UPDATE: Chris Dodd dropping out, according to CNN.
UPDATE: Good speech by Edwards, good move claiming second place. But he didn't congratulate Obama?
UPDATE: Hillary gave a good speech too - but surprised she didn't lay claim to second place herself.
UPDATE: Huck is speaking now. He's sounding confident.
UPDATE: Obama about to speak. Current numbers are Obama 37.56%, Edwards 29.82%, Clinton 29.42%. According to Tweety, Obama's family is "stylish!"
UPDATE: Obama is rocking. "You have shown what New Hampshire can do in 5 days! You have shown what America can do in this new year, 2008! ... We are one nation, we are one people, and our time for change has come!"
UPDATE: Biden dropping out now too. Whither Richardson?
UPDATE: Eileen reports in the comments that Richardson is staying in the race. Riding the momentum of his 2% finish?
UPDATE: Just a handful of precincts outstanding, so these numbers shouldn't change much. Bad news turning worse for Hillary, as the rounded numbers the press will report will be Obama 38%, Edwards 30%, Clinton 29% if these decimals hold up. So, the newspapers of the country will report that she finished in 3rd place and 9 points behind Obama.
Senator Barack Obama : 37.56%
Senator John Edwards : 29.78%
Senator Hillary Clinton : 29.47%
Governor Bill Richardson : 2.09%
The man hasn't slept in two days. Give him a break. The only people who noticed who he did or didn't congratulate are looking for a reason to find fault with him.
if you just look at Clinton and Obama, put their share together, Obama won 56% of that vote, and also apparently won 35% of all women compared to 30% for Clinton.
Huckabee's speech was quite good. He should NOT be underestimated in NH and nationally.
"This is the start of a prarie fire of new hope in this nation."
We are "elected not to be a member of the ruling class, but the serving class."
What was that G.K. Chesterton quote?
Also, I know it's pedestrian to mention, but Michelle Obama has so much more of a presence compared to her competition.
The bottom line, North Carolinians wanted him to make up his mind and chose one or the other. They would have prefered he run for re-election, but he chose to run for President. There are those that I have talked since 2004 that said the polling pointed to him loosing for re-election. They were wrong. If he had run for re-election, he would have been able to hold his seat. Edwards has no one to blame but himself. This was his nomination to loose in 2008. He started drinkning the cool aide and beliving his own press clippings. The seeds for his bitterness tonight, and his second place showing, were sowed back in 2003. Heck, Edwards is loosing in South Carolina, and that's suppose to be his base.
I' be bitter too if I were him, but he has no one to blame but his own ego. Brides Maid again.
The elite media pre-ordained Clinton and Hillary to be their darlings of the race. They have all but ignored Edwards - not to mention the bottom tier candidates. Shameful, considering that Edwards beat Hillary Clinton.
This is why General Clark didn't fair well. We should not let history repeat itself.
And to all the people saying the race is over for Edwards - shame on you. How quickly you forget that Senator Webb beat both Harris Miller and George Allen and he was grossly outspent. How quickly you forget that Edwards beat Clinton in Iowa even though he was outspent 6-fold.
Let's get real here. Edwards gives us more bang for the buck. Clinton hasn't found a contribution she won't take. Yet so many of you remain silent on this. Money from special interests is OK if it's your candidate, I guess.
Even with all that corporate money, Edwards still beat Clinton.
Finally, most people telling Edwards to pack it up also happen to support either Hillary or Obama. He has enough money. He had a strong showing in Iowa - even beating Clinton. That certainly wasn't expected as recently as a week ago. So enough of the "Edwards is over" bullshit. It's spin, pure and simple.
John Edwards has only won one: his single elected office, US Senator. He lost the nomination for President in 2004. He lost on the ticket. And now, he lost the first caucus in the race, again. But unlike last time, he's not an unknown who miraculously came in second to an experienced long-time Senator, losing only by five points. He's a former VP candidate with national name-recognition who lost by a wider margin (8 points) to a guy who has even less washington experience than him. Conventional wisdom would lead you to believe that Johnny is done.
My point is that the Virginia Primary in 2006 and the Presidential Primary of 2008 are totally different beasts, and comparing the two either shows a desperate stretch to fit your own situation, or a basic misunderstanding of the way this all works. Now, if we had done the primary in 2006 county by county, and Webb had been outspent, lost Fairfax, but then come back to win it all, your analogy would make sense. But that's not how it happened.
Further, saying that Webb was outspent doesn't change the fact that he still won the primary outright; he didn't lose first and then comeback or anything. One vote, one victory. Edwards was outspent and LOST the first caucus, shifting momentum away from him. Remember, Iowa was the only state where Edwards was consitently competetive. A few polls have shown him in the race in NH or SC, but not many. For example, in the upcoming NH primary, he averages about 16 points behind the winner, and about 10 points behind the silver medal. He really needed a win in Iowa. Now, clearly, these polls are gonna shift a bit, and if Hillary's third place finish hurts her enough, Edwards may have a shot. But I really think Hillary won't be that hurt, and any change in the numbers will be more from an Obama surge than anything else.
I'm sorry, but unless something miraculous happens in New Hampshire, Edwards is likely done. He may stick around to see what happens in SC, where he is losing by even more. But unless New Hampshire breaks long tradition, he may be finished.
We have been through one state. And a very small state. This won't be decided until February.
In the case of Webb and Allen, the media focused on these two candidates. So there wasn't option C - just A or B.
In the case of Edwards, the media has ignored him. Obviously they errored in their ways since he beat Clinton. Imagine how well Edwards would be doing if they gave him equal air time!
So he had less money and less free airtime. He still beat the status quo. There is something to be said for that.
"We made it to the final four," Richardson said. "My staff and volunteers worked their hearts out to get us here. Now we are going to take the fight to New Hampshire."
Virtually an Obama/Clinton tie. Right now I'd venture Obama is ahead, but that could change if he loses NH. If he wins, however, I think he may solidly take SC.