ANALYSIS: Third party candidates may play a very big role in this election!

By: Mitch Dworkin
Published On: 9/15/2008 3:49:57 AM

Hello Everyone:

I definitely think that third party candidates may play a very big role in the this Presidential election!
That is because Ron Paul is encouraging all of his supporters to vote for a third pary candidate and also because CNN polling verifies that there are still many Clinton supporters who will not vote for Obama:

http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITI...

Two-party 'charade' must end, Ron Paul says

WASHINGTON (CNN) -- "Republican Rep. Ron Paul of Texas called on voters to back a third-party candidate for president Wednesday, rejecting his party's nominee and offering equally harsh words for the Democratic candidate...

Instead, Paul will give his seal of approval to four candidates: Green Party nominee Cynthia McKinney, Libertarian Party nominee Bob Barr, independent candidate Ralph Nader and Constitution Party candidate Chuck Baldwin..."

http://transcripts.cnn.com/TRA...

THE SITUATION ROOM

Pigs & Lipstick; Sex, Oil & Government Scandal

Aired September 10, 2008 - 18:00   ET

KEATING HOLLAND, CNN POLLING DIRECTOR: "Before the conventions, we found that about a quarter -- one in four of Democrats who supported Hillary Clinton for their party's nominee said that they would vote for John McCain in November. That's down to one in seven now. So Obama has been picking up Hillary Clinton Democrats..."

Here is the CNN article and video link of Ron Paul and Ralph Nader discussing this issue with Wolf Blitzer on Wednesday, Sept. 10:

http://politicalticker.blogs.c...

September 10, 2008

Paul and Nader blast dominance of Dems, GOP

Posted: 05:00 PM ET

Watch Paul and Nader sound off on the two-party system.

http://www.cnn.com/video/#/vid...  (7:24)

(CNN) - Watch Rep. Ron Paul and Ralph Nader as they discuss what they think is wrong with the two-party political system and why they think third parties should get more attention in political dialogue.

Related: Paul urges voters to skip McCain, Obama

http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITI...

Two-party 'charade' must end, Ron Paul says

Filed under: Ralph Nader GÇó Ron Paul

Here is the CNN transcript link of this video where Wolf Blitzer mentioned these important third party poll numbers in swing states during this interview that could possibly affect which candidate wins the state:

http://transcripts.cnn.com/TRA...

THE SITUATION ROOM

Obama Campaign Accuses McCain of Phony Outrage; Republican Congressman Ron Paul Makes Push For Third-Party Candidates

Aired September 10, 2008 - 16:00   ET

WOLF BLITZER, CNN ANCHOR: "Here is what the CNN/Opinion Research/"TIME" magazine poll shows in two key battleground states right now. In Michigan, 45 Obama, 42 McCain. Ralph Nader, 6 percent; Bob Barr, 2 percent; Cynthia McKinney 1 percent.

In New Hampshire, another battleground state, Obama, 48; McCain, 43; Nader, 4 percent; Bob Barr, 2 percent..."

Here is the CNN transcript link where John King gave his analysis about this issue in a panel discussion later on that day which I would agree with him on:

http://transcripts.cnn.com/TRA...

THE SITUATION ROOM

Pigs & Lipstick; Sex, Oil & Government Scandal

Aired September 10, 2008 - 18:00   ET

WOLF BLITZER, CNN ANCHOR: "There are certainly critical battleground states and our brand new poll shows the race in a dead heat, with the potential for a third party candidates to swing the election if it's very close.

We're back with the best political team on television.

John, you're in Michigan right now. And in our brand new poll, our CNN/"Time"/Opinion Research Corporation poll, among registered voters, Obama is at 45, McCain's at 42 -- a statistical tie, if you will, given the margin of error. But look at this -- Ralph Nader gets 6 percent, Bob Barr 2 percent, Cynthia McKinney 1 percent.

In New Hampshire, look at this -- Obama is at 48, McCain is at 43, but Nader gets another 4 percent in New Hampshire, as well.

We spoke to him earlier in THE SITUATION ROOM, together with Ron Paul, the Republican Congressman, who says he's not going to support McCain, he's going to support a third party candidate.

How likely is it that in a close battleground state like Michigan, for example, where you are, Ralph Nader potentially could be a spoiler for Barack Obama?

JOHN KING, CNN CHIEF NATIONAL CORRESPONDENT: It is a reminder that we need to watch until the very end. We've talked before about we thought Bob Barr would maybe have an influence in his home state in Georgia and potentially hurt the Republicans. Those poll numbers suggest that if Ralph Nader is playing here in a place like Michigan, one thing it suggests is you have to watch it to the end. Most of that vote would likely go back to where it belongs.

But another thing it tells you, Wolf, is if for some reason Obama or McCain -- they're not breaking through on the economic message. You have Ralph Nader, sort of the anti-Washington, populist, I'm on your side kind of message. If he's getting up at 5 or 6 percent, that's a testament to him, but it also means it's a weakness on somebody -- somebody else's part. And it's something we have to watch.

If Ralph Nader is getting 6 or 7 percent here in the State of Michigan, then Barack Obama is in trouble.

BLITZER: In deep trouble. And all of our viewers, Steve, remember Florida in 2000. Ralph Nader got more than 90,000 votes and Bush beat Gore by about 535 votes. And most of those Ralph Nader. Votes -- I think almost everyone agrees -- probably were votes taken away from Al Gore, not George W. Bush..."

John King of CNN in my opinion is a very fair, objective, and credible reporter who I have a lot of respect for!

This link will tell you the states where which third party Presidential candidates will make it on the ballot:

http://www.ballot-access.org/

While this issue is not being talked about very much right now, I think that it will probably come up a lot more later on. Third party candidates may play a very big role in this election because any one third party candidate taking away enough votes from either major party candidate in any one swing state could possibly turn the entire election in a close race just like how Ralph Nader did back in the 2000 election!

This is also cross-posted on Gen. Wes Clark's blog with comments:

http://securingamerica.com/ccn...

Mitch Dworkin

http://www.securingamerica.com/

http://securingamerica.com/ccn...
RESOURCES: Speeches, Articles, and Career Highlights to help define Gen. Clark!
Submitted by Mitch Dworkin on July 7, 2008 - 2:51pm.

http://securingamerica.com/ccn...
StopIranWar.com: "War is not the answer"
Submitted by Wes Clark on February 21, 2007 - 11:40am.

http://www.securingamerica.com...
Listen to Gen. Wes Clark fight for Dems on Sean Hannity's radio program: An excellent example for all of us to follow and what we all need to be doing to help fight back against extreme right wing Neocon smear propaganda!


Comments



Can you imagine the US with coalition governments? (Tiderion - 9/15/2008 3:24:19 PM)
Me neither.

We vote for people who exist under a party umbrella but are not the parties themselves.