Electoral Vote Count

By: anitab
Published On: 9/11/2008 5:52:50 PM

Given the irrelevance of the national poll data, it is surprising how much attention is paid to those polls and how rare it is to hear how the electoral vote count is shaping up.  Here are a few web sites to follow on the electoral vote:

Electoral Vote Strength debunks some of the hype about McCain's post convention surge. (This is the good news.)
Obama 273   McCain 238   Ties 27 in Electoral-vote.com, which also has an interesting discussion on partisan identification in polling and whether the polls should and are correcting for changes in partisan identification.
Obama  217 McCain  216 Toss ups 105 in Real Clear Politics.

Are there any other sites with this information?

Comments



Many sites (Pain - 9/11/2008 6:01:44 PM)
A great site, run by a democrat living abroad, but the data is unbiased.

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

A decent projection site, run by a republican.

http://www.electionprojection....

either site has links to other sites, and I read these 2 every day, but ignore the partisan comments.  The data is valid.



As josh Marshall has pointed out (aznew - 9/11/2008 9:04:02 PM)
The state-by-state polling data has not caught up with the national polling data, because state polls are not conducted as frequently. What you see in national polls will eventually be reflected in state polls.

That said, and all else being equal, I suspect some of this bump will dissipate in the next week and both Obama and McCain will settle into 45-48 ranges until the first debate.

Of course, unforeseen events may affect this, such as a huge Palin gaffe. I put it on her because she is the only real unknown at this point in the campaign.