Today, the Environmental Integrity Project, a non-partisan non-profit group made up of former EPA staff attorneys, issued a report regarding the state of the nation's C02 emissions from the electricity utility industry. The report is bad news for the environment.
Carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from power plants rose 2.9 percent in 2007, the biggest single-year increase since 1998, according to new data from the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. Emissions of carbon dioxide from the electric power industry have risen 5.9 percent since 2002, and 11.7 percent since 1997.
Not surprising, the report lists the state of Virginia as being ranked 9th out of 50, for having the largest increase in C02 emission from utility power plants for all of 2007.
Moreover, as our state increases its C02 output, citizen face a steeper road ahead, as increased costs to fight C02 emission will certainly be passed down to ratepayers.
The current debate over global warming policy tends to focus on the long-term, e.g., whether and how we can reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 80 or 90 percent over the next fifty years. But, even as we grapple with these long-term goals, rising emissions from U.S. power plants are making an already dire situation worse. Because CO2 has an atmospheric lifetime of between 50 and 200 years, today's emissions could cause global warming for up to two centuries to come. The recent power plant data from EPA suggests we must start to reduce carbon dioxide emissions now, before it is too late.The EPA's data allows easy identification of states that release the most carbon dioxide from electricity generation, as well as states that have registered the greatest increases in emissions over the past decade.
Today, underneath the watch of our governor, six major electric utility expansion projects propose to significantly increase C02 output linked to our state, and which will undoubtedly lead to increased electricity bills for years to come.
Increased C02 via coal-fired generation
1. 500kv transmission line proposed by Dominion Power and Allegheny Power will supply electricity to the greater Northern Virginia and DC metro area, utilizing the oft-intermittent 40+ year-old 1581 MW coal-fired power plant in Mount Storm (Grant County, WV). The installation of the transmission line will mean Mt. Storm's five generators will spin full-time.
2. 585 MW power station proposed by Dominion Power in Wise County, VA where 500 MW will be generated by old-style coal-fired generation and 85 MW from wood waste-to-fuel.
Increased C02 via gas-fired generation
3. 583 MW gas-fired generator in Buckingham County, was just proposed by Dominion Power earlier this month.
4. Dominion filed a plan for a 300 MW gas-fired power plant in Caroline County in April of 2007.
5. PEPCO has proposed a 500kv transmission line from Dominion's Possum Point power station in Prince William County in Northern Virginia. The proposal will run into Southern MD, cross the Chesapeake and Delaware Bays and connect to a power plant in Pennsauken, NJ. The new transmission line will mean the partially intermittent Woodbridge power station's twelve generators (5 distilled petroleum fuel and 7 gas) will operate full-time.
6. Today, LS Power from New Jersey has proposed a 873 MW gas power plant in Gainesville, VA (Prince William County).
The EIP's report points out that while current global warming debate focusing on C02 reduction, utilities like these operating here in Virginia will undoubtedly make reduction goals harder to meet. Consequently, with the reality of carbon cap and trade or taxes on greenhouse gas emission at our doorsteps, Virginia consumers will have to pay the price for reaching future C02 reduction goals made steeper by these utilities' shortsightedness. This is where Governor Kaine needs to make a name for himself.
By failing to denounce Dominion's plans and now LS Power's proposals to power Virginia with fossil-fuel emissions, Governor Kaine will lock Virginia down as one of those states who will lead the nation in increased C02 emissions for years to come. And don't be fooled - while gas-fired generation produces 45% less C02 emitting as coal, and 30% less than petroleum fuel, gas-fired generation is still fossil fuel burning and C02 is emitted into the atmosphere.
The report concludes with the recommendation we have heard time and time again.
Energy Efficiency and Conservation (EEC) is the quickest, the cleanest, and the most readily available resource to meet growing energy demand. EEC is the most effective way to reduce C02 output in the near-term. Its has no physical footprint; it doesn't degrade property value or obstruct historic areas and viewsheds. It doesn't disturb sensitive ecological wetlands or waters. And EEC allows for the greater utilization of more unreliable energy resources. EEC is not limited by geography or the availability of environment resources. EEC is available wherever electricity is generated, transmitted and distributed.
To fully appreciate the viability of EEC as a resource compared to others, check out these spreadsheet diagrams developed last year by Tom Konrad.
Earth to Governor Kaine? Higher utility prices and increased C02 emissions, OR higher utility prices and decreased C02 emissions? The decision is yours. People spend a lifetime trying to find or create an opportunity to make a difference. Governor Kaine, when are you going to use the opportunity as the Governor of Virginia, and make a difference to this planet?
It's difficult for the non-scientist to follow the sometimes involved connections between increased carbon-dioxide to global warming to change of ocean currents or connectors, to how global warming can end up triggering another Ice Age and a consequent mass extinction, for example.
Kaine needs to read "Under a Green Sky" by Dr. Peter Ward(Smithsonian Books, published by Harper-Collins). It is guaranteed to curl your hair (even if you have none). If our overworked Governor does not have the time to do so, maybe someone could provide him with a Reader's Digest condensed or precis version.
Mt. Storm is an intermittent coal plant, but its still ranks 55th in the nation out of all generators. When that 500kv line is installed, Mt. Storm will operate 24/7 and being some 50 years old, its GHG emisions it will place it near the top in the nation. The same can be said for all of these new fossil-fuel burning proposals. Dominion already powers most of its custmoers with coal plants across the state! And when state utilities get hit with the cost for its fossil-fuel generation, you and I will have to pay the bill.
A few weeks back, I posted a diary regarding the FERC Chairman acknowledgement to the power industry and state regulators, that they should no longer consider coal just because it is a cheap fuel. This is no longer a reality. Coal is now expensive due to construction costs and the coming realities of expenses associated with new emissions policies. With the price of kWh from coal increasing, other alternative resources are no longer as expensive as they once were perceived, and are now worthy for consideration across the board. This is what is being realized in states like CA, OR, NM, AZ, NV, KS, FL, TX, MD, NC, SC and others. All these states or their primary state's utilities have taken action against new coal plants (until CCS) and have turn to other means.
Meanwhile, with a democratic Governor and a democratic majority in the state senate no less, Virginia is just bending over for Dominion power and the will of the Northeast. In order to understand Virginia's energy dilemma, one needs to understand how the northeast plays into this matter, and this can be done by understanding EPACt of 2005, the roll of the PJM and the DOE and PJM lovechild, the national transmission corridor (NIETC).
In the northeast, democrats dominate state politics for the most part. Because of environmental pressure, they are able to retire their old power plants, but instead of building their own power sources, they are able to turn towards others in order to meet their own electricity needs. Sure they are installing renewables but they are falling well short of demand. Plus those sources are intermittent and unreliable. The regions tranmission authority, the PJM (which stands for Pennsylvannia, Jersey and Maryland), is enabling the northeast to import its power, and simply put, Dominion has gone along with it. The northeast will now get more and more of it powers from southern and western states like WV-VA-OH. Utilities in those 3 states are offering to build coal-fired plants for them. In fact, these states are so welcoming to new generation, a generation operator out of New Jersey now is proposing to build a new 853 MW gas generator b/n Gainesville and Manassas!
MD, DC, NJ, PA, DE and NY get to have reduced C02 and increased EEC in exchanged for increased C02 and greater EEC in our neck-of-the-woods. By retiring old inefficient power plants (7 so far and counting) C02 will decrease and EEC will increase. Now in order to meet RPS goals, state utilities only need to install or buy renewables. The plan works well for those states. The northeast with its higher RPS standards & EEC goals, generation operators are being driven out of the northeast to capitalize on their energy needs in states were standards are lower. (Do you smell the need for a national RPS instead of states?)
Meanwhile, Virginia risks picking up the tab for the increased C02 production, decreases in air quality, and the sight of smoke stacks and 500'foot transmission towers. The inefficiency created when old plants like Mt. Storm or the C02 producing plants like the 5 distilled oil fuel generators in Woodbridge run full-time will generate expenses which will need to be paid.
Conservative, liberal, environmentalist, skeptic... it doesn't matter how you are. A few decades ago, NJ was considered the industrial dumping grounds for the energy needs of NYC and Long Island. Today, Virginia, along with WV and OH stand on becoming the NEW JERSEY for the i-95 northeast corridor.
PS - we'll have this discussion again around 2016-2022 when Dominion seeks permits to build 4 more reactor @ North Anna. Last year Dominion was forecasting 8 reactors total by 2030. Imagine the sight of that transmission superhighway.
Granted it is difficult to meet tougher renewable and efficiency goals when growth is high. However, if all we were concerned with was this state's capacity and its ability to meet is own needs, then like NERC stated just in 2005/6, the state of Virginia's capacity and grid was of "no concern." This changed overnight with the passage of the Energy Policy Act of 2005. The next thing we know the DOE was imposing our region with transmission corridor status and seven (7) grid expansion proposals, six which utilize fossil fuels, have been introduced w/i the last 15 months.
The solution?
How about a federal or regional RPS for starters. State's utility planning is already superceded by the regional transmission operator, while generation capacity improvements are not. The RTO's acknowledge they cannot control generation planning, so they plan transmission accordingly. Hence certain states have to bear the brunt of generation planning, which because of political environments differing from state-to-states, inequities develops. The state of Arizona is fighting California and the western RTO for this same very reason. That region was slapped with the nation's only other national transmission corridor as well.
States developed their own RPS because this pro-energy administration had been to slow to act on the environment. This has allowed some states a head-start to implement favorable environmental policy, which because of regional tranmission planning and state generation planning, has impeded other states with less pro-environmental policies to now do the same. Virginia cannot meet the same renewable and efficiency standards as its northeast neighbors, because the region's RTO is allowing capacity to be exported. Exported capacity costs more, so Dominion is rushing in cheaper fossil-fuel capacity before price increase take affect and it becomes too late for them. Once the policy is set in place, the right-of-way is established, then next the infrastruture is constructed. Dominion is about to successfuly deliver a strategy which will increase its cash-cow status for its shareholders.
Seems like a made up conspiracy? Remember early on this adminstration's state of the union addresses? Bush vowed to revamp the energy industry? Dominion's own VP was on the Bush Energy transmission team in 2000. Their first attempt to enact new energy policy failed in 2001. After the blackout and 9/11, new policy was drafted in 2003 and passed in 2005 by the GOP Congress. When the policy was introduced by to public, the keynote speaker was none other than the Chairman and CEO of the PJM. Dominion was not only first in-line with its transmission proposal, they proposed their line before the corridor was ever approved. With the likelihood of CCS and nuclear expansion, 8 total reactors stated by 2030, Dominion will be more than happy to supply the northeast with this state's capacity, because everything has been put in place for them to do so.
Virginia's energy dilemma is badly politicized. Opposition to the 500kv transmission line not only won Republican support, it created Democratic opposition in favor of Dominion! The reverse can be said with Wise County and pro-environmental energy bills defeated by conservatives against Whipple and Peterson.
Imagine, a local county in Nova having the areas 1st and only resolution to reduce energy consumption within its county governmental buidlings and operations. Would you believe the only one's oppposed were the two democrats on the board! There was no reason given, except the obvious distrust of the other side.
Other solutions should follow the lead of California - rank energy efficiency and conservation (EEC) first in load order. A state's utility should be forced to demonstrate they have exhausted such resources before appealing to others for capacity. The goal is reduce the footprint, that means in the air and the land. EEC does just that. Increases "usable" capacity, cost the least, doesn't affect the land nor the air, and has to political or public opposition. So why is the indusry against it? Capacity improvements have always equated to increased marketshare. The tenticles of revenue receipts expand with new generation and transmission. That's has been the 60 year-old practice for the power industry, and EEC doesn't provide indusry with this advantage as traditional expansion does.
Change rate pricing from revenues-based to time-of-use, a more dynamic pricing method based on supply and demand. Given a choice, customers will undoubtely choose more wisely which will result in demand reduction..
This can be easily accomodated with the implementation of smart grid equipment. Why not invest in the grid, instead of always investing to expand the grid? Mandate incentives to establish greater utilization of an intelligent grid: smart metering, smart switches, more efficient powerplants, t&d delivery equipment.
Utilize existing utility right of ways before breaking new ground. Public planning can be turned upside down when policy provided by regional transmission and state generation planning are not meshed across state-lines with a long-term vision in mind.
Earlier this week, the Galvin Institute put out this flyer - it runs right down our alley.
Imagine, the vast majority of power plants in this nation spend about half of the electricity available to generate, on the process of generation itself. Then some 15-20% of the capacity is lost because old and inefficient T&D equipment lets it all slip away. Then the end-user is permitted to use electricity, unknowingly wasting it at a period in time when it is the most expensive, which is the primary cause for grid expansion itself. No other industry functions this way, all while it has the most layers of governmental regulatory bodies and agencies overseeing itself. This is what happens when there is no competition in an industry and government is in charge for the most part - expensive and inefficient.