the deadest dead heat of the entire election season....

http://www.intrade.com/

wow.

http://fairfaxdemocrats.org/?p...

(see at the end where it says Updated)

Very interesting from the PPP Poll that Biden is more popular in VA than Palin and that may be one of the reason's Obama is able to hold his small lead in VA.

PPP has a poll out with Obama up 2.

That'll push the rolling average into the blue column and officially end McBush's post-convention bounce.

Remember, Bush's 2004 bounce lasted all the way to the election and averaged over 6% at one point.  McCain never topped Obama by more than 2.

to get Obama's lead up to 5, 10 points...as high as it can go.  I don't even want this to be close, and it certainly shouldn't be if there's any justice in the world...

Seriously, and I'm not trying to be offensive here - pretty sells.

I think McCain got a bump in the polls SIMPLY for the fact that Palin is attractive.  Soon, our other brains will regain control and her total lack of experience will bring men back to our senses.

McCain chose Palin for the same reason FOX news makes their female anchors look as sexually appealing as possible.  It gets more ratings, and it probably will get more votes.  Good short-term political move, but a horrible way to choose someone in such an important position to our nation.

Does anyone really believe that sex appeal will not influence this election?  This is becoming a marketing campaign, not a political campaign - unfortunately.

otherwise we might be in trouble.

Palin is going to be begging to go back to her igloo after Biden teaches her all about foreign policy.

Obama comes across well on TV.  He'll do fine.

Have very sexist of you to mention igloo....are you implying she's an "ice queen", a sexist term used only as a slur against women?   You liberals are just picking on her, that dear little thing.  Don't say it wasn't intended to be SEXIST...we all know it was.  You didn't accidentally choose that word.  If you were a candidate in this race we would need to talk about your use of the word "igloo" for 3, maybe 4 days...

Let's hope we aren't there yet.

Lets see where the polls go

Seeing those trend lines...Obama back on the rise.....McCain headed down hill....is lifting my spirits....I wish this would keep going and he could just pull away....take the lead by 20 lengths going down the home stretch!!!!!

Eric Cantor is blabbering on MSNBC right now about McCain and how great he is and I just want to vomit...Chris Matthews is really sticking it to him......Where's that remote?   Need to hit the MUTE button!!!

Just by happenstance ... and the fact I didn't have to wait in a line, I finally got an iPhone 3G. Yea!!

Everybody else in my family had one ... so I was destine to as well, but waited out the "surge" for a new unit. So I get this wonder tool ... and believe me it's well worth having, truly state of the art in handheld computing (something I've been involved in over the last 15 years) ....

Anyhow it's got this "Apps" feature, where you can down-load all kinds of software applications for fun and work, etc. Just for grins ... to tryout an "App" I download an Application called ELECTION 08 which tracks political polls in every state - for each major candidate (McCain & Obama) ... breaks out swing states - breaks down every major published poll per state ....

Well for the political novice and junkie alike this thing is FREAKING AWESOME and near real time as a poll could be. For Lowell and Josh .... if you don't already have an iPhone .... this application alone should close the deal for ya ... GET SOME!

It's reporting:  Obama / Biden 271 electoral votes.... to 267  McCain / Palin

                                                G'OBAMA

McCain can suck on a Blackberry ..... I got me an iPhone!!!

that way any "Wilder effect" wouldn't hold sway.

If he is only 2-3 points up, I could see him losing because people change their mind once the curtain is closed.

Young people who overwhlemingly support Obama, overwhelmingly use cell phones which are largely underpolled.  

no way to meausre it, but whatever the Wilder Effect it should be moderated by Millenials

I'm not sure there will be a Wilder effect. I don't know much about how pollsters correct for this sort of thing, but if you're looking for an analogue, you should probably look to Tennessee in 2006. Most of the polls right before election day actually underestimated the results for Ford, which is the opposite of the Wilder effect. Doug Wilder was elected governor 18 years ago, which is a lifetime in terms of technology and polling sophistication, especially when it comes to meta-data--looking at large trends and aggregate numbers. Whatever the result is, I doubt we'll be very surprised on Nov. 5 (if it's over by then).  

As long as the Economy stays the focus and John "The Deregulator" McCain has to try to fumble around and try to explain how he isn't flip-flopping by calling for more regulation now after AIG's collapse, the more Obama will retain and improve his lead.

But Obama also needs money.  Lots of money.  Because the RNC has a lot of money and they are making up the difference.  I'm sure you heard on NPR about all these hybrid ads they have been running (the reason McCain had so many more ads on the air after Obama's convention speech).  

We need to donate as much as we can so that Obama doesn't have to take time out of his campaign schedule to host fundraisers.  

If you have donated before, use this link and you will match the donation of a new donor.  A good way to donate and try to get new donors involved at the same time.

https://donate.barackobama.com...