Also, ABC News just reported that their exit polls indicate Democratic voters going for "change" heavily over "experience" (52%-23%). IF true, that would favor Obama, but again, I'm taking these exit poll results with a huge grain -- a PILLAR -- of salt!
Polls close in Georgia at 7 PM eastern time. Obama should win there, the question is how big.
UPDATE: The AP provides "exit poll highlights" here. "Overall, Obama led among men and Clinton led among women, although her advantage among women appeared smaller than was seen in early primary states."
UPDATE #2: I have absolutely no idea what to make of this. I'm extremely skeptical, but thought I'd pass it along since that's what is floating around out there right now.
UPDATE #3: CNN just called Georgia for Obama -- that was fast! CNN has exit poll results from Georgia. Obama won almost all demographics except for older whites (e.g., over 60). Chris Cillizza said earlier today that if the networks "call it the moment the polls close" then "that's good news for Obama." Well, they did -- right on the dot at 7 PM.
UPDATE #4 : Some potential voting issues in California. Apparently. independent voters are supposed to fill out some extra bubble declaring their intent to vote in the Democratic primary; if they don't, the optical machines don't count their ballot. We'll see if the vote is close enough to make this matter. -- Rob
The question of delegate allocations is more complicated, so we won't know that for a while.
backtracking from the split of African-American and White voters, and the percentages of each won by Obama, seems to imply that Obama would win statewide by around 30% or even more, but not the 50+ in that circulated email
and the way the people are talking on MS-NBC seems to imply that the early exit polls also seem to point in the direction of something significant for Obama
but remember - in some of these states there was a lot of early voting, which may well have tilted towards Clinton
and there are some real problems with ballots for the DTS (independent) voters which might mean they don't get counted and will have to be challenged
regardless of the outcome, Obama as of now looks like running even with Clinton, or perhaps a bit ahead... and that would be the message going into WA caucuses this week and the metro area regional primaries next
oh, and national exit polls probably do NOT include today's caucus states, in which Obama should do very well
and the most important story
an on the ground tornado, headed right for the heart of
CLINTON, ARKANSAS!!!
Dobbs just said that he didnt think that was a big deal because most whites he knows in the south are not racist.
No idea what is the truth there, but i can...hope....
Illinois goes for Obama. No surprise.
Oklahoma goes for Clinton.
New Jersey too close.
Republicans.
McCain takes Illinois.
McCain takes Connecticut.
Romney takes Massachusetts.
nationwide,Hispanics breaking 60-38 for Clinton, which means Obama is doing better than some expected
in CT Clinton drawing less than 55% of women