And as the debate progressed the Obama campaign's strategy became obvious: Joe Biden was under the strictest of orders not to go on the offense against Palin in any way. In fact, if they didn't keep cutting to shots of Palin a viewer probably would have thought Biden was debating McCain himself. Sarah who?
Was this a terrible strategy? No, I wouldn't say that. But I do believe it was a missed opportunity to pretty much put the Presidential race out of reach for McCain/Palin.
Sarah was primed to go down in flames on live national television. Because she was nervous and had so much pressure coming in, a few well placed blows early in the debate would have almost certainly sent her into downward spiral someone of her ability could not have recovered from. Instead, those blows never came and Palin relaxed and was allowed to comfortably move into her talking points. She couldn't win the debate by endless repeating those points like she did, but in smoothly delivering them she accomplished the McCain campaign goal of not showing her as a babbling idiot.
The Obama team, instead of playing for the win, got conservative. In sports parlance they went into a "prevent defense". They allowed Palin to execute her debate strategy by basically ignoring her and focusing almost exclusively on McCain while pushing the Obama/Biden positions on issues. The result of all this was that Biden gave an excellent performance (arguably the best of all three candidates we've seen so far) that didn't do any damage to the Obama ticket and it is very unlikely that they'll lose any ground at all. In fact, due to Biden's strong performance they may solidify their lead just a little more. It's hard to argue with that.
However, they not only missed an opportunity to end it all last night, they've also allowed Palin to regain confidence. Regardless of what the public says about the debate, Palin got to do exactly what she hoped to do with this debate and has got to be feeling good this morning. Just when she and McCain were both beginning to unravel, she's pulled herself back.
Before the McCain supporters begin celebrating too much, it's important to realize that Palin was handed what amounts to a free pass last night. Gwen Ifill asked some decent questions but didn't hammer back at Palin when she didn't answer. Ifill didn't follow up like Couric with the "can you give an detailed example of ..." that left Palin with the Moose in Headlights look. I've seen some people pick at Ifill for this, but frankly, she was a moderator and not an interrogator. If Palin was to be seriously challenged it had to come from Biden which, by design, wasn't going to happen.
Free pass time is over. As soon as Palin has to function in an uncontrolled environment or is actually under attack (as opposed to being ignored as Biden did), it'll be interesting to see what she does.
If she immediately flashes back to pre-debate form she'll be road kill in an instant and continue to drag their ticket down (although it's worth noting that McCain is not doing his ticket any favors either). She may walk into the next interview with media or questions from a voter with confidence but if she can't convert the confidence into a strong answers she'll be back where she was.
But if she is able to take advantage of her regained confidence she may be able to hold off on making those horrible gaffes. I don't expect she'll ever shine (I don't think she's capable), but going in with confidence will be a big boost and she may now be able to weasel out of sticky interview situations without a total meltdown. And this is the risk that Obama/Biden took in giving her that free pass last night.
Sarah got her groove back last night. Now the question is if she can use it to get back in the game or is it is just a temporary break from the Disasta from Alaska.
That's my gut feeling and I'd be very surprised if I am wrong.
Palin pulled herself out of the gutter, but she's still covered with mud. She can't afford to be in a position to screw up again.
I am holding out a little hope that the media and/or the public will demand more. She could potentially be the next President and we know next to nothing about her. So hopefully we collectively will not take "no" for an answer when we ask for more.
Palin is in effect a VP that can't campaign fully for the President for fear she gets exposed. That's a tremendous disadvantage for a ticket down substantially in the polls, and seeing their prospects diminish everyday. She can't be an effective attack dog against Obama or Biden because she has no record of accomplishments to speak of.
I tend to think Biden handled things correctly last night -- go after McCain. Palin has a ridiculous series of bad news in her past, but in the end it's about the top of the ticket.
I do also think that part of the reason Palin got off the hook was because of Ifill. She was painfully irrelevant.
You are absolutely right about Ifill needing to call out Palin on her talking points that don't even answer the question. I can only recall about one or two times that Biden did this, while Palin did it on basically every question. However, he public again seems to have seen through the spin and nonsense and made the correct call that Biden won the debate.
Katie Couric is looking like a better journalist by the day. And frankly at this point I'd rather have her moderate one of the next two debates than either Tom "McCain Contact" Brokaw or Bob Schieffer.
I don't know if it will help her (Couric's) ratings, but she deserves plaudits for being a responsible journalist in this instance.
I mean, Palin specifically said at one point that she would not be responsive to the questions if she did not feel like it, and she was non-responsive so much Ifill had to realize it.
I was never a huge Ifill fan, but I think she is made of sterner stuff than to let a few posts from wing-nut bloggers and the McCain campaign affect her that much.
Of course, she could have ignored those rules and nobody could have stopped her. The McCain campaign would have whined about her bias, after the damage was done.
I think Ifill was a real disappointment on her lack of follow-through. Shameful for a "debate" of such importance.
http://voices.washingtonpost.c...
I'm sure George H.W. Bush appreciated having his pre-VP experience compared with Palins'. And in comparison to Biden's answer about the worst thing Cheney has done as VP (torture and undermining the Constitution), Palin was quick to respond with "the duck hunting accident."
I didn't laugh half as hard at "Saturday Night Live" as I did this.
1. Palin is known as a good debater, and had he been goaded into trading one-line zingers with Palin, the discussion today would be very different.
2. The election is clearly trending Obama's way, although I suspect that was about to slow down anyway. Playing for the status quo was therefore the right move.
3. It's all about risk-benefit. Even if your scenario is one possible one (that Palin crashes and burns, which I think was unlikely in any event), the risk that Biden comes across as a bully or a know-it-all that turns people off was similarly likely. Remember, we like Biden now, but the fact is that he did not do that well in the Democratic primaries when it came to attracting voters, even when he scored debating points. Since things are clearly going Obama's way, why tempt fates.
The Obama/Biden campaign chose the right strategy, and Biden executed it well, IMHO. It now appears that the developing MSM take is that while palin did not crash and burn, she did not help herself because she was too often non-responsive and merely reciting practiced talking points.
So, while the Convention showed us Palin could read a teleprompter, this debate showed us she can remember canned answers from a series of flash cards.
But the question of whether she knows anything about the issues hangs heavy in the air, as Biden showed the public what a thoughtful, knowledgeable leader sounds like.
Palin got 90 seconds at a clip to run on about whatever she wanted. She took advantage to deliver her little prepared speeches.
I thought Biden did a great job last nights.
Even if your scenario is one possible one (that Palin crashes and burns, which I think was unlikely in any event)...
Next time, I'll try to be more explicit.
I did not think it likely that Palin would go down in flames, a thought I subtlety expressed in statements like this:
Even if your scenario is one possible one (that Palin crashes and burns, which I think was unlikely in any event)...
Next time, I'll try to be more explicit.
I hate it when snark goes bad.
My point was that I don't think Biden was any more likely to make that happen, and I have no problem with the Obama campaign strategy.
I really liked how Biden handled himself last night. It seemed like every time Palin said something "worrisome", Biden came right back and smacked it down. I really thought he killed it last night.
Thanks for the post and the comments!
And perhaps they did experiment different strategies during debate prep and found that they just couldn't get the formula right. In order to pull it off Biden would have had to come across like the friendly passive-aggressive Ronald Reagan when attacking. Otherwise Biden looks like a bully and does cost the campaign some ground.
Despite Palin's reputation as a good debater, I didn't see anything great last night. She probably could have out "folksyed" Biden, but I didn't see anything that made me think she could wiggle out of a hole were she to be put in one.
She was clearly nervous to start with and had been mercilessly pounded by just about everyone - she was vulnerable at the start. If Biden could have gotten her rattled by pushing for details which she didn't know or generally thrown her off her memorized talking points she'd be wandering into that dangerous ad-lib ground where she does not perform well at all. Once there, with all the pressure, I think she would have started flailing badly which would have spiraled.
To move her to that point without appearing as an ahole would have taken tremendous skill and been a bit of a gamble. The payoff would have been huge though. So the play it safe approach was probably the best choice and shows the Obama team isn't taking risks like the McCain team.
Besides, if Palin does have to make any other non-scripted appearances we will hopefully get back any ground we lost.
P.S. Despite all this, the polls indicate that Biden won the debate.
As for the sexism accusations, I'm surprised Team McCain haven't gone after Biden for shaking her hand. Or looking her in the eye. Or any other BS they can think up. You're right that had Biden been more aggressive the hard core R's would have screamed sexism, but so what? They've already done that every chance they get.
So Biden would have the challenge of not looking like a bully (or sexist) to the general public - which is certainly above a zero percent chance. I think a skilled debater could have pulled it off.
As a performer, I give her a B-plus. On issues and substance, I give her a D-minus, but we all know the Republicans have said consistently that this election is not about issues, so this low rating is of no importance to their side. It would have been difficult for Biden to push back on her refusal to give substantive answers to the real questions, inashmuch as Ifil the moderator had been intimidated in advance not to hold Palin's feet to the fire. It will be ineresting to compare Ifil's performance with that of the moderator of the next presidential debate, whose affiliation with Fox News presents a far more immediate possibility of conflict of interest than anything Ifil could be accused of with her future book.
CPD is not interested in a honest and open debate, so we knew this would challenge neither of them...
The biggest surprises appear to have been:
1) both candidates, perhaps disingenuously, paid at least lip service to the equal rights of gay and lesbian couples so long as you do not call it marriage; that is an astonishing change from past elections and debates
2) Palin's complete and callous disregard for the near-death of Biden's son will slowly sink in with certain key members of her own supporters; and she'll slip a bit because of it once the issue sinks in
Aside from that, I completely agree; a non-event, and that is a good thing for Obama/Biden. The election will still be about Obama vs McCain, and about how ludicrous it is to even have Palin on the ticket.
Back to the financial crisis and the economy.
In terms of the "qualified to be president" in CBS's pre-debate numbers she was at 54 percent "No" -- post-debate she was at 53 percent "No". I haven't seen any evidence yet to suggest that Palin restored her high water mark numbers in the period immediately after the GOP convention -- and I would be very surprised if her performance last night recaptured those numbers. Palin simply gave reassurance to those who are already in her corner -- Bush's base. The right wing outlets too provided her with some cover talking about the "brilliant performance".
I don't think her performance was brilliant at all. I think it might be an effective con-job with the far-right partisans, but I would be surprised if she gave much reassurance to undecided voters.
In terms of strategy I thought Biden did a great job. He made concise points -- he pulled some heart strings and he wiped the floor with Palin in terms of the substance of his answers. He moved the ball down the field a few more yards. He ended up with a 98 percent rating in one poll in terms of his grasp of policy.
At the end of the day, Palin is a side show. McCain was rightly the focus last night. Biden got his jabs in. Palin regurgitated talking points.
And really, last night was probably the about last we'll see of Sarah Palin. She'll stumble through an interview here and there, but no press conferences.
As any true street balla knows, any "groove" is useless if you ain't got no game.
Even a high school debate team would do better than Palin. Her sophomoric approach, ridiculously vacuous answers, and absurd claims on a variety of issues just show even you have let the media and GOP get away with setting her bar down on the ground.
Don't let them get away with demeaning the intelligence of voters. Especially, women shouldn't allow them to get away with this dumbed-down double standard. Sarah Palin demeans women and America. Raise the bar to where it should be. She flunked. That anyone thinks she performed up to par for a VP candidate is shameful.
But my real point wasn't about whether she won, or even if she won over the undecideds. It was that she accomplished (or was allowed to accomplish depending on how you think the Obama team should have played it) her simple goal of not looking like a total moron. And in accomplishing that goal I believe she's regained confidence that had been worn away by her own interview gaffes and the subsequent pounding she's taken for them.
Hard to tell what that'll gain her, but I know I'd rather have an opponent who has lost all confidence than one who has regained some.
She was in a horrific train wreck, and she was pulled from the wreckage unconscious, but alive.
Last night, they were able to stop the bleeding, and the family has a small glimmer of hope since she is still breathing.
But, she's still in the ICU, and from where I stand, she's in critical condition, and she should not be disturbed for at least the next 30 days.
A lot of people taking a second look are going to start wondering why she should be allowed to get away with stating that the Vice Presidency needs to be more powerful than Cheney has already made it, with her incredibly callous non-response to something which almost brought Biden to tears, and her constant repetition of the word "maverick." She said it so often that my son and I would start humming the tune to "The A-Team" every time we heard it.
?
Here is a fox interview with Palin saying she will be more accessible.
"I look forward to speaking to the media more and more every day and providing whatever access the media would want," Palin said in an interview with Fox News.
I am shocked at this, but she hasn't really actually done it, she is just threatening to doing it.
OK, Sarah, I call. Do it!
In talking about her train wreck interviews:
Her responses, Palin said, were "an indication of being outside that Washington elite, outside of the media elite also."
Let me give you a clue Sarah. People ask you questions, and then you answer them. That's how we roll here on the Elite East Cost. May not be what you're used to, but give it a shot.
Of the CBS interviews, she said: "The Sarah Palin in those interviews is a little bit annoyed. Because it's like, no matter what you say, you're going to get clobbered. If you cease to answer a question, you're going to get clobbered on the answer. If you choose to try to pivot and go on to another subject that you believe that Americans want to hear about, you get clobbered for that, too."
Here's a thought, Sarah. Answer the question! It's not hard. You take a question, and you answer it. You don't go through your cards to see what answer might best fit and then read that card.
wink wink
She also did not support benefits for gays.
Now think about this. A person trained as a news reader would not be using all the folksy language and would not be butchering her pronounciations. Her fake down home language is demeaning to her and condescending to the audience.
In my opinion anyone who would put on this kind of fake act in front of a national audience is a real nothing and morally bankrupt.
She has a degree in journalism for golly-gee's sake. Who is she trying to fool?
G.W.Bush.
I recall seeing clips from his Texas Gov debates and he sounded much less folksy and fumbling than he ever did on the national stage.
Some of the highest overall ratings came when Palin was being a pure cheerleader - America is great, democracy is great, we're all greeeeaaattttt. Zero substance, all cheerleading. And it got some of the highest, if not the highest, rating from this crowd!!!!
Who, after all, doesn't respond positively to an upbeat cheerleader statement. It makes us smile momentarily.
The problem is that while those groups measure how well a particular moment plays, you can get lost in the minutiae of the moment and lose focus on the overall performance. The people in the rarified atmosphere of that studio, concentrating on the moment to moment messages, don't have the chance to parse the total picture.
Audiences at home, concentrating on the whole as well as the parts may have liked particular aspects of Palin's performance - for example, the wink was cute; the rah rah for democracy made them feel good - but they also caught the fact that there was little substance there and she avoided answering direct questions that deviated from her printed notes. Overall, she changed no minds about her readiness to lead. And that's not good because people were already doubting that ability. They still doubt it. And enough pundits have been pointing out the lack of substance to her answers to keep voters doubting her leadership abilities.
All Palin succeeded in doing was reassuring the GOP base that she could walk and chew gum at the same time. She was not persuasive to indpendents and swing voters and certainly not to Democrats. She didn't hurt her side by discouraging GOP voters. But she didn't help win anybody not already convinced.