or both of them. Brian Moran and Creigh Deeds, they're both really fine individuals. I am not going to put myself into a position right now of endorsing any of the three. But I will say that if you look at the movement in the Democratic Party in Virginia, setting Terry McAuliffe aside, whatever he ends up doing, and if he wins I certainly would support him. But if you look at the movement of the Democratic Party in Virginia over the past several years, it has been on a consistent upswing because of affirmative leadership. It hasn't been money issues per se, it's been finding good candidates who really want to solve problems.Webb goes on to say he doesn't expect to endorse any of the gubernatorial candidates before the primary.
The fact that there's even a question as to who progressives should support shows the weakness of the campaign he's running so far.
As far as I can tell, Brian is running on endorsements so far. That was hugely necessary for a candidate like Webb, because all anyone knew about him was that he worked for Reagan. Moran, on the other hand, doesn't need any Democratic bone fides, he's the Minority Leader for crying out loud!
What Moran needs is a message. Something about how he can win and the other guys can't, or how he understands and other candidates don't, or that he's uniquely qualified in ways that the others aren't. The point here is that if Moran had a message, the race would be his to lose.
Leading with money and electability is a good move by Terry McFlorida. Until Moran gets a solid message, McAuliffe will remain a threat and could draw away a large number of Democratic votes.
I think both are progressives, and it is not, IMHO, cut and dried.
Moran made a smart move in bringing Jarding in -- that was a big get. Deeds has the advantage of having run for statewide office against the likely GOP nominee in a close race. With Moran it's a bit of an x-factor -- can he close stronger than Deeds? What kind of map would Moran need to beat McDonnell?
The "true progressive" mantle I don't see as something that most voters will care about. They'll want a candidate who can connect to their concerns -- and who demonstrates strong viability in November.
As far as McAuliffe goes, I don't think his ego would be dissuaded by even the most well-run opposition campaign. He just sees two Virginia politicians who aren't nationally known, and who haven't won statewide office. Maybe he misread Webb's victory in 2006 (e.g. as a sign that ANY relatively unknown outsider can win in Virginia -- never mind that Webb was a pretty close fit for Virginia with roots here too).
I still think New York and Florida would be more natural fits for McAuliffe's personality and profile.
Throw into the mix a low-turnout June primary, and it should be interesting. Looking forward to the debates.
Online debates would be a lot easier to win if all you had to say was "end of story."
Tell us why you support Moran without referencing either of his rivals. Make the best positive case for Moran without any negative attacks.
This is not to single out Moran or his supporters: I'd like to see each of the Democratic contenders make a positive case for themselves and refrain from negative attacks.
In the Old Virginia, this may have been a good thing. But we now have a DPVA growing precisely because it is attracting a new kind of voter -- the type attracted to unconventional candidates like Webb and Obama; those who read and write blogs; more young people and minorities; folks generally who were outside the party tent, and who in many ways likely still feel like outsiders.
To this, the rising class of the DPVA, being the establishment candidate may well be the kiss of death.
I pointed this out regarding someone else a while ago that I do not like candidates for any office that causes me to call into question the genuineness in their seeking such office. I do not like candidates who run for the sake of running or simply just to win. I would rather have a less experienced candidate who has a purpose than a better candidate overall who lacks one. That said, if Terry McAuliffe anounced his candidacy and had very pointed policy goals, above those of his peers, for the next four years then I would welcome him to the race.
My personal choice would be Brian Moran, although I am sure Creigh Deeds would be a good candidate. I just can't stand the thought of McAuliffe. Besides, Virginia should follow the trend of excellent candidates. Look at our two Senators - Jim Webb and Mark Warner are two of the most qualified Senators in the U.S. Senate. Virginia deserves people like that, not someone like Terry.
And we need someone who treats our state as something more than a resume topper. Others who have parachuted in from Washington to dazzle Virginia with their brilliance (e.g., Oliver North, Ed Gillespie) have usually not lasted long -- regardless of how much $$$ they spent in the process.