CBS News
Obama 54%-McCain 41% (likely voters)
Obama 57%-McCain 38% (early voters)
Gallup
Obama 52%-McCain 42% (likely voters)
ABC/Washington Post
Obama 53%-McCain 44% (likely voters)
(in this poll, 24% say they've already voted, with 14% more saying they plan to vote early or absentee, for a total of 38% voting before election day)
Rasmussen
Obama 52%-McCain 46% (likely voters)
Research 2000
Obama 51%-McCain 44% (likely voters)
For more detail on early voting statistics, see this great resource by Dr. Michael McDonald of GMU.
P.S. Watch for last minute slime offensive by Republicans, which is what they always do when they're down. For instance, see here.
With all the off-the-charts early voting turnout across the country, the one thing that I have been hearing is that very few young voters are turning out in the same numbers to early vote. That is the only thing that is concerning me at this poing.
This ain't a term paper you are putting off until the last minute. Get off your can and go vote!!! If you don't and Tuesday comes and goes and Obama comes up short, don't winne about adults not taking you serious. The youth vote is the key to Obama winning or loosing. You have the power to win or lose this eletion. VOTE!!!