If Webb continues to stand up for what's in the best interest of his constituents -- like he has been -- then I imagine his poll numbers will continue to increase.
Jim Webb hasn't had time to create an image or portrait of himself thus far. Also, he hasn't really been involved with too many controversies, which would cause people to talk about him.
So, as Webb's had a relatively quiet term so far, his approval ratings reflect this activity level.
In short, I've been disappointed. I contributed to and worked for his campaign, the first in recent memory where I was "for" someone rather than against his opponent. Webb shows great potential, but the proof is in his votes.
Webb is not a Kossack. He's not an OpenLefter. He's a Virginia Democrat in a Statewide Office, which usually means a Centrist view of things.
Back when Jim Webb was a candidate we knew he once supported George Allen and still admires Ronald Reagan. We all know how he felt about the anti-war left when he came back from Vietnam (a war he still agrees with by the way). And then people expect him to go to Washington and act like Russ Feingold.
Amazing.
Webb has not gained traction with "independent voters" yet, which is very odd. He's clearly a maverick, which Independents usually appreciate.
The other group that Webb has trouble with are Hispanics. Perhaps his immigration vote had something to do with this one? But Warner voted no as well, and has stronger Hispanic support. Perhaps Webb simply needs to do more to reach out to the demographic. His numbers amonst White voters is respectable, and his number with Blacks is good considering how he started off with them after the primary.
Webb does need to get out and about the state more, however. I expect we'll see more of that as 2012 closes in.
There is one truly positive thing to take out of this, however. Webb breaks 50% in all area of the State save Central Virginia, a death-trap for Democrats. This would bode well for re-election in 2012.
"And in the SurveyUSA's poll, 27% of Dems disaprove of the job he has done, as do 29% of liberals. These numbers are high; any Dem running for president with disaproval numbers like that would get clobbered in a general election."
Webb's disapproval rating in the current poll among Dems is 31%, a 4% increase since last month. His disapproval rate in the current poll among Liberals is 36%, a 7% increase.
His disapproval rating with black voters is 40%, with Hispanic voters it's 55% and his disapproval rating among voters 18-34 is a whopping 45%.
Overall, these numbers are a disaster. And I attribute most of these disastrous numbers to his poor attempts to end the war. Each ammendment he has sponsored in the Senate to end the war has been unsuccessful. And the liberal wing of the party is furious, as it should be. The only way to end the war is to cut off funding the war but the Dems in the Senate are too chicken to do this. And Webb gets lumped in with them.
There was such hope and excitement during last falls campaign and after the election when the Dems won a stunning victory that we could finally get out of Irag. And yes, the 60 votes are not there in the Senate, but they have never tried to cut off funds to end the war.
Webb's other problem is that he is becoming too entrenched in Washington. He is not in the state very often to talk with voters, explain his votes, etc., and it is taking a huge total.
And I disagree with DanG - 2012 is not that far away. And if Webb allows his numbers to slip further and not take corrective action, those number will only harden, as will attitudes towards him.
I wrote the following on October 7, 2007, a full five days before the SurveyUSA poll came out on October 12, 2007 and I was raked over the coals on this blog for my comments. However, I stand by them to this day. And based on the poll results from October 12, 2007 and the poll results that came out today, I think I hit the nail right on the head. Obviously a lot of people feel like I do and it shows in the polls:
"I just read the text of the article on Jim Webb in The Baltimore Sun's "The Swamp" blog and I am outraged!
The Iraq war has beem a complete disaster. How President Bush as a "Christian" can sleep at night is beyond me. Over 3,700 of our service men and women dead, tens of thousands severely injured with permanent brain damage, missing limbs, loss of hearing, eyesite; families torn apart, children growing up without a mother or father. And lets not forget the hundreds of thousands of civilians killed during the invasion of Irag and during the subsequent civil war that has gripped the country.
I had high hopes that the Dems, once winning control of Congress last fall, would put an end to this fiasco but the horror continues.
In the article, Webb says he "is frustrated as anyone else adding "We've been filibsutered every single time." And the key phrase is frustrated every single time! Senator, of course you have - the Republicans are never going to vote to end the war no matter how many times the Dems bring the issue up.
The only way the Dems can stop the insanity is to cut off funding for the war and bring the troops home. But Webb, in the article, says that he "was very clear during the campaign that this has to be done responsibly." What is responsible about continuing a war in which more American troops will die? There is a direct link between continuing to fund the war and the number of troop deaths in Iraq. Is this concept too difficult for the soon to be "Senior Senator" from Virginia to grasp? How do Dems like Webb explain to families of service members who will be killed in Iraq tomorrow or in December, or next summer, that it was responsible to keep funding the war?
The Iraq war has been a huge disaster for the Republicans from almost the beginning. But, even though I totally disagree with the Republicans on almost everything, at least they stand up and say what they believe and then carry through on it. The Dems in Congress need to start doing the same thing. They needs to grow some b---s (rhymes with calls), and show some leadership, cut the funding off and bring the troops home - and they need to do it now. Shame on President Bush and every member of Congress for letting this fiasco continue."
We have to stop treating our elected officials like celebrities and rock stars - they are neither. We need to hold their feet to the fire, and in some instances, we need to push them to do the right thing.
Cutting funding for the troops is not only morally wrong, it's impossible. President Bush will never sign any plan that does that, and we can't override that veto. You want to leave the troops in a civil war without weapons, ammo, body armor, and tanks? I'll fight you to the end on that one, pal. Nobody is putting those boys in any more danger than they are already in.
Webb sees these people for who they are: people. To you, they're means to an end; the end of the wat. And frankly, I find that revolting. You should be ashamed.
Yeah, that was harsh. So sue me.
And I heard about the Webb thing for Obama. Webb appears to more popular outside Virginia than he is inside, no?
Now if the administration continues to prosecute the occupation using their regular appropriation, that is bad management on their part. If Democrats do not appropriate any more money, then it is incumbent upon the administration to manage with the funds they have. Given a restriction on funds, the most appropriate course of action would be to limit the scope of your activities (i.e. start to withdraw from Iraq). There are other choices he could make too, of course. Ultimately, the hallmark of good management is making the best of what you are given.
Last, it is the only effective way for Democrats to end the occupation at this point. It does not require overriding a presidential veto or overcoming Republican objections. They can let appropriation bills die in committee and that requires very little effort on their part. Republicans will of course decry this as troop-hating something or other.
Let's be honest, shall we, did you really believe that having Congress was all the Democrats would need to end the war? Diod you really think that having Bush a spresident would be irrelevant?
If so, then I dunno what to tell you except: we don't have veto-proof majorities, and Bush will not sign anything he doesn't like. It doesn't matter that he's unpopular because he's not running again.
We desparately need some way to get the private money out of our campaigns so those of us with limited means but broad agendas can field credible candidates.
Poor John has lost my respect when he embraced Bush in 2004.
I like John Edwards because say what you will about him, he is from the people and for the people but feel I'm "pissing into the wind" with supporting him because my real hero, Wes "what's his name" endorsed Hillary.
All said, All I ask for is for Ralph Nader, once and for all, to stay the f#*k out of the democratic party primary so a democrat can win the most important office in America.
Ralph,Please stay out of the fray no matter how delusional you are!
The arguement that you leave troops in the field with nothing once funds are cut off is the old scare line the Repulicans use - but it is just not the case. And you should know better.
Jim Webb is a real marine, Flipper. You ever looked into the eyes of a man who not only wanted to kill you, but had the means of doing it? He knows what that's like, and is protecting American lives from those exact people, damn-it.
I'm really getting tired of this extremist left who won't be happy until the National Anthem is replaced with ???? ?????????? ?????.
Apparently, i'm not allowed to post cyrillic.
Personally, I've never cared for the Star Spangled Banner. Not only is it long, it's also unsingable and atrocious to listen to. I prefer "America the Beautiful": good lyrics (environmentally-themed ones at that) and a melody that is appealing.
Excellent comments BTW. Glad to see someone taking the Stolllerites to the woodshed. Though I like visiting MyDD, I COULD NOT STAND Stoller and never missed an opportunity to knock him down. So glad he's left.
There's your answer Dan, in your own words. The Senate votes to cut off funds with a specific date to bring the troops home. Do you really think the President will leave them there, knowing funds run out in a year? Of course he won't - and members of his own party wouldn't allow that nor would the Dems. The public would go nuts. Check mate.
And do we go your way and wait another 14 months before a Dem is sworn in as President before we get them home? That is at least another 1,000 troops killed over the next 14 months, at least. How many mothers will lose a son or daughter? How many daughters and sons will lose a mom or dad? Have you ever looked into the eyes of a mom who lost a son or daughter? Or in the eyes of a child who has lost his or her mom or dad? Well I have and it is not pretty. And for what? Lives are being destroyed, families torn apart - politicans who can't do what is needed to get the job done - it's awful, frustrating and depressing. The insanity has got to stop.
And if my views and feelings make me a lefty, I wear that badge proudly, honorably and without hesitation. And based on Webb's sagging poll numbers among democratic constituents, so do others.
As for your "checkmate" scenario, if we vote against troop funding, we're out of office before the funds even run dry. And then the new Republican Congress gives more funds in an emergency fashion. The American People are furious at George Bush and the Republicans for needlessly putting our troops in the way of harm. Do you think they'll treat us any better?
As for the "Democratic Constituents" in Virginia and around the Nation, the ones that you speak of that our so upset with out Congress, I frequently find myself disgusted with them. For a party that has long prided itself on a large tent and abundance of ideas, the blogosphere has turned itself into the SS of Diverse Thought. I can't count the times I found myself ashamed of things coming out of the mouths of the likes of Stoller and his brood. I'm not even going to go into this here, suffice to say that if I hadn't alread invested so much time and effort invested in this party, I'd become an Independent myself. My party's acitivist base frequently makes me feel ashamed to be associated with them. You're pride in attempting to discredit Senator Webb, a man who has actually BEEN on the frontline, a man who has looked the enemy in the eye and refused to back down, a man who knows what it is like to rely on your Congress to provide the means to your protection, only adds another tally to this chalkboard of shame that you people are creating in the name of justice.
Justice my ass. Justice is getting those boys home as soon as possible UNHARMED. And cutting off funds won't do that. Only a Democratic President can.
And you are unwilling to assign responsiblity to anyone for the casulaites that will occurr over the next 14 months by not cutting off funding and bringing the troops home. Should I just sit back and accept another 1,000+ casualties and turn my head? I can't do that, maybe you can, but I cannot.
Every politician in Washington has a responsibility to end this fiasco now - including Jim Webb. And yes, Jim Webb has an amazing history of service to this country - but it does not give him a free pass on this issue. He needs to get the troops home NOW. I take no pride in any of my remarks regarding Webb but I stand by them, so please do not tell me how I feel.
Oh, and for the record, I was never for impeachment.
Yes, more deaths would be horrible. But the results of a reckless withdrawal could be even more horrid than what you first mentioned. You're typical of the extreme left, Flip: you want exactly what you want when you want it. You want out or Iraq immediately. Well Washington doesn't work that way. It simply doesn't. We don't have the numbers or the cooperation. The only way for responsible withdrawal is to get a Democratic President.
Oh, and by the way I wasn't telling you how you feel. I honestly don't care how you feel. I was saying that I feel ashamed of the extremists in my party.
They have a pretty large procurement budget. It seems that they could just defer some handouts to Raytheon or Lockheed and spend that on the occupation of Iraq instead. Maybe I am oversimplifying. Maybe the federal accountants, contract administrators, and other involved in procurement at DOD do not do a good enough job of making the most of their appropriations by weeding out nonessential requisitions or ensuring competitive bidding on all reqs (I have heard of some not so flattering DCAA audits in the past). And if so, this would be a great opportunity for DOD to improve its procurement and contract management practices.
I understand where your passion is coming from, I think. But I think it is misplaced. The bottom is not going to fall out if the Democrats decide to take the kid gloves off. They would only be matching the president in this regard, who has demonstrated his ability to play tough. And wanting Democrats to be a little more tough on this does not make someone a communist.
I do happen to agree with you that this would not be a checkmate for President Bush. I am sure he signed the Defense Appropriation Bill with a signing statement that said something akin to: "Thanks for the advice on the budget, but I still retain my right as the 'Decider' to spend as much money as I like."
Also Ron Paul wants to get us out too. And he is nominally a Republican. Unfortunately, he will probably not win the Republican nomination.