RK ARCHIVE - Election night, home stretch

Democratic pickups
SEN-01: Miller defeats Stall
HD-34: Mathieson defeats Welch
HD-83: Bouchard defeats Stolle

Likely Democratic pickups
SEN-06: Northam close to defeating Rerras
SEN-34: Petersen beating Davis

Still active
SEN-28: Stuart (R) 51% v. Pollard (D) 48.5% (90% reporting)
SEN-37: Cuccinelli (R) 50% v. Oleszek 49% (64% [reporting)
SEN-39: Barker (D) 51% v. O'Brien 49% (56% reporting)
HD-34: Vanderhye (D) 51% v. 49% (36% reporting)
HD-51: Nichols (D) 51% v. 49% (62.5% reporting)
HD-86: Rust (R) 52% v. Donahue (D) 48% (28% reporting)

Keep the discussion alive -- and hope alive too. The Dems have a great chance at taking the Senate.

[UPDATE: AP and WTOP give the nod to Chap! Kudos to Ben for calling this one early. Ben is also calling it for Barker -- let's hope he's right again.]

Comments

My thoughts (DukieDem - 11/7/2007 12:12:37 AM)

Barker by a close margin
Cooch by a very, very, very close margin.

We got to 21, but still some dissapointments.

Write in campaign for Commonwealth Attorney (Loudoun County Dem - 11/7/2007 12:35:31 AM)

John Flannery ran a write in campaign for Commonwealth attorney. He will have gotten many votes in all precincts as we were highlighting it in our sample ballots and showing how to cast a write in vote.

I suspect that this is what is holding up Loudoun's returns.

We are as anxious as you...

WaPo has called SEN-06... (DC Pol Sci - 11/7/2007 12:16:08 AM)

...for Northam. As noted above, Petersen beats Davis.

We need Barker OR Oleszek.

News reporting ... (A Siegel - 11/7/2007 12:16:13 AM)

JDD has conceded ... do we really rate this as "likely".

Watching McLean HQ on TV right ... quite happy looking.

And, well, my breath is being held as I hope for John Foust to send Joan Dubois back home.

Kaine just said we took the Senate!!!! (doctormatt06 - 11/7/2007 12:18:40 AM)

He said he heard for sure Barker has WONN!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Cooch's lead down to FOUR VOTES. (DC Pol Sci - 11/7/2007 12:17:22 AM)

Of course, I don't know what's still out. Anybody got clues?

Barker still up by over 1,000.

Fair Lakes and Centerville (Rebecca - 11/7/2007 12:34:45 AM)

These two are still out and they are big. He's fallen to second place.

Current SBE listings... (vote-left - 11/7/2007 12:19:05 AM)

Kenneth T. Cuccinelli II 15,579 49.90%

Janet S. Oleszek 15,575 49.89%

Precincts Reporting: 32 of 39 (82.05%)

update (vote-left - 11/7/2007 12:22:14 AM)

Janet S. Oleszek 15,994 49.98%

Kenneth T. Cuccinelli II 15,940 49.81%

Precincts Reporting: 33 of 39 (84.61%)

Precincts Reporting: 34 of 39 (87.17%) (vote-left - 11/7/2007 12:34:54 AM)

Janet S. Oleszek 16,483 50.08%

Kenneth T. Cuccinelli II 16,359 49.70%

Precincts Reporting: 36 of 39 (92.30%) (vote-left - 11/7/2007 12:36:21 AM)

Kenneth T. Cuccinelli II 17,318 50.10%

Janet S. Oleszek 17,178 49.70%

update (vote-left - 11/7/2007 12:40:09 AM)

Precincts Reporting: 37 of 39 (94.87%)

Kenneth T. Cuccinelli II 17,569 50%

Janet S. Oleszek 17,502 49.80%

_____________________________________

Precincts Reporting: 38 of 39 (97.43%)

Kenneth T. Cuccinelli II 17,807 50.00%

Janet S. Oleszek 17,738 49.80

Precincts still out in SEN-37.. (DC Pol Sci - 11/7/2007 12:20:11 AM)

Fairlakes, Greenbriar East, Centerpointe, South Run, Centerville, Bull Run and the absentees.

'course, the absentees are an unknown in Fairfax County politics, not solid R like in so many other places.

How do the rest of these precincts dance?

It does appear that way. (DC Pol Sci - 11/7/2007 12:23:06 AM)

Never thought I'd see the day when I moved here 12 years ago!!!

Roll Blue Tide...marknotjohn takes the other U.S. Senate seat in '08, and we're pretty much a blue state!

Nahhh... (doctormatt06 - 11/7/2007 12:25:50 AM)

Still a purple state...

But we're a purple state with a bright red republican party...they need to learn to mellow out...like the Democrats have learned.

I just ran some calciualtions in Excel (jiacinto - 11/7/2007 12:25:36 AM)

Assuming that the final precincts in both FFX and PW County break the way that they have been all night, Barker will probably win by 700 votes.

37 is harder because (jiacinto - 11/7/2007 12:32:59 AM)

it is all in Fairfax County and I am not sure which precincts have reported.

Looks like Oleszek down by 100 votes... (DC Pol Sci - 11/7/2007 12:38:40 AM)

...with all precincts in except the absentees.

http://www.fairfaxco...

I don't hold out much hope that the absentees will give Janet +100.

He won in my precinct 57%-42%, which makes me very happy-- (Barbara - 11/7/2007 12:30:54 AM)

...since I was there since 5:30am. :)