(1) Del. Brian Moran (D-Alex.) seems to be outpacing Sen. Creigh Deeds (D-Bath) for the 2009 Democratic nomination for governor. (Many, many Democrats were nonchalant about confirming that impression-off the record.)(2) Deeds should run for attorney general again, just as he did in 2005 when he barely lost to Virginia's current attorney general. Deeds probably could beat anyone currently running or being mentioned for AG in 2009.
(3) The door to the Dem AG nomination may close for Deeds if he's not careful. This is just my gut reaction to watching Del. Steve Shannon around the convention campaigning for the 2009 Democratic nod for attorney general-but he has the whiff of a winner who may be able to outmaneuver Deeds if the Bath County senator comes to his senses too late.
I'm not sure what "(Many, many Democrats were nonchalant about confirming that impression-off the record.)" means, but it's whispers like this that soon grow into buzz. I'd like to re-state that RK has no preferred candidate, but we all would like to see Democrats find a way to move into the critical 2009 election year united. The victors will likely control redistricting, which could allow Republicans to deeply gerrymander the commonwealth and stave off for another decade the coming generational shift to an enduring Democratic majority.
As a bit of a qualifier to Mr. Faulk's powers of insight, he continues:
Republicans at the 2008 Virginia GOP convention seemed more enthusiastic about 2009's candidates (McDonnell-Bolling) than those running in this year's election (McCain and Gilmore).
The fact that 2008 has the RPV in a near death spiral seems to be lost on Mr. Faulk, so you have to take everything he says here with more than a grain of salt.
UPDATE: Photo care of Central Virginia uber-activist Mark Brooks.
The Dispatch's motives couldn't be clearer- without the stronger Democrat in the race- the Republicans would have an easier time taking back the Governor's mansion in '09.
I'm hoping RK can help provoke and promote a credible, issues-based discussion between Messrs. Deeds and Moran to see which of these two accomplished gentlemen has the vision for Virginia that will carry us to victory in '09.
As governor, Allen ranked as one of Virginia's most estimable - and revolutionary - of the 20th century. He persuaded a Democratic legislature to abolish parole, dramatically reform both welfare and the juvenile justice system, approve parental notification, and - to raise academic performance - establish a Standards of Learning program emulated nationwide.
...
[I]n standing with a president whose election The Times-Dispatch has twice endorsed as well, Allen's support of the president in combating the 21st century's most serious threat to America and to liberty throughout the world - speaks persuasively for his Senate re-election.
You've got to blow the doors off NoVA to win in this state. and Creigh couldn't do that in 05.
Look at the election returns.
8CD - Kaine got 70% of the vote, Deeds got 69%
10CD - Kaine got 50%, Deeds got 49%
11CD - Kaine got 56%, Deeds got 53%
Total vote cast for Kaine in NOVA was 321K. Total vote for Deeds was 306K.
Obviously, Kaine at the top of the ticket did better, but are you saying that Kaine blew the doors off in NOVA and Deeds did not on the basis of 15K votes out of a total of almost 2 million cast statewide.
The idea that Sen. Deeds did not carry NOVA on par with other Democratic candidates in 2005 is simply false.
Second, you could even take the 10CD out of that mix. Much more important to Democratic statewide chances would be the 3CD, where Kaine took 70% in 2005, and Deeds 67%.
Perhaps you could explain how Moran being from NOVA helps in the 3CD?
In fact, if you look at the results from 2005, what really jumps out is that the difference between Kaine's victory, Deeds close loss, and Byrnes clear loss, was the way each of them performed in the areas of the state that are Republican, the precise parts of the state where Sen. Deeds is likely to perform better than Brian Moran, if it is geographic identity politics you wish to look at.
But since the astroturfers do not care about the quality of their comments, merely the number of them, their goal is obviously not informed discussion, and their presence is corrosive.
I gave, and am giving, quietDem the benefit of the doubt by responding to his/her post seriously. I'm curious what his/her response, if anything, will be.
I spent time in 2005 helping Tim Kaine and Creigh. I probably spent more time helping Creigh and enjoyed the times I met him. He was a great AG candidate, and would have made a great AG. But I don't know if that qualifies him to be our gubernatorial candidate. He was wishywashy about gay marriage. At the time I didn't let it bother me because Taliban Bob was a terrible alternative. But I'm not sure if that's who I want at the head of our ticket.
I also don't know how he's going to connect with Hampton Roads voters when he starts talking about his Donkey. It's a great little story, and I'm sure it plays well southside and the western parts of our state. But as Kaine and Webb showed us, VA dems win in NOVA and HR, not in Bath and Highland County.
Brian's been great to our candidates down here. There's a reason he won the straw poll. The more we get to know Brian, the more we realize he's the right candidate for '09.
1) Hate to say it, but the RTD may be right. [0.00 / 0] Replies: 0
posted by: JCC_Dem on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 2:03:00 PM EDT
attached to: 2009 Tea Leaves
2) Great Speech [0.00 / 0] Replies: 1
posted by: JCC_Dem on Mon Jun 16, 2008 at 12:40:50 PM EDT
attached to: Thank You, Mr. Moran
3) What's your position now, Creigh? [0.00 / 0] Replies: 1
posted by: JCC_Dem on Fri Apr 18, 2008 at 6:01:33 PM EDT
attached to: Sen. Deeds: "Green Globes" not a "credible alternative to LEED"
4) Great Catch [0.00 / 0] Replies: 0
posted by: JCC_Dem on Fri Jan 04, 2008 at 9:12:42 AM EST
attached to: Brian Moran Goes for the Mark Warner Connection
5) Deeds -- friend of the gay community? [0.00 / 0] Replies: 1
posted by: JCC_Dem on Sun Dec 23, 2007 at 7:27:09 PM EST
attached to: Looking ahead to 2009 - (with a silly poll)
My real name is James Elliott Martin- whats yours?
James, it is commendable that Senator Deeds is able to attract politically savvy and (as far as this blog goes) important people such as you, and it's good he has you as his blog attack dog, if Moran doesn't have a big name, what's wrong with that?
As for you quietDem/goVAdems - I also am aware of JCC_Dem's status here and (I believe) at NLS, but James' question was directed towards you. Why don't you just come out and say that you do or do not work for Mr. Moran? James works for Creigh Deeds and everyone knows that. When a Democratic primary is at stake, employment should and must be disclosed on any civilized forum. and YES, RK is a civilized forum. So whether you're a paid staffer or just an avid volunteer - do you work for Delegate Brian Moran?
I read RK regularly. I agree with many of the posts here. I didn't comment on the Obama-Hillary stuff b/c there were enough other people making my point. I don't comment on the environmental stuff because I'm not as knowledgeable about the subject as others.
I do post about the gov race because I think this race is important and has a fundamental impact on the direction of our state.
I think I've also posted on NLS a few times about other topics. I think on local HR or RIC races. I don't remember.
Also, some of us have either jobs or organizational connections that make it prohibitive to make public our identities.
Some things never change!
Mark Brooks
Thanks
Andy Hurst and I were almost pushed off the temporary stage minutes before Mark's picture was taken ... as Brian and Creigh moved in to get pictured with Webb ...
...and that was Al Weed (VA-05) raising hands with Moran and Deeds ... stuck in the middle ... and yes that is Harris Miller extending a salute to now Senator Webb ... good times!
The only thing that Creigh does by running for Governor is help put Bob McDonnell in the Governors mansion.
We have a lot of races to win in 2008, why should I waste my time debating the merits of two excellent candidates for a 2009 race?
I happen to like both candidates. So Pbfbfbfbfbfbtbtbtbt!
I had the privilege to meet him last week when he was campaigning in NoVA for his friends. My fears about him - that he was an out-of-touch, anti-institution troublemaker who thought himself better than the Democratic party (I just got that idea because he came from the blue (SWVA) and simultaneously endorsed Leslie Byrne and announced his candidacy) instantly vanished.
He is a smart, friendly, and humble guy. He listens to politicians and activists alike and understands that the role of the candidate for Lt. Governor is to support other Democrats.
I look forward to hearing more from the Bowerbank for Lt. Governor campaign.
At the convention Saturday.
And I do agree with Scott, there are a lot of important races in the coming months especially in the 10th and 11th CD which I'll be pounding a lot of signs for both Connelly and Feder as well as Mark Warner of course, sort of goes without saying :)
But unfortunately, Mr. Faulk gets paid to say stuff like this and I don't. 8-(