Election Results Open Tread

By: James Martin
Published On: 6/10/2008 6:02:14 PM

11th District Democrats
100% of Precincts Reporting
  Gerry Connolly 14,228 58%
  Leslie Byrne 8,196 33%
  Lori Alexander 638 3%
  Doug Denneny 1,508 6%
8th District Democrats
100% of Precincts Reporting
Jim Moran 11,815 87%
  Matt Famiglietti 1,827 13%
10th District Democrats
100% of Precincts Reporting
Judy Feder 5,462 62%
  Mike Turner 3,377 38%
8th District Republicans
100% of Precincts Reporting
Mark Ellmore 3,292 56%
Amit Singh 2,577 44%
10th District Republicans
100% of Precincts Reporting
Frank Wolf 16,723 91%
  Vern McKinley 1,605 9%

Results via the State Board of Elections website.

[UPDATE:  Let's call the Republican primary in the 8th for Mark Ellmore.  With 85% of precincts reporting he's opened up a 10 point lead.  Congratulations to all of tonight's winners.


[UPDATE:  We're going to have to call it for Gerry Connolly.  With over half of the precincts reporting, that's just too big a lead.  Congratulations Gerry it's been rough primary, but we're all Democrats and we're taking back the 11th.  Just make sure you keep that Supervisor seat for the Democrats.

It was a good race.  Time for all of us to come together and win back the 11th.

This is, of course a critical district.  Fairfax has become a critical part of the vote producing breadbasket of Democratic politics in Virginia.  As a ticket, Obama, Warner, Connolly should turn out some big numbers, but we'd better make sure of it.  If Virginia decides who goes to the White House this year, it better be the right decision.]


Comments



be very disappointing (chiefsjen - 6/10/2008 7:51:44 PM)
if Leslie doesn't win :(  I will be sad.


You won't be the only one... (The Grey Havens - 6/10/2008 7:56:07 PM)
Leslie is a real hometown hero to us here at RK.  There are some good precincts for her, yet to report.  These numbers will change significantly before the night is done.


Well, when do they come in? (justicat - 6/10/2008 9:48:26 PM)


Not looking good (KCinDC - 6/10/2008 8:10:17 PM)
She's winning slightly (45% to 44%) in Prince William County, but most of the votes are in Fairfax County, where he's beating her 60% to 30%.


please promise me (martin lomasney - 6/11/2008 12:03:15 AM)
that we have seen the last of Leslie Byrne.  This person has lost how many elections in a row, now.

Enough already.

Netroots didn't do anything for the Dems but waste resources better spent in the fall.

This primary was a huge diversion of resources from the general elections.  The 10th & 11th look good for the D's but neither R is going to be easy to defeat.

Please let us avoid a primary in the special to replace Gerry as chair.  We'll have far less time to replenish the treasury for the special and we need to work hard to hold onto the chairmanship since its clear Herrity will run for chair without opposition in his party.



Wow (JamesBenjamin - 6/10/2008 7:52:41 PM)
I was not expecting the 8th district R to be that close! Not that either of them has a chance at winning... but still!


Singh (KCinDC - 6/10/2008 8:13:26 PM)
The gap has narrowed. Only 87 votes behind now, with maybe 3,000 still to go.


yeah... that's amazing (The Grey Havens - 6/10/2008 8:21:09 PM)
Could be an upset in the making.


Republicans (KCinDC - 6/10/2008 7:54:09 PM)
Amit Singh, the Ron Paul Republican in VA-08, is doing pretty well, only behind 47.73% to 52.26% with 54% reporting.


Congrats Connolly campaign (Chris Guy - 6/10/2008 7:55:14 PM)
He's got this thing.


Not until the fat lady sings... n/t (The Grey Havens - 6/10/2008 7:56:57 PM)


woo (GAida - 6/10/2008 8:08:38 PM)
Go Gerry!


and a check by Connolly ??? (justicat - 6/10/2008 8:28:45 PM)
Channel 5 had several minutes with Connolly last nite on the 10O'Clock News, for what its worth.  Byrne had a surrogate (her campaign manager I think).


If only all Connolly supporters could be as gracious as James. (jsrutstein - 6/10/2008 8:35:26 PM)
You're holding off calling it for Connolly, while over at rabidly pro-Byrne NLS they've already called it for Connolly.  I appreciate this gesture.  Assuming a stunning comeback in the remaining precincts yet to be counted isn't going to happen for Byrne, we've got to pivot to:

1) Keep Fimian out of Congress;

2) Keep Connolly's old job in Dem hands; and,

3) Hold Connolly to his progressive promises.



11th district will be huge (Red Sox - 6/10/2008 8:44:18 PM)
By keeping Fimian out, we will increase the vote for Obama and Warner.

Points two and three are important, but not until and unless Connolly wins the general.



Fimian may be sadder than Byrne tonight. (jsrutstein - 6/10/2008 8:58:24 PM)
If Connolly's 20% lead holds up, Fimian may have to completely self-finance his campaign.  Perhaps he's got money to burn, but I'm not sure how he'd square his one and only credential, his successful small businessman status, with a decision to invest in such a hopeless venture.


Yep (Kindler - 6/10/2008 8:55:30 PM)
Even at just 54% of the votes counted, it looks like the fat lady has not only sung, but already taken a warm bath and changed into her jammies.


And make sure Dem turnout is huge in NOVA... (Rob - 6/10/2008 8:56:22 PM)
... and everywhere else!


Agreed! (varealist - 6/10/2008 9:04:44 PM)
Best way to start is at the top of the ticket by attending a Fairfax for Obama meeting tomorrow night at the Mason District Government Center. Be sure to RSVP:

http://my.barackobama.com/page...



pretty neat to see the results in the 8th (notwaltertejada - 6/10/2008 8:36:22 PM)
i have never heard of singh before but there are ellmore signs all over the place in arlington. very interesting.  


Low turnout (KCinDC - 6/10/2008 8:39:38 PM)
With a low turnout, it could be that Ron Paul supporters (and maybe South Asians) are more motivated than run-of-the-mill Republicans to show up at the polls.


Elmore is the . . . (JPTERP - 6/10/2008 10:44:02 PM)
social conservative -- pretty much a standard issue GOP recruit.  His view on Iraq made it sound like victory was at hand.

Singh is the libertarian.

For the 8th a libertarian style candidate is the best shot that the GOP will have of picking off Moran's seat.  Probably would take someone with much higher name ID.

There was a good debate between the two on Kojo Namdi's NPR show this past week (as well as a debate between Moran and Famiglietti).  



Good Run, Leslie (Elaine in Roanoke - 6/10/2008 8:56:19 PM)
I've known Leslie for a few years, and I really wanted to see her return to Congress. There never has been any doubt about what she stood for. She is a person of integrity and class.

Now, let's hope Connolly wins the 11th for the Democrats and also keeps his word about the positions he took in order to win this thing.



The turnout in the 10th.. (FishHead Dem - 6/10/2008 9:07:58 PM)
...is really pathetic.

That suprises me...



Yeah this makes me a tad sick to my tummy too. (ferallike - 6/10/2008 9:32:19 PM)
My husband voted at the #307 Haycock Elem. at 6:50pm and said he was the 99th democrat to vote today. (The election official told him because she knew I'm keeping track for our precint Dem Capt.)  This is a very heavy Dem precinct though and we always go Dem after the vote count so I'm hoping this is just an oversight by my neighbors who forgot today was a primary. I ran my mouth to all I could reminding them today was a primary day.

Lets hope we can do better in November.    



Leslie was invisible (FredFred - 6/10/2008 9:33:55 PM)
I voted for her - #12 in my precinct today at 7am.  I got flooded with Connolly US Mail with the occasional Byrne piece - and his pieces were better.  But that's ok, I got more Harris Miller stuff than Jim Webb stuff too and we know how that went.  But when Connolly put up his roadsigns all up and down everywhere, and there were no Byrne signs at all... that was disturbing.  Then when the Byrne signs went up the weekend before the election, there were one or two next to Gerry's 20-30 and it looked like she had no money and no chance.  

At the fairfax county fair the Byrne folks were out and the Obama folks were out and Doug Denneny was there and the Green party was there and some Republican was there - and there was no Gerry Connoly presence that I saw.  But that was the only moment where I felt the warmth of the Byrne brigade.

-Fred



Disappointingly LOW Turnout not unexpected and expensive to boot. (KC of NOVA - 6/10/2008 9:34:08 PM)
With three elections over the course of the past few months, it's not surprising that the voter turnout in the 11th Congressional District race between Gerry Connolly and Leslie Byrne hovered below 5% of the registered voters. This STINKS!

The state legislature is partly to blame. If you want to increase turnout, then combine the February Presidential Primary, May city elections, and the June Congressional Primaries on one day.

The Obama-Clinton race drew voters -- new and experienced -- to the polls. The Connolly-Byrne match up just couldn't do it, even with all of the negative mailers from both campaigns filling our recycle bins.

In addition, do we know what these multiple elections cost us, the taxpayers, to hold? Certainly, if they'd been combined, there would have been some cost savings.  



Yes! (carman788 - 6/10/2008 9:57:13 PM)
I am so excited that Gerry and Judy were victors! Both deserved their respective wins. I pointed out that Gerry would win big in the 11th CD here and it looks like I was right. Plus, Judy just crushed Mike Turner. Wow.

Great news all around. With Obama in the mix, we're sure to pick up both seats!



Spoke with a about half a dozen (Alter of Freedom - 6/10/2008 10:24:36 PM)
Around dinner tonight just checking the hearts of some of my old freinds in the 11th and the overwhelming sentiment I got was the surrogates went too negative on Connolly. maybe the backdrop of the Obama/Clinton fight may have turned folks away but my three undecided friends all went to Gerry telling me they thought the attacks were too aggressive and his record of achievement at the local level was misrepresented by "folks that call themselves Democrats". I did not ask for specific "surrogates" but my guess is predominately the blogs and also the attacks against his former employer in which one of my old nieghbors who relocated to NVA last year says was a big reason he went for him. Two of the wives though and Clinton supporters went for Byrne. They all said turnout was very low with no lines at all.


COMMENT HIDDEN (Sui Juris - 6/10/2008 10:29:42 PM)


Dude, we may have been wrong (Lowell - 6/10/2008 10:31:31 PM)
but we're not dishonest. Everything we were hearing and seeing indicated a tight race, either Leslie or Gerry winning by a few points max.  Note that James Martin, a Connolly supporter, said pretty much the same thing.  Apparently, you're the type who likes to kick people when they're down.


COMMENT HIDDEN (Sui Juris - 6/10/2008 10:53:16 PM)


Accusing us of dishonesty (Lowell - 6/10/2008 11:10:44 PM)
and using profanity (one of your other comments) is more than worthy of being troll rated.  


Not dishonest? Not profane? (anarchangel - 6/11/2008 2:12:41 AM)
Who are you kidding?

You linked to Ben's 60-part series on how Gerry Sucks over at NLS.

You repeated Tribbett's lie suggesting Tom Davis was endorsing Connolly.

You eliminated entire diaries that had good words to say about Connolly.

What parallel universe are you living in?

You have given the Rethugs their playbook to run against Connolly in November.

I can't wait to condemn you after Republican mail against Connolly this fall quotes RK extensively.  



Sore winner. (Eric - 6/11/2008 9:53:13 AM)
You seem to be more interested in attacking RK (and everyone else who supported Leslie) rather than focusing your effort toward supporting your guy.  Or simply celebrating your victory.

You've drastically underestimated the Republicans and are suffering from serious delusions if you think that the Republicans don't know most of this about Connolly to begin with or wouldn't find it out.

And the fact that you're drooling to attack RK tells everyone all they need to know about you.



We're on the same side -- really (oldhoya - 6/10/2008 11:24:39 PM)
I was disappointed, again, by the tone of the primary and general lack of any understanding on the blogs about why VA-11 Democrats might choose to support a committed and dedicated local Democrat like Gerry Connolly.

Leslie Byrne is also a great Democrat and I respect her, even though I supported Gerry in the primary.

During the primary, however, I didn't say anything about Leslie that I regret.  How many here can say the same about Gerry?

This blog (and NLS even more so) just has too much personal antipathy for Gerry Connolly.  And I don't get that.  And I hope you all step back and give Gerry your support in November.

Sean Corey
Vienna



agree but why not take it one steps farther? (floodguy - 6/10/2008 11:38:57 PM)
why reserve low-class political blogging towards Republican candidates and their supporters; afterall, they are Americans also.  Or is being a Democratic supporter or liberal progressive the only ingredient worthy of respect?  Far too many posters certainly behave this way.


That'd be nice but... (oldhoya - 6/11/2008 12:05:06 AM)
Republicans first have to stop questioning my patriotism and casually suggesting that Democrats are aiding and abetting the enemy before they get my respect again.  I was a Republican until 1994 when the nutcases took over the party -- I grew up in Connecticut and came of age politically in the 1980s with Lowell Weicker folks (and we were right about Lieberman way back then!) -- and like John Cole at Balloon Juice I now have the faith of the converted as a Democrat.

I don't believe in being nice for the sake of being nice.  I believe in being above personal BS in politics for the sake of advancing progressive goals and making government work better.  This is not about me.  And it's not about you.

It's about good government -- and there are precious few Republicans who care about that these days.



16,000+ Virginians (Alter of Freedom - 6/11/2008 9:37:14 AM)
Seem to think Frank Wolf must be just one of those Republicans I guess. Sean 91% given the other numbers in all the Primaries has to account for something.  


Well, that's honest (The Grey Havens - 6/10/2008 10:41:23 PM)
and I'll be honest as well.

This was, I agree an extraordinarily negative primary.  That came from the campaigns and from the blogs as well.

If there's one thing we've learned here at RK, it's that you fight, because there are things worth fighting for.

Gerry's taken worse hits than anything we sent at him.  He's a tough politician.  He does what he needs to do and he wins.

Whether we like his associations or his positions here at RK he's the nominee and we'll support him.  We'll also have a lot of work to do in the 5th, 2nd and 10th.

Virginia is turning blue, and we've had a hand in it.  Sometimes we lead; sometimes we follow, sometimes we get out of the way and sometimes we lose, but we know that even if we can't have better Democrats, we need to have more Democrats.

The stage is now set for the general election.  Judy will take on Frank Wolf again, Gerry and Jim Moran will represent huge portions of Northern Virginia well.  Unless he's snagged for the VP slot Mark Warner will destroy Jim Gilmore in the fight he's wanted for years, and Obama will, for the first time in a generation, make Virgina truly competitive for Democrats.

We're turning the page on the Republicans who can't govern and leaving the age where Democrats can't win.  There are lots of fights to be had, because victory requires grit.  And the future of America needs Democratic principles, values and leadership victorious.



COMMENT HIDDEN (Sui Juris - 6/10/2008 10:58:58 PM)


You have no right to call him Gerry. (anarchangel - 6/11/2008 2:17:55 AM)
Call him Connolly, but don't call him Gerry.

You are not his friend.  You have been one of his severest critics and you don't even live in the 11th CD.

Once this election is over, I think some of us Fairfax types need to meddle in your politics in Arlington.



The previous post was directed to Grey Havens (anarchangel - 6/11/2008 2:24:14 AM)


Wrong (The Grey Havens - 6/11/2008 9:51:13 AM)
I have been one of Gerry's defenders.  I was pushed beyond the pale when SAIC sent out an illegal fund raising letter, and that's what put my support in the LB column.  Before that I'd been silent.

Do you read this blog or are you just here to spread invective?

The point here is that we're not trying to rehash what was a deeply brusing campaign.

Gerry is the nominee.  He's going to win in November, and he's going to be a solid Democrat.  

He has made some very strongly progressive promises and I for one hope he will fulfill them.  If he does, you can be sure I will sing his praises from the rooftops.  If he doesn't, you can be sure I won't be quiet.

And as a matter of fact, I have met the candidate, spoken with him at length on a number of occasions and we are on a first-name basis in real life.  

Just because we disagree during a primary doesn't mean that we aren't soldiers in the same army for the common good.



technically, we all do (snolan - 6/11/2008 7:34:52 AM)
for better or worse, Mr Connolly has made himself a public figure by running for office.  It permits a certain amount of implied familiarity wether we like him or not, wether we support him or not.

Just be glad people are not calling him far worse... I frequently refer to the man in the oval office as our smirking chimp.  Is that right?  Probably not, but it sure as hades is justified and due.

For my part, when I don't like someone I insist on staying more formal.
So be thrilled Democrats that don't necessarily like Mr Connolly are coming around and accepting that he'll be our candidate in November and probably (we hope) our next congressman.

Oh, and wether we can vote for or against him or not, he will be our congressman too because the decisions made by every congress critter impact all of us.  So though I live in the 10th, and vote for Judy Feder; I am very interested in the race in the 11th; and in Oklahoma, and in Alaska, and in Maine  (states picked randomly without regard to competitive nature of congressional races).



Aren't we full of (Eric - 6/11/2008 10:03:20 AM)
ourselves today?  Dictating what others can or can not call someone else based on, what, your preference?  

Besides, "Connolly" is less respectful than a simple "Gerry".  If you want to get all bent about it, you should be demanding that we call him "Mr. Connolly", or even more appropriate, "Chairman Connolly".

In any event, I'm going to continue calling him any of the above and whatever else I feel like.  But hey, thanks for your super suggestion.



I would've gone with Kommissar Connolly, personally (Ron1 - 6/11/2008 5:33:15 PM)
Has a certain je ne sais quos that is appropriate for Mr(s). Anarchangel.


you better get used to it (Just Saying - 6/11/2008 5:26:28 PM)
over in Prince William County they refer to him as "Senor Chihuahua"

You think this primary was rough? wait until the fall. I can't believe as Democrats we're so pathetic we can't deal with one tough primary where the losing candidate immediately, and graciously, promises to do everything necessary to elect the winner in November.

Get over it and stop being such a baby.



I admire the post (Alter of Freedom - 6/11/2008 9:47:57 AM)
But should we not all endeavor to have a little bit more intellectual honesty "before and during" the Primary and not when it is over.

My only question is would all of the folks here (and thats not everyone by the way) that did in some circles go over the top against Connolly be feeling a little bit of the remorse here if Byrne had won or would that have just solidified the notion that going negative, personal and otherwise, works and most be used going forward.

I would much rather have someone just tell me "why" it is they personally do not like someone, afterall many of us have never even met these candidates instead of spinning facts or quotes to form a line suited more at reflecting ones persoanl opinion of someone than just coming right out and telling us why they are predispose not to want to support them.

And by the way, I always feel like gravitated to the positive. I felt like I learned alot about Byrne in the last few weeks here that I would never have known and thats the stuff I think we need more of. If I was a resident of the 11th I can honestly say that the stories and pieces that were postive would have swayed me in that direction more so than any negative posts solely bent on tearing Connolly down with pics and phrases or political gotcha.

The notion that everyone at his former employer feels a particualr way parallels the ideology that no one employed at Dominion Power care about the environment and that logic is simply divisive. We are all Virginians in the end and would rather have a case be made "for" and not one "against" any day of the week IMHO.



I'd like you to link an example ... (Rob - 6/10/2008 10:56:49 PM)
... of anyone here saying Leslie would win big.


COMMENT HIDDEN (Sui Juris - 6/10/2008 11:09:45 PM)


The Homer Award... (varealist - 6/10/2008 11:23:38 PM)
...goes to Ben Tribbet over on his circus-like, no credibility blog. If we're assessing the blogosphere's impact on this primary, then at least Lowell and others here, in my opinion, were respectful of those who didn't support Byrne (though I would have voted for her if she won). Tribbett, meanwhile, has banned a number of people, stirred the pot with that ridiculous 64-part Gerry-is-a-terrible-human-being series and other wild accusations.

Simply awful.

I do think people need to stay away from Tribbett's mess of a blog. He did the same kind of over the top stuff for Hillary and against Obama. I'd like all Democrats to come together and I don't want to kick anyone while they're down. Except Ben Tribbett. He deserves it.



Oh, I agree with you there. (Sui Juris - 6/10/2008 11:31:45 PM)
Except I'd put a good number of the front page posts here in the same league as Ben's stuff.  The difference (and the reason I am posting here, after pretty much walking away from the place) is that RK is pretty much the de facto Dem community spot on the internet, and has - thus far - managed to mantain some sheen of credibilty.  So I give a damn.  NLS?  Heh.  Not so much.

Ultimately, of course, it's up to the community.  So long as Lowell, and Grey Havens, and whoever else get to toss out zeros that hide viewpoints that disagree with their position of the day, it really doesn't matter.  But if enough people gave a damn, and were actually interested in some respectable effort at Democratic politics?  It could be something quite different.



Mark (Alter of Freedom - 6/11/2008 10:05:54 AM)
I tend to agree with some of what you say but I feel at this point a greater detail of reflection is required. I do not condone any of the behavior you reference and gave up on NLS last Fall but also realize that unfortunately too many feel there is this competition in the blogosphere over some great power grap.

On the one hand they want us to feel compelled to believe that the blogs are open and are holden to no one and then on the other we learn of invites and conference calls between people behing blogs and politicians. Just like lobbyists, access is power and blogs have the power these days to yield that sword in any manner they seem fit.

Buyer beware.

In defense of RK, everyone here has disagreed with me countless times and I have been troll rated, more so early on then now, because I think most here understand that as Virginian I want whats best for us-sometimes its a Democrat and sometimes its not. I endeavor to chime in with the independent voice and have never been silenced--criticized intellectually yes but never silenced. I attempt to bridge some of the gaps b/t those here and say the center on climate change just to offer the differing yet respectful opinions out there. If everyone here came from the same view what would be the point--RK should never be and nor do I think it is, a pep rally. I always feel there is an exchange of ideas and sometimes feelings but people here are passionate regardless of the ideology they support.

Lowell and Grey Havens could have silenced Alter of Freedom years ago, but in the end I hope they realize the goals are the same, the means ia all we may differ about and thats where the debate lies. There was a time when these folks may have thought me a troll because of my independent ideology, especially when I come down on the side of Republicans, but over time I think they have been fair to understand we all have more in common we probably would like to admit.

I say it often here, but everyones realities are very different and we have to remember that each time we head down the path of creating solutions. We are not always going to like the solutions or its tenents, we are not always going to like the same candidates, we are not always going to like the results---but as long as we can feel proud to be Virginians and conduct ourselves with that in mind we will do just fine.

Hey, we got three guys up for VP of the United States. Go figure.



Irrelevant (KCinDC - 6/10/2008 11:27:27 PM)
I don't think anyone would disagree that RK was a pro-Byrne blog, but what you wrote was "If you got your news from RK, you'd have thought it was going to be Byrne in a walk." I don't see how you can make that claim.


then I guess you've not (Sui Juris - 6/10/2008 11:32:30 PM)
been reading all that much.


I haven't read every post (KCinDC - 6/11/2008 12:18:45 AM)
I've certainly read posts here indicating that Connolly was ahead, along with some posts indicating that the race might be close. If there have been posts saying Byrne would win "in a walk", then you ought to be able to point some out.

And I'm not involved in the Byrne-Connolly war and have no desire to get involved in an e-mail argument about it. All I was doing was pointing out that your statement did not correspond to my experience of RK.



If you can't stand the heat... (The Grey Havens - 6/10/2008 11:33:13 PM)
You know, it seems something here must have really hurt your feelings, because you sure seem hellbent and determined to make somebody here really sad.

Mark, the primary is over.  We could rehash the arguments against Gerry all night long, but what's the point?  Gerry won.  Why are you spending so much time complaining?  Gerry's going to win this thing in a walk.  

All of our questions about him remain, and we'll be here to try to hold him accountable.  He's made some very strongly progressive promises.  

It sounds like you're very emotionally invested in Gerry.  Well there are lots of people here who are very emotionally invested in bringing progress to Washington.  We'd like to see Gerry do that.  We'll cheer him if he does, and won't be silent if he doesn't.

Respectful discourse is always welcome here.  We can hash these things out without name-calling or personal attacks, and we hope you'll stick around.



Grey (Sui Juris - 6/10/2008 11:39:15 PM)
you're as thinly supported as ever.  Spending so much time?  Seriously?  I dropped by here on election night.  Invested in Gerry?  Ha.  I'd have loved to see Byrne win.  Apart from some responses to John Bruhns, I walked away from this place months ago, primarily because it was folks like you and Lowell illustrating what a joke the conversation had become.  As I just noted, I know that partisan politics can sometimes reward those who don't think too much, but just clap louder.  Me?  As a Democrat?  I want more than that.  

TR me out of RK existence, if you like.  If I'm the odd man out here, I've no interest in stirring it up.  This is your sandbox.



right here: (Chris Guy - 6/10/2008 11:34:03 PM)
Criticisms of Connolly are Absolutely Absurd


that's a fair response (Sui Juris - 6/10/2008 11:44:05 PM)
and what I asked for (I'm trusting you that this was actually a front page story, and not a diary - I have no way of determining that, as best I can tell).  So thanks.  I'll not be able to make absolute statements.  Looking at the gist of the responses?  I'm pretty comfortable in sticking with my criticisms of how it played out, here.


Where to begin? (Rob - 6/11/2008 12:14:39 AM)
First off, I never posted on the 11th race, so be careful with that broad brush.  This is a community blog, which is why you have the privilege of posting your contrarian comments and diaries here.

Second, I asked you for an example backing up your prediction  of intellectual dishonesty regarding the outcome.  You responded with an irrelevant diatribe about the lack of support for Connolly on this website.  



it's not a prediction (Sui Juris - 6/11/2008 12:29:20 AM)
it's a statement.  You need a citation? try http://raisingkaine.com.  You want to challenge that?  Go on, ask around amongst party actives.

And really, do you need some help in reading comprehension? Nothing I said had anything to do with a "lack of support for Connolly on this website".  It's becoming clearer that dealing in truths is a challenge, here, but really, you could do so much better without that.

And I don't really need your silly little "you have the privilege of posting" stuff.  You do realize you're a guy with a keyboard, right?  I mean, you can sell off your name and cheering section for whatever candidate, and I suppose that might get you an extra ten seconds at the next JJ dinner.  But please, don't pretend as if you're providing anyone any "privileges", here.



Fine (Rob - 6/11/2008 12:35:11 AM)
Prediction, statement -- whatever you want to call it, you're statement that RK said Leslie Byrne would win in a walk is still unsourced nonsense.  So your intimation that posters here should be "up for a little intellectual truth-telling" is based on a fallacy.  Still waiting for you to explain this whole line of argument, which was the point of my original question.

Regarding the "lack of support" reference: "I'd like you to link, as an example, any front page post that treated as a genuine and decent alternative the candidacy of Gerry Connolly."  

And all I was noting was the fact that this is a community blog.  I'm not providing anyone a privilege because I don't run this site.  Though I would like 10 seconds at the next JJ dinner, if you could hook that up for me.



Tim Kaine statement (Lowell - 6/10/2008 10:32:11 PM)
"I want to congratulate Gerry Connolly on his win in the 11th District Democratic Primary. As Chairman of the Board of Supervisors, Gerry has been my partner in tackling some of the Commonwealth's toughest challenges.  Gerry is a tireless public servant, and I know he will bring the same passion and commitment to Congress that he has brought to Fairfax County.  I look forward to working hard over the next several months to ensure his election in November.

I also want to congratulate Leslie Byrne for running a rigorous campaign and for her commitment to public service.  Throughout her career, Leslie has worked hard on behalf of Virginia's families, and I know she will continue this fight."



VA-10 Republicans came out more than (jiacinto - 6/10/2008 11:13:25 PM)
Democrats. That makes me wonder if Feder has an effective GOTV strategy. That VA Republicans voted by a 2-1 margin over Democrats concerns me about November.  


Wolf used franking again to GOTV amongst his supporters (snolan - 6/11/2008 7:41:48 AM)
I got several cards from him because I voted in a Republican primary a few years ago.  They all implied he was a good congressman and reminded me to vote very clearly in the June 10th primary.  It's sad that our tax dollars support these incumbent abusers from both parties via franking.  It makes me angry.

Winning the 10th will be really, really tough; but I think we can do it.  People were "primaried" out yesterday.  In November, turnout will be huge, staggeringly huge.  The election official recruiters are in a mild panic trying to get enough help trained up so they can run the election smoothly.  BTW: If you can, please volunteer with your county board of elections.  It is a worthwhile endeavor, and everyone should do that duty at least once in their life.

In a large election, more and more people will take a look at their choices and realize what a do-nothing we have in Congress.



Question (Alter of Freedom - 6/11/2008 10:14:18 AM)
I know Obama has some other fish to fry, but do you think he should return to these Districts for a little assist in November during his campaign. I mean would it not have been great for those he supported, or maybe he didn't in reality, last week when he was here. To defeat someone as entrenched as Wolf, you might need that heavy weight behind Feder to pull it off. I do not think you can only depend on the down ballot scenario.


The greedy part of me hopes he'll come back and often (snolan - 6/11/2008 2:54:44 PM)
but I also realize that he has to help out in a huge number of the 435 existing house districts, not to mention 22 states with a US Senate race in them during this election cycle.

Sure, many of those races are non-competitive either way; but there are at least a dozen state-wide Senate races where Obama can make a big difference and perhaps 100 house seats where that same can said (rough guess on the 100 figure).

Here in Virginia we are likely to be a battleground state for the Presidential race, as well as having a Senate pickup likely, and at least one house pickup likely (the 11th).  There are clearly two more house seats (2nd and 10th) that look to be competitive.

Yeah, I think it is good politics for Obama to visit the 2nd and 10th districts in Virginia multiple times between now and November.  I am sure he will be visiting Colorado and New Mexico as well (they are both very interesting battlegrounds this year).

I know nothing, but have high hopes and think it would make a difference.