Plus, Republicans are going to be up against a news cycle next week that gives alot of focus to Hurricane Gustav.
We'll know if I am correct or not pretty soon...
And then a moment later, I got a text message. But this was from Obama reminding me to watch the speech. Already have CSPAN on anyways - didn't need that reminder :-).
The key in any tight race will be turnout - so I think this tool gives Obama a distinct advantage.
On the VP announcement, obviously I was wrong on that front. I think you could argue that strategy (which I thought would occur) as the glass half full, or empty.
Having the announcement early would cut into Obama's big night, but on the flip side it would cut into the Republican's big announcement that will presumably occur today. I would argue that an acceptance speech is more valuable that a VP announcement - so if this were a game of chance it would be like giving up a bishop for a queen - and well worth it. So I am going to chalk this up as a missed opportunity on the McCain campaign. If this were baseball I would call in an error.