I've been reading DKos and other blogs very carefully the last few days. I've been watching TV, reading newspapers, and thinking through all the implications of Obama's loss in Pennsylvania. What I've determined is that I am absolutely in agreement with Kos and many others here about Obama and his prospects for nomination and victory in the fall. I've also determined, however, that there is a decided unwillingness to confront certain aspects of reality in DKos and, at risk of drawing flames, it has become a bit of an echo-chamber screaming "all is well, Obama is doing great!!" Actually, there are some issue that need to be dealt with.I'll list my thoughts out in an organized manner below, but at the end of the day what I believe is this:
While Obama is in the driver's seat for the nomination and for victory in the fall, he and his campaign need a re-boot. He seems tired and un-refreshed, and there is an element of mojo missing from the man and his message. Some of the luster is off and he needs to re-capture the shine and the magic. In a word, he needs to adjust. The good news: it's well within his power to do it.
The diarist then lists a "to do" list for Obama including "confront controversy head on" and "reach white voters" using "his intellect and inspirational ability" and not by "pretending you're someone you're not." Again, I couldn't agree more.
I also would strongly recommend that Obama deliver a series of detailed policy speeches on big issues; one commenter at Daily Kos a "grand 'Constitutional' speech," a "'grain wars' speech," a "global climate speech," and several others. The bottom line is that what gave Obama his "mojo" was the ability to inspire people. However, simply saying "change" and "hope" isn't enough, you've got to tell people exactly what you'd change and exactly how you'd change them, what your hopes are and exactly how you'd achieve them.
Also, I'd suggest that Obama talk to Doug Wilder about how Wilder handled racial issues when he ran for governor of Virginia in 1989. I wasn't particularly following Virginia politics at the time, but my understanding is that Wilder addressed race in very direct (even blunt) terms and largely succeeded in defusing it as an "issue." It might be time for some of that from Barack Obama.
I'll close by quoting the conclusion of this excellent Daily Kos diary:
In conclusion, I disagree with those among us who would say that everything is 100% fine and Obama should just keep on keeping on as is. At the moment, he is dealing with a perception of weakness. He should what is perceived to be a problem and use it as an opportunity.He has work to do. He has won over DKos, he has certainly won me over, but he has many others left to convince. Let's stop bitching about it or pretending that there isn't work left to do. Obama will continue to get this kind of scrutiny because he is the presumptive nominee.
Now he has to prove to those what we all know:
He is something special. He can win the fall in a big way (and in ways Clinton cannot). And he will be a great president.
Yes he is ("something special"). Yes he will (win and "be a great president"). And last but not least, yes we can!
It's not entirely Obama who needs to adapt to the changed race, but it's us supporters as well. We need to realize that there are many voters that he does in fact not connect with, and we need to lobby strongly on his behalf.
That's my take, though the original post was worded better than anything I have to say.
In my work I meet many people of different backgrounds. There are a lot of things I haven't done, a lot of places I haven't gone, a lot of experiences I haven't had, and a lot of things I do not know. Yet if I make the effort to connect with people on the human level, if I take an interest in them as people and ask them about themselves and what's important to them, things seem to work out just fine. They don't expect me to know their culture or background or to share their experiences, although sometimes they are pleasantly surprised to find that I do have some things in common, but they are far more interested in whether I understand their problems and can offer a solution. They don't come to me looking for a drinking buddy. They come to me looking for a lawyer.
More than anything else the voters in this country are looking for someone who can understand the problem and offer solutions. What do a lot of people know about Obama? Well, if the press is to be believed what they know about him is he's a black guy with a funny sounding name who talks about hope but who has been criticized for failing to offer a substantive solution. They've been told they should suspect his motives and disdain him as an elitist, a young intellectual who has no experience and "made a speech".
The criticism I have is that Obama is allowing himself to be defined, is allowing certain premises to be established, which he then must go out and refute. This is a mistake. He's trying to blend when he should be willing to stand out, just as Wilder was willing to stand out. Hillary's making the same mistake, trying to out-Republican the Republicans with her attacks on Obama, but both of them are being set up for failure.
Obama made a pretty good start with his speech on race a few weeks ago, but he needs to revisit some of those themes in a non-threatening way. What's wrong with poking a little fun at himself over things like bowling and boilermakers? He's from Hawaii, for crying out loud. How much bowling is there in Hawaii? What's wrong with keeping himself real for people? When politicians go out and try to be something they're not nobody's fooled and everyone thinks they're poseurs. What's wrong with telling people he may not be able to roll a very good game, but that he can understand it can't be good for those bowlers not to have enough money to join their leagues, to have to pay more for their pitchers of beer, to worry about whether the bowling centers are going to have close due to a bad economy? Why not talk about the practical solutions he might be able to offer? Want a grain speech? Tell those bowlers how the rapidly increasing grain prices are going to affect the prices of their beer and burgers.
Well, it seems unfortunately as if they didn't really learn that lesson. I do think he made great strides in Pennsylvania relative to where he started, and the demographics were against him, and it's hard to campaign against Hillary and Bill AND McCain all at the same time ... but, really, outside of the great speech on race in response to the establishment-media-created-"controversy", his campaign the past weeks has been more of the same.
That may well be the safe route to the nomination, as I believe he's essentially already won, but it does leave the door open. The weird thing is, he shouldn't have to 'play act' like he's regular folk -- Michelle makes it very clear in her speeches that they in fact understand exactly what it's like to struggle to work and pay off debts and raise children.
I read now that he's set to go Fox News this Sunday for an interview, another mistake. They just seem to have lost their mooring here the past few weeks, and I can't help but wonder why.
Really don't like this. People that watch Fox will never vote for him regardless, and all it does is piss off his base. Not smart.
On a more serious note. If Obama wants to really build a bridge and create a new era of politics (two themes of his campaign) he should not only be talking but working with the other "side" on a regular basis
Let that sink in a second.
Are you angry he is doing this. You are part of the problem. Unless of course Obama has no intention of working or listening to the other side and plans to steamroll a progressive agenda. IMHO this has been his plan from day one.
I'm not angry he's going on a propaganda network, I just don't think it helps. The people that watch Fox News are the true-believers, have been conditioned to hate him based on fake outrages and non-existent scandals and race-baiting and xenophobia. Hey, enjoy yourself however you want, it's still mostly a free country, but don't expect me to validate it.
And, yes, I think Barack will be a progressive President, which is why I support him. But he has worked with all kinds of Republican Senators to try and advance bipartisan legislation, so in that respect he's much less partisan or ideological than almost all of the Senate today.
His would have been an inconsequential, one-term Presidency if not for 9/11. The only thing I can remember about his Presidency from before that awful day was the dust-up with China over our spy plane and his retarded stem cell 'compromise'. But now the elites of the Republican party stand revealed for what they are and who they stand for. The fact that self-identification of people as Republicans is hemorrhaging is proof enough that the honest Republicans are leaving the fold. But you don't reach those people, the convincable ones, by going on Fox News.
When any Democrat appears on Fox, the problem is not that they might face biased questioning from Chris Wallace, but rather than their presence on the network affords it a credibility and creates the appearance of a legitimate news organization (by legitimate, I mean that it engages in a good faith effort to discover and report truth, whether it succeeds or not) that it does not deserve.
Also, I don't maintain that others reporters, editors or media outlets meet some mythical standard of objectivity or otherwise remain above the fray. I think 98% of the news coverage out there is pretty depressing, including Olbermann. But Fox is quite different. There is ample evidence that it coordinates its coverage with the GOP message.
As for Tucker Carlson, his show sucked. If you want to contend that was ideological, didn't they also cancel Donaghue?
But the issue isn't ideology, it is furthering the interests of a political party.
Don't get me wrong -- I think it is fine for Fox to behave this wave. It is a long tradition of American Politics to have a media organization closely aligned with a political party. My only point is the Democrats should not help them.
This seems like a philosophical question though. Does the media just report the divisions we have? Or does the media reinforce or create divisions by framing the discussion in this way?
And to your last question, we probably would not be discussing this if it was just two white men running which has been the status quo since the formation of these United States.
Yes it would have been a pleasant surprise to end this nomination early; but even if Obama had won PA, it would have been close enough that Clinton would still be in the race....
This race is going according to plan and Obama will be the nominee.
Furthermore he will be our next president.
The real work begins once he is sworn in... we will have a lot of work getting our establishment politicians to work with him to undo some of the damage Bush has done, and even more work to get America thinking about the future.
If you put any truth in that leaked memo from February... look at it again... The spreadsheet has held up remarkably accurately all along, including Pennsylvania.
Obama's campaign is run by geniuses... it's all working very well.
"Yes we can X"
"Yes we can Y"
"Yes we can Z"
With details that speak directly to issues voters care about and a common conclusion,
"Together we can. You, me, all of us working together. Yes, we, together, can."