Who are you now committed too?
Obama 18%
McCain 10%
Still Uncommitted 71%
Opinion of Biden
Better 53%
Worse 5%
No change 42%
Opinion of Palin
Better 55%
Worse 14%
No change 30%
UPDATE by Lowell: Per Open Left, "Biden also won by about a 3-1 margin in the CNN focus group."
UPDATE by Rob: CNN poll of debate watchers has Biden winning 51-36%. Is Palin qualfied to be President? 53% said no.
UPDATE #2 by Lowell: My overall thoughts are that Palin didn't implode but hardly ever answered the actual question asked. Biden did fine, no knockout but showed his tremendous knowledge and experience without seeming at all arrogant or condescending. He also really connected emotionally when he talked about his family and choked up. Gwen Ifill was so-so, asked decent questions but didn't really follow up or keep the candidates - Palin overwhelmingly - from wandering away from the question. Actually, in Palin's case, it wasn't even "wandering," she just said whatever she wanted REGARDLESS of the question, obviously pre-programmed very well by her coaches. Whatever.
The bottom line is that this did NOT fundamentally change the dynamics of the race, but it may have saved Sarah Palin's reputation so that - god forbid - she might run in 2012. Also, I think she played well to her base, to the people who already supported her, but I doubt she converted many (if any) other people. The polls so far seem to support that...
UPDATE #3 by Miles: Biden gets an A-. No gaffes, destroyed McCain, tied him to Cheney, prodded Palin gently, and had the single most memorable moment of the night choking up over his kids.
Palin gets a D+. Look, this isn't some game about beating the media's lowered expectations. This is about proving you're ready to be a heartbeat away. She didn't. When she wasn't her usual stumblin' and bumblin' self on the names of our commanders in the field or the policies they support, she was rambling disconnected streams of talking points and folksy phrases. But ... can we go back to talking about energy?
UPDATE by Rob: Biden did well -- started unevenly but came on very strong. Palin was a blizzard of words, but she lost the debate right here (video) when she showed robotic-like emotions after Biden almost broke up about his family tragedy.
UPDATE #4 by Lowell: For what it's worth, the MSNBC online poll (unscientific) has Biden leading 53%-37% with 270,000 votes in.
They are already voting in Ohio and elsewhere, and McCain is pulling out of Michigan. The clock is ticking for McCain to close the gap.
She didn't dig herself deeper into the hole so guess there was a sigh of relief from her handlers.
And you know... this all seems very familiar.
For those of us who are free thinking, we accept that the world is complex. We worry about the world, and about issues that affect people thousands of miles away. Sarah Palin does not. She was like a Republican Robot.
This is endemic in the Republican Party. Too many authoritarians who do what they are told, and say whatever they think will make people vote for them. Not enough critical thinking, or bringing up issues they care about, even if they aren't being discussed in the media. For example, Joe Biden talked about Darfur tonight and demanded we do something to stop the genocide. The genocide in Darfur has been ignored by the media in the last few months. Joe Biden felt like it was essential to discuss. Why? Because Joe Biden is a free thinking individual with values and issues that concern him every day.
Sarah Palin IS George W. Bush in high heels.
So asking them to distinguish themselves from bush is talking in the past. Another cop out. We must ignore that and ask specific questions. What do they plan to do.....
Just follow the flow chart. Ha.
Sarah Palin got a tough rap this week for flubbing questions in media interviews. Her solution tonight: not answering them at all.
Gwen Ifill nobly tried to keep both candidates on task. But Palin demonstrated a knack for answering the question she wanted to answer-not the one that was asked. At one point, Ifill asked Palin to respond to a comment by Sen. Biden on health care. "I would like to respond about the tax increases," Palin pivoted and proceeded to accuse Obama of raising taxes 94 times. A minute later, Ifill prompted Palin to respond about McCain's record of deregulation. Again, Palin resisted: "I'm still on the tax thing because I want to correct you on that again." Biden looked exasperated, prompting Palin to say, "I may not answer the questions that either the moderator or you want to hear, but I'm going to talk straight to the American people and let them know my track record also." In other words, screw your questions, I've memorized a message and gosh darn it, I'm going to get it across.
Which was great, I thought. Biden didn't try to attack or embarass Palin--he took the fight to McCain. Not only was the Maverick challenge strong, I loved the healthcare challenge, especially now that Obama's cycling those three new healthcare ads in battleground states (like this one).
Do you agree with Dick Cheney's interpretation of the office... hell, if Dick Cheney said the sky was blue, I'd say it's more of an indigo....
The McCain campaign did not opt, in the end, for Sarah Barracuda. They wanted Palin scripted, and in some cases she seemed to have her lines literally memorized. This was the more risk-averse choice, but provided for few genuine moments of spontaneity.It also allowed Joe Biden to get a lot of free shots in at John McCain, several of which were quite effective. Perhaps, in the end, this wasn't as difficult a debate for Biden to prepare for as it had been made out to be. Hammer McCain, knowing that Palin would have to go off-script to defend him. It also allowed Biden to be the more emotive candidate.
Palin was unable to defend McCain in this context, because she couldn't go off script. It's beyond her ability. Most of the piledrivers from Biden were dropped cold, while Palin tried to round-robin the discussion back to some talking point she had written down.
My first impression as I watched last night was that she didn't drool on herself. As I go back and watch the debate in new light, it's obvious she did everything except drool.
Sean will talk more about this, but I suspect that the Sarah Palin chapter of the campaign is largely over. She may draw large crowds in her next couple of public appearances; it's also not out of the question that the media will sour on her performance in the forthcoming days, once it's been removed somewhat from her safety net of low expectations.
I expect that souring to be complete by this afternoon.
For accuracy's sake, we should probably consider referring to tonight's "Showdown in St. Louis" as the "Showdowns in St. Louis." Call it the Tale of Two Debates. In one ring we watched Sarah Palin battling Tina Fey's impression of Sarah Palin. In the other we saw Joe Biden battling John McCain. They both delivered somewhat uneven performances--but both "won" their individual bouts. The question is which one moved his or her boss closer to victory on Nov. 4.
Palin delivered an appealing performance. But I suspect that undecideds will see Biden as more vice-presidential. So far, the surveys seem to support my hunch. CNN's instapoll gave the debate to the Delaware senator, 51 percent to 36 percent, and 46 percent of undecided voters surveyed by CBS News agreed (21 percent thought Palin won). Are these stats the final say? Hardly. Fifty-five percent of CBS respondents also said their opinion of Palin changed for the better. But even if the voters ultimately decide that the Showdown in St. Louis was a draw, there's no chance that it'll prove impactful enough to alter the basic contours of the race. Right now, Obama leads by an average of six points and has broken 50 percent in several polls--with only 33 days to go. For McCain, a tie won't do the trick.In other words, survival is all well and good. But it's not the same thing as winning.