John Warner
Approve: 60% (65%)
Disapprove: 31% (28%)
Jim Webb
Approve: 49% (49%)
Disapprove: 40% (42%)
For comparison purposes, the numbers last January were Warner 62%/29%, Webb 42%/47%. It looks like Webb's slowing improving, although still beneath the magic 50% threshold. John Warner is staying popular as he rides off into the sunset...
By the way, I find it fascinating that Webb is more popular among women (51%/37%) than among men (48%/44%). What's THAT all about? Also, Webb's much more popular among people over age 55 (56%/36%) compared to the 18-34 contingent (44%-41%). Also interesting, Webb is most popular in southeastern Virginia (56%/32%), least popular in central Virginia (47%-46%). What do you make of these numbers?
I think there is a lot of residual bitterness, and Webb won't get much above 55% percent for a long time.
I am not surprised at Webb's popularity among women. His message is very attractive to women, particularly his emphasis on the need to provide for our military, the dwell time amendment, health care, and prison reform. For a guy who's been accused of not liking women he actually interacts extremely well with them. I've seen him in person several times, and when women approach him he doesn't do that thing so many sexist men do - looking past the woman for a guy to talk to or nodding up and down with a vacant-eyed expression - on the contrary, he listens quite intently and gives full attention. Women are into body language. They can tell when a man's paying attention and when he does, he'll get credit for it. As for Webb's lack of popularity among some Virginia men, it seems to me that Allen's campaign was more successful with them than it was with women. I'm still running into men who think Webb has "lost his nerve" because of his stance on the war. It's just taking time for the real Jim Webb to overtake the myth created by the Allen campaign.
Of course, central and western Virginia has a lot people of a strongly religious bent. Many of them still remember that Allen's campaign told them Webb wrote pornographic novels. As for the canards about Webb's novels, having finished off the last one last week, I have to say that the Allen campaigns "samples" of Webb's "pornographic writings" were in fact about the only sexual references in all of his writings with the exception of Fields of Fire, which contained a lot of graphic stuff because it was about the dehumanization of young men at war (duh!). No wonder he got so hot over the pornography charge.
I write a consumer column here in Charlottesville, and one week I stumbled upon a column about my personal experiences in trying to contact both Warner's and Webb's offices. While neither office performed particularly well, Warner's office at least addressed the issue of non-responsiveness when I called them on it, even though they guy is retiring. Webb's office, on the other hand, failed to return a call to me about why his office failed to return calls.
When I've called Webb's office on other stories, I have not had a single call returned.
Look, it's not like I'm an influential reporter or that anyone does or should care about what I have to say or write, but it is a sloppy operation on the part of Webb to simply not respond.
I think Jim Webb has been really great on a lot of issues, particularly the war, where his personal story provides him with unique credibility. and he has really stood up to GOP bullying that all to often seems to intimidate Democrats on the Hill.
But this kind of behavior will come back to bite him because it shows disrespect for the people who elected him. And I think Webb is particularly vulnerable. He didn't win his election because voters really liked him, but because Allen proved himself to be a racist bufoon.
All that said, it could become academic, because I think Webb will get serious VP consideration regardless of who wins the Democratic primary, but that's another thread...
Alan