My first instinct is Joe Biden. One could argue that what Obama lacks more than anything else is Washington experience, which Joe could provide. But that ignores the premise that Obama is running on: we need new people in Washington. Obama is running on a Woodrow Wilson style platform: progress is not only necessary, but inevitable, and we must return to serving the people. Though I think Biden is incredibly qualified, if he serves in the Obama cabinet, it'll be as SecDef or SecState. He won't be VP.
So who do we go with? Well, we have to find somebody who compliments Obama: somebody who makes up for his weaknesses without completely getting away from the core of his message. And individual stances may not be key here as much as overwhelming political change and symbolism. For example, Obama's running mate could've supported the war at first, as long as he finds himself against it now. Or could have differing views on immigration.
Now, we're lucky enough that we already know who the GOP nominee is, and we know enough about him to know what his strengths and weaknesses are. The job of a VP candidate is that of attack dog (this is why Edwards wasn't a great VP candidate in 2004, when he was running a much more pleasant campaign); also, it has to be somebody who counters the other guy's qualities when attacking so he doesn't look foolish. He also needs to make up for what Obama lacks in. Luckily, I think many of McCain's strong points are Obama's weak points, and vice-versa. That's why the VP nominee could be so important.
Where does Obama lack? Foreign policy is the first thing that comes to mind. If this article is to be believed, we can imagine this is where McCain is going to strike, and strike hard. We are at war, and Obama would best be served by picking a VP who knows a little something about the situation. This means either picking a military man, like Webb or Clark, or by picking somebody who has long experience of the Armed Services Committee, such as Evan Bayh. The problem for both Clark and Bayh is that they both support Hillary Clinton (though they both have been a little more quiet as of recent).
I really think that Jim Webb is Barack Obama's best bet for Vice President. Webb has tons of Foreign Policy experience while still keeping with Obama's theme of "not yet tainted by Washington." Webb, a staunch Centrist and part of the infamous "Redneck Caucus" in the Democratic Party (includes McCaskill, Tester, Dorgan, Conrad, Johnson), could help aid the fears of some more moderate and conservative Democrats who may not feel completely comfortable with the most liberal senator in 2008 as President. And if Obama needs a pitbull to counter McCain, he could do no better.
But more important than that is the symbolism, one that (ironically) Webb predicted. Webb foresaw that if the Scotch-Irish and African Americans could come together, the FDR Coalition could be reborn. What could be more symbolic? A young, hopeful black man with a diverse background stepping forward to represent a new hope for America, and an old warhorse Scotch-Irish representing the people that settled this country. The two together would be one of the most culturally unifying tickets in history, something that this country desperately needs right now. A unification of ideologies, a unificiation of parties in a way (Webb used to be a Republican, which only adds to Obama's "one people" message), a unification of culture. How amazing would it be to stand on stage to see a Black man, with his black wife and kids, being the nominee for President, while next to him his Scotch-Irish running mate holds the hand of his vietnamese wife? Talk about a ticket for all of America!
Obama-Webb 2008. We Are One Nation.
For an interesting take on this idea, enjoy:
http://rossdouthat.theatlantic...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...
We'll have to wait and see.
Personally, I'm looking forward to Hillary's concession speech. I wonder who she will steal it from.
You've convinced me with this Dan, I think Webb would be a fantastic choice! And I believe that a Deeds appointment as US Senator to replace Webb could help resolve some things here in Virginia for the Democratic Party in 2009...
Yes he voted for the war. But he can admit that he was wrong and Obama was right. It'll make Obama look that much smarter by comparison. And make McCain look that much more stubborn and wrong.
I also agree that Webb probably wouldn't want it anyway.
Interesting to note that while most people here agree that Webb is right for the job, that many think he just won't take it.
When former Senate Majority Leader Tom Daschle (D-S.D.) announced last week that he would not run for president, he was largely ignored by the national news media.But, Daschle's decision actually has major repercussions when it comes to the candidacy of Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.)
............
Obama has already said that Washington experience isn't what he's running on. He's running on change. Daschle is hardly another change agent.
Not that I want to trash Daschle here. I just want to know what the reasons are for wanting him for VP.
What did Dick Cheney add to GOP ticket? Charisma? No. Putting more states in play? No. Experience and gravitas. Exactly what Daschle has.
Obama isn't doing that. He's saying "Washington Experience is not the kind of experience we need." Obama wants a candidate with plenty of life experience, and less Washington experience. The two people there that come to mind are Webb and Clark.
And Clark going after Obama as a Clinton campaign surrogate on misc. talk shows doesn't bode well for him.
Clark, Webb, Richardson all make more sense.
(fwiw, I really like Daschle. But this isn't the job for him.)
Now that said, I predict that we will not hear a running mate announced by either McCain or Obama until a couple weeks at the most before each convention.
Waiting to announce allows you to chose a moment to dominate a news cycle with positive press coverage right when you need it. Also, announcing the running mate early only gives the opposition more time to attack him or her. One might as well wait as long as possible before doubling the size of the target.
Case in point: what was one of the most dreadful speeches of the past 20 years in Democratic politics? Bill Clinton's speech at the 1988 Democratic National Convention.
*previously served as a Cabinet secretary in a successful administration
*has diplomatic experience, including the UN and nuclear non-proliferation
*has served as a large state governor
*has instant credibility on immigration
*can poll the ticket well in the Western US
Who could that be? Who?
Fast forward to 2016 and the Democratic nominee is:
Vice President Bill Richardson.
But I agree. Richardson would be an outstanding choice.
My only concern is that I really don't want to see a continuation of Clinton's foreign policy. Recently I've come to see Bush's foreign and economic policies as essentially inept versions of the same thing under Clinton. Clinton, in turn, did not really change much from what was happening under Bush Sr. You can trace this whole current foreign policy and economic alignment back to Ronald Reagan. The only thing that Bush Jr. actually changed was getting cozy with Pakistan.
Richardson was Clinton's guy and I worry that he would see things much the way that Reagan, Bush Sr., Clinton and Bush Jr. do. What I want is fundamental change in our trade policy, a major shift in our approach to China, a strengthening of our Navy and major changes to our dealings with the Middle East. This is part of why I like the idea of Jim Webb as VP. He'd be another senior voice at the table that owes nothing to that long legacy of policy via inertia.
Maybe Richardson can also be that agent of change? I don't know. Like I said, I think he'd be a good choice. But Jim Webb would be a surer bet for real change.
Richardson has an impeccable resume, but he can't blunt the force of McCain's years as a POW and experience as a soldier. Someone like Clark (or Webb) makes McCain's claim to the "citizen soldier" tag less meaningful.
My attorney brother-in-law worked in his administration and this has been common knowledge in and around Santa Fe for several years.
Perhaps a bigger issue is that he's had a charisma bypass. He's a fine governor, tons of national and foreign policy experience on his cv, but he's not much of a campaigner.
I'm with you on Webb, though.
Don't forget that Edwards was consistantly winning in match-up polls agains the GOP field up until Iowa, and he consistantly did better than Obama or Clinton in the same polls. In all of them he won over a lot of cross-over voters. That sort of attractiveness could only help Obama's ticket (or Hillary's).
(P.S. While Webb is very popular with me, I would much prefer him to stay in the Senate. As VP, his voice would be muted. As VP candidate, he could (unfairly but) effectively be painted as someone lacking in experience-having even less time in elected federal office than Obama. In addition, he would be 70 years old at the end of two terms and would be a less likely option to be the next president. I say keep him where he is, working hard and speaking out from the Senate.)
I'm hoping he's our next Attorney General.
If time in the Senate is all that matters, let's remember that John Edwards is also a one-term wonder. I don't see how the matter of federal experience makes Webb a lesser choice than Edwards.
Edwards would have been great at the top of the ticket and he was my first choice as well. But as a running mate he doesn't add what we need. Obama has zero defense or national security experience and that is what he's going to get hammered on by McCain above all else. We need a running mate with the kind of background that addresses that vulnerability. That's not Edwards, unfortunately. Or Clinton. Webb, Clark or Biden all have some claim to adding this to the ticket. I think those are probably the top 3 people to look at, with Richardson a guy to consider as well.
It's Webb's years served in the Marines Corps that set him apart from a bureaucrat like Cheney.
Leave Jim Webb alone! We need him here in Virginia and in the Senate.
Obama's got a lot of holes to fill in his resume, should he be the nominee, he will be much stronger against McCain with a solid VP choice.
If Kaine won't take a VP slot, then I predict "Ambassdor Kaine" will be heading South shortly after his term as Virginia's governer ends in 2010.
And HisRoc: Looking at what I can see from polls of Hispanic vote in GE match-ups, they tend to go Obama over McCain anyways.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/...
For Democrats, 2008 was supposed to be the year of the Mountain West, when three years of relentless Republican attacks on undocumented immigrants would fuel a backlash among Hispanics that would change the playing field in Arizona, Colorado, Nevada and New Mexico, and perhaps alter the landscape of presidential politics for a generation.
But the emergence of Sen. John McCain (Ariz.) as the likely standard-bearer for the GOP may have scrambled the equation, cooling a potential political revolt among Hispanics and sending Democrats in search of a new playbook."It completely screws it up," said Charles Black, a senior McCain adviser. "We nominated the one person who will not suffer that backlash."
Rep. Raul M. Grijalva (D-Ariz.), whose Tucson district is heavily Hispanic, said Democrats should change their tack toward Latinos and emphasize the economy, education and health care before even raising the immigration issue. Perhaps Democrats seeking the Latino vote would be best served challenging McCain on the Iraq war, suggested Guillermo Nicacio, Arizona state coordinator for Mi Familia Vota, an effort to encourage Latinos to apply for citizenship, register and vote.
Bill Richardson restores the Mountain West Strategy and put these red states back in play.
Dan, I realize that you're a hard core Webb fan and I respect than. But Webb doesn't pull the numbers that Richardson pulls in places where it will make a difference.
I don't think the Vice Presidential pick has much sway either way. I do agree with you, though, that Richardson would be a strong pick for VP. I am still a fan of Sebelius for VP, myself.
There are few people that I'm sure will not get the VP nomination. Daschle won't, and neith will Richardson. My bets are on Webb or Sebelius.
From a political perspective, I wonder though if he'll even make the short list considering he didn't endorse Obama before the Va primary. At the end of the day, though, I suspect Obama will decide to nominate whomever he feels would help him govern best, regardless of the rest of the considerations. Webb, Clark, Sebelius, Richardson, Napolitano all seem like strong considerations to me.
The problem I see with Webb is that while he has the bona fides to mute the military hero status of McCain, he has the same "experience" gap Obama has. Webb is only two years into his first term in any elected office.
While Clark hasn't ever held elected office, he doesn't seem to carry the same "newcomer" label that Obama and Webb carry. I think people are willing to have one "newcomer" on the ticket, but leery of two (which is, in part, why you saw Dick Cheney seize the reins in 2000).
Wesley Clark has never won a single election in his life. He's been invisible to most voters since 2004, while Webb has been in the news regularly all year. At this point, Jim Webb probably has at least as good name recognition as Clark does.
'Experience' for the White House does not have to consist of holding elected office for years and years. George H. W. Bush had been Chair of the RNC and ran CIA when he was selected as Reagan's running mate. His experience in holding elected office consisted of just 2 terms in the House during the late 1960's. But nobody called him unqualified or inexperienced.
I like Jim Webb. I think he'd be a terrific choice, but I think if your going that route, you go with Clark over Webb. In essence, you are correct that there is not "experience gap" when you really look at the two on paper...but a vast majority don't do that.
Aside from Gen. Clark, my two picks are former Sens. Bob Graham (FL) or Sam Nunn (GA). They both have a great amounts of foreign policy or military policy experience.
With Graham, Florida could come into play in November. Right now, McCain leads there by 13 points (some of that may be anger over not having the delegates counting). Also, he opposed the war from the start.
Nunn was not in the Senate in 2002 but he did oppose the first Gulf War and has become one of the nation's top proliferation experts.
And say what you will about him, but Daschle would be a good choice as well.
Sam Nunn could have been a good choice for Al Gore in 2000, but his moment has long since passed.
It kind of sucks how small the window really is in practical terms. Usually it's only when a politician gets to be in his or her late 50's that he finds himself at the kind of level where a run for the White House could be credible. But if everything isn't just right in terms of money and who your competition is, then you sit on the sidelines and if your party wins then the nominations are locked up for the next 8 years. Probably 12 years, since VPs usually get the nomination after that if they want it. And at that point the candidate is pushing 70 and looks a little too old for somebody you want to get 8 energetic years out of.
Nunn missed his chance for either end of the ticket. It underscores why it was a good idea for Obama to go ahead and run this year instead of waiting 4 or 8 or 12 years when he's had more time in the Senate. If you've got a shot at the nomination, take it. Because odds are that circumstances will doom you by after that.
conservative Democrats who may not feel completely comfortable with the most liberal senator in 2008 as President.
That's BS. Straight up BS.
No, not THAT kind of BS.....I mean, BS, not BO.
If you're looking for the most liberal Senator in the Senate, I'll give you a hint: he used to be the mayor of Burlington, VT.
Preferably a state that Shrub carried in 2004.
S/He also needs to shore up the foreign/defense side of the job. That eliminates most governors except Richardson who's skirt chasing reputation eliminates him.
Thus, only senators on foreign affaris, intelligence and defense committees need apply.
There would also have to be a decent chance of holding the senate seat in the subsequent special election.
Finally the candidate can't be so old that McCain's age is lost as an issue.
Bill Nelson and Ben Nelson both work with all of these criteria.
But Webb is the best fit.
Kaine could appoint himself to Webb's seat. Deeds would be a good appointment also.
I don't know how easy it would be to hold either Nelson's seat.
Biden brings you Delaware. Its a blue state already. Dodd only brings Connecticut and is too old.
Nunn is too old and is flirting with Bloomburg.
Bill Nelson gets FLA without the idiosychratic diaries that Bob Graham acknowledged.
Bill Nelson endorsed Hillcat. Is that a disqualifier?
It might be better to start thinking about that in 2013.
I hadn't considered Graham before, but he might cover all of the necessary bases. It would certainly put Florida in play.
See this artice here:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/...
I'd have a real problem voting for a ticket with someone that is anti-choice, and has voted as Hagel has on civil liberties.
We'll see, though. Otherwise, I would agree that Webb would be the best choice, with Clark pulling a distant third.