I do think it is safe to assume that Dan will get most of the Buchanan County votes, since its heavily Democratic. Then even if they split the vote in Tazewell County equally, the overall margin should still favor Dan.
One unknown is what Russell County will do since it has a local guy running as an Independent and what effect it will have since its only three precincts.
Another big unknown, that could hurt Dan, is how many votes Independent candidate Jerry Elkins, from Buchanan County, will take away.
If you live in the Third Legislative District (Buchanan, Tazewell, and part of Russell Counties) be sure and vote tomorrow at your usual polling place.
When you go out to vote, remember that Dan Bowling is endorsed by former Delegate Jackie Stump, Governor Mark Warner, and the UMWA.