New Iowa Poll: Two-Way Tie for Both Dem's and Rep's

By: Lowell
Published On: 11/28/2007 7:09:23 AM

Can the race in Iowa get any closer?  Not much, according to a new poll by Strategic Vision>.

Republicans
Mitt Romney 26%
Mike Huckabee 24%
Rudy Giuliani 14%
Fred Thompson 10%
John McCain 7%
Ron Paul 5%
Tom Tancredo 3%
Duncan Hunter 1%
Undecided 10%

Democrats
Hillary Clinton 29%
Barack Obama 29%
John Edwards 23%
Bill Richardson 6%
Joseph Biden 4%
Chris Dodd 1%
Dennis Kucinich 1%
Undecided 7%

Since mid-November, this poll shows relatively little movement on the Democratic side (+2 for Obama, +3 for Edwards, flat for Hillary), but significant movement on the Republican side (+5 for Huckabee, -4 for Romney, +2 for Giuliani).  Do any of these polls mean anything?  That's hard to say, but we're starting to get close to the Iowa caucuses, now just 36 days away.  

Comments



Second poll to show a large Obama jump (DanG - 11/28/2007 10:31:37 AM)
Obama is either tied with or beating Hillary in the latest polls in Iowa.  If Obama can can keep this up, he'll win the nomination.

Romney, on the other hand, is slipping in Iowa.  He needs to spend some more money to win that. He's spent some time locking up NH because he thought that Iowa was safe.  Clearly, it isn't.  He needs to start spending some money, run a new commercial or something.  Romney loses there, it doesn't matter what happens in NH.  He must win IA.



Aravosis' analysis of Romney (PM - 11/28/2007 11:23:34 AM)
John Aravosis' description of Romney:

Romney can't have it both ways. Either religion in politics matters or it doesn't. Romney says it does matter, but only when someone else's religion is the subject of scrutiny. His religion only matters when he intends to jam it down our throats after he's elected. Then again, both ways is the way Romney lies it best. First pro-gay, then anti-gay. First pro-gun, then anti-gun. First pro-choice, then pro-life. And now he's flip-flopping on whether the religion of a nominee is a relevant factor in their employment.

Actually, I'm less worried about Romney's religion than I am the growing sense that the man has no substance beyond his hair gel.

It is scary that Romney is doing so well in Iowa.  I thought their Republicans were a bit saner than that.  Of course, look at their alternatives.http://www.americablog.com/2007/11/romney-has-just-made-his-mormon-faith.html



Consider these results (Johnny Longtorso - 11/28/2007 9:42:44 PM)
2000- George W. Bush* (41%) defeated Steve Forbes (30%), Alan Keyes (14%), Gary Bauer (9%), John McCain (5%) and Orrin Hatch (1%)
1996- Bob Dole (26%) defeated Pat Buchanan (23%), Lamar Alexander (18%), Steve Forbes (10%), Phil Gramm (9%), Alan Keyes (7%), Richard Lugar (4%) and Morry Taylor (1%)
1988- Bob Dole (37%) defeated Pat Robertson (25%), George H. W. Bush* (19%), Jack Kemp (11%) and Pete DuPont (7%)

14% for Alan Keyes, 23% for Pat Buchanan, and 25% for Pat Robertson -- Romney is in good company.



It's scary, really? (tx2vadem - 11/28/2007 10:06:21 PM)
He is willing to say anything to get elected.  That sounds very much like Hillary Clinton, whose stock response is: "What would you like my response to be?"  America just loves phonies.  How else can you explain George W. Bush?

People love hearing what they want to hear.  People love the lie that things can be done without consequences.  They like to believe that there is this magic that politicians can perform to produce something from nothing.  Most people don't appreciate the first law of thermodynamics.